Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2982,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.58,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.42,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.341,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.35,
      "fair_odds_draw": 2.93,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.77,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.07,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3608,
      "over_25_prob": 0.329,
      "prediction_confidence": "low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.671
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Universitatea Craiova",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Universitatea Craiova"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.95,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Rapid",
      "confidence": null,
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        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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        "edge_gap": 0.0197,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3177,
        "model_prob": 0.3607,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 29.8,
          "draw": 34.1,
          "home": 36.1
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.96
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.96,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Rapid Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.15,
        "market_odds": 2.96,
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        "overround": 6.3,
        "prob_edge": 2.3,
        "value_pct": 6.9,
        "value_rating": "small_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 39,
        "away_score_rate": 61.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 11,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 39,
        "home_score_rate": 65.7,
        "no_prob": 58.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 58.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 42.0
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        "home_expected": 1.07,
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            "away": 0,
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            "prob": 14.2
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Rapid or Universitatea Craiova",
            "prob": 65.9
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Universitatea Craiova",
            "prob": 63.9
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Rapid or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.2
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 34.1,
        "home_pct": 36.1,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Rapid"
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
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        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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      "home_team": "Rapid",
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      "max_abs_move_pp": 1.42,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 39.02,
          "gap_pp": -9.2,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 29.83
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.53,
          "gap_pp": -14.63,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 32.9
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.47,
          "gap_pp": 14.63,
          "kind": "ou_u",
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          "closing": 2.96,
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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          "raw_pct": -32.6,
          "text": "-32.6%"
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        "ev_under_display": {
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          "raw_pct": 24.1,
          "text": "+24.1%"
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        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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      {
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          "raw_pct": 18.9,
          "text": "+18.9%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.223,
        "ev_yes_display": {
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          "raw_pct": -22.3,
          "text": "-22.3%"
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 632,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/632.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Universitatea Craiova",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531648,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6231,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6231.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Rapid",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-25 17:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "implied_prob": 0.3902,
            "model_prob": 0.2983,
            "p_final": 0.3545
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          "draw": {
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            "best_odd": 3.22,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0136,
            "ev": -0.0157,
            "implied_prob": 0.2921,
            "model_prob": 0.341,
            "p_final": 0.3057
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.421,
            "best_odd": 2.96,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0181,
            "ev": -0.006,
            "implied_prob": 0.3177,
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            "p_final": 0.3358
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge_yes": -0.1073,
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          "ev_yes": -0.223,
          "implied_no": 0.4727,
          "implied_yes": 0.5273,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 1.85,
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          "edge_under": 0.145,
          "ev_available": true,
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          "ev_under": 0.2413,
          "implied_over": 0.474,
          "implied_under": 0.526,
          "n_bookmakers": 12,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.02,
      "variance_flag": false
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    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
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          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
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          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3607,
          "over_prob": 0.329,
          "total_xg": 2.02,
          "under_prob": 0.671,
          "xg_diff": 0.12
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "ev": -0.006,
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3607,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Rapid"
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        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "value_side": "under"
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2413,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2983,
        "draw": 0.341,
        "home": 0.3607
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.189,
        "implied_prob": 0.4727,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.58,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "market": "btts",
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          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
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          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Universitatea Craiova",
        "home": "Rapid"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.161912,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2413,
        "implied_prob": 0.526,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.671,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1531648,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-25T18:19:17.540110+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}