FA 2000 vs Brønshøj Statistics & Analysis

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      "over_25_prob": 0.572,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.428
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : FA 2000 or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "FA 2000"
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          "draw": 26.6,
          "home": 46.7
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        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
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        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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        "best_odds": 1.79,
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        "model_odds": 2.14,
        "overround": 10.7,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 31,
        "away_score_rate": 71.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
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        "home_played": 31,
        "home_score_rate": 82.1,
        "no_prob": 39.8,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 60.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "yes_prob": 60.2
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        "home_expected": 1.72,
        "scores": [
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          {
            "away": 1,
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            "away": 2,
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "FA 2000 or Draw",
            "prob": 73.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "FA 2000 or Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
            "prob": 73.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
            "prob": 53.3
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        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "FA 2000 or Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
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      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 26.7,
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        "lean_label": "FA 2000"
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      "prob_source": "poisson",
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        "implied_prob": 55.9,
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        "label": "Home",
        "market": "FA 2000 Win",
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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      "home_team": "FA 2000",
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          "model_pct": 46.73
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          "closing_implied_pct": 25.15,
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        "label": "1-1",
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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      {
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          "raw_pct": 2.4,
          "text": "+2.4%"
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    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "7/13",
        "alert_breadth_note": "7/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2191 +20.0%",
        "alert_team": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
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        "show": true,
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        "status_label": "Reliable forecast",
        "status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
        "steam_score": 76,
        "steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
        "steam_tier": "A+",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -3.66,
          "fair_prob": 46.78,
          "label": "FA 2000",
          "market_prob": 50.44,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 1.41,
          "fair_prob": 26.56,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 25.15,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 2.26,
          "fair_prob": 26.66,
          "label": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
          "market_prob": 24.4,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
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        {
          "edge_pp": 2.33,
          "fair_prob": 57.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 54.87,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -2.33,
          "fair_prob": 42.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 45.13,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 3.66,
          "fair_prob": 60.2,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 56.54,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -3.66,
          "fair_prob": 39.8,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 43.46,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "aligned",
        "edge_pp": -3.66,
        "fair_prob_pct": 46.78,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "FA 2000",
        "market_prob_pct": 50.44,
        "status": "market_efficient",
        "steam_team_name": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "aligned",
          "edge_status": "market_efficient",
          "max_gap_pp": 3.66,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "",
        "divergence_level": "aligned",
        "divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
        "divergence_note": "",
        "divergence_tier": "aligned",
        "edge_label": "Aligned",
        "edge_label_key": "aligned",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
          "favourite_label": "FA 2000",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
          "headline": "Slight edge match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
          "market_prob_pct": 50.4,
          "model_prob_pct": 46.8,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "The model and market both identify FA 2000 as the likely winner. Current divergence remains within normal bounds.",
          "tier": "slight_edge",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -3.66,
        "hero_label": "FA 2000",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j odds lengthened \u2191 +20.0%.",
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "aligned",
          "lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
          "note": "Drift away from Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0% (weakening support).",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
            "However, Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Drift away from Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0% (weakening support)."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
            "At the same time, Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0%, suggesting weakening support."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 3.66,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 20.1 pp (at 46.8%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 20.1,
          "max_prob_pct": 46.8,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -3.66,
            "fair_prob_pct": 46.78,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "FA 2000",
            "market_prob_pct": 50.44,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 1.41,
            "fair_prob_pct": 26.56,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 25.15,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 2.26,
            "fair_prob_pct": 26.66,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
            "market_prob_pct": 24.4,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_efficient",
        "status_label": "Market Efficient",
        "steam_note": "Drift away from Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j \u2014 odds lengthened by 20.0% (weakening support).",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers FA 2000 (50.4%).",
          "However, Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +20.0%, 7/13).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 FA 2000, Market \u2192 FA 2000, Recent sharp money \u2192 Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 55.87,
        "closing_odds": 1.79,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 55.87,
        "entry_odds": 1.79,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 7,
        "books_total": 13,
        "breadth_display": "7/13",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 3.6,
        "move_context": "Largest move today",
        "move_display": "\u2191 +20.0%",
        "move_pct_abs": 20.0,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 31h 57m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Multi-book steam on Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j (20.0%, 7/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
          "Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "4.00 \u2192 3.00 \u2192 3.60",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 31h 57m",
          "pick_team": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "4.00"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "3.00"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "3.60"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,2.6",
          "sparkline_trend": "up",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
        },
        "open_odds": 3.0,
        "page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j \u2191 +20.0% market move detected",
        "phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
        "phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
        "pick_team": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j \u2191 +20.0% market move detected",
        "sharp_leader": "Betfair",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
        "signal_key": "market_steam",
        "signal_label": "Steam",
        "steam_score": 76,
        "steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
        "steam_tier": "A+",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "7/13",
        "current_odds": 3.6,
        "move_display": "\u2191 +20.0%",
        "open_odds": 3.0,
        "pick_team": "Br\u00f8nsh\u00f8j",
        "steam_score": 76,
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        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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          "CLV tracking",
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      "venue_name": "Frederiksberg Idraetspark"
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      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "risk_band": "strong",
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        "slot": "hero_display"
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          "side_label": "FA 2000"
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T13:23:51.185060+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}