Estadísticas / Fútbol / Romania. Liga I / Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj

Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 17:30
5 1.58
0 0.78
xG Accuracy: 32%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0 5-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "66c4380b2dc52527548bffbf90ccdbf8ca49c70b149377b91c82fd18e8f89c36",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.78,
      "away_win_prob": 0.169,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2822,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.92,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.54,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.82,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.58,
      "home_win_prob": 0.5488,
      "prediction_confidence": "low"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Universitatea Cluj",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Universitatea Craiova",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Universitatea Cluj"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.78,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Universitatea Craiova",
      "confidence": 54.9,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "medium",
        "display_text": "Winner : Universitatea Craiova",
        "edge": 0.0563,
        "edge_gap": 0.2667,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4927,
        "model_prob": 0.549,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 16.9,
          "draw": 28.2,
          "home": 54.9
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Universitatea Craiova"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.88
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.88,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Universitatea Craiova Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.03,
        "market_odds": 1.88,
        "model_odds": 1.82,
        "overround": 8.0,
        "prob_edge": 1.8,
        "value_pct": 3.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 15,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 38,
        "away_score_rate": 54.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 17,
        "home_failed_to_score": 7,
        "home_played": 38,
        "home_score_rate": 79.4,
        "no_prob": 55.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.78,
        "home_expected": 1.58,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 11.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 9.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Universitatea Craiova or Draw",
            "prob": 83.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Universitatea Craiova or Universitatea Cluj",
            "prob": 71.8
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Universitatea Cluj",
            "prob": 45.1
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Universitatea Craiova or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 83.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 16.9,
        "draw_pct": 28.2,
        "home_pct": 54.9,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Universitatea Craiova"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.36,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 42.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.36,
        "under_prob": 58.0
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 3.3,
        "implied_prob": 53.2,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Universitatea Craiova Win",
        "model_prob": 54.9,
        "odds": 1.88
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Universitatea Cluj",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Universitatea Craiova",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 49.27,
          "gap_pp": 5.63,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 54.9
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.57,
          "gap_pp": 0.66,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 28.22
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.16,
          "gap_pp": -6.28,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 16.88
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.88,
          "gap_pp": -2.88,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 42.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 55.12,
          "gap_pp": 2.88,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 58.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.88,
          "early": 1.88,
          "implied_closing_pct": 49.27,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 49.27,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.36,
          "early": 3.36,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.57,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.57,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.0,
          "early": 4.0,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.16,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.16,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.1,
          "early": 2.1,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.88,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.88,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.71,
          "early": 1.71,
          "implied_closing_pct": 55.12,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 55.12,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 5.6,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 14.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.58,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0379,
        "ev_yes": -0.1501,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0379,
        "no_prob": 55.5,
        "sort_key": 10034.11,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.097,
        "ev_under": 0.015,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.015,
        "over_prob": 42.0,
        "sort_key": 5212.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 58.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0156,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4927,
        "max_ev": -0.0156,
        "model_prob": 0.549,
        "side_label": "Universitatea Craiova",
        "sort_key": 1796.1,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 14.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2599,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2599.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Universitatea Cluj",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531646,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 632,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/632.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Universitatea Craiova",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1812,
            "best_odd": 4.0,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0114,
            "ev": -0.1192,
            "implied_prob": 0.2316,
            "model_prob": 0.1688,
            "p_final": 0.2202
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2971,
            "best_odd": 3.36,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0019,
            "ev": -0.0671,
            "implied_prob": 0.2757,
            "model_prob": 0.2822,
            "p_final": 0.2776
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5494,
            "best_odd": 1.88,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0309,
            "ev": -0.0156,
            "implied_prob": 0.4927,
            "model_prob": 0.549,
            "p_final": 0.5236
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.87,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.91,
          "edge_no": 0.0457,
          "edge_yes": -0.0457,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0379,
          "ev_yes": -0.1501,
          "implied_no": 0.5093,
          "implied_yes": 0.4907,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.15,
          "best_under_odd": 1.75,
          "edge_over": -0.0269,
          "edge_under": 0.0269,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.097,
          "ev_under": 0.015,
          "implied_over": 0.4469,
          "implied_under": 0.5531,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.36,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0379,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [],
        "breakdown_resolved": [],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.445,
          "draw_prob": 0.2822,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.549,
          "over_prob": 0.42,
          "total_xg": 2.36,
          "under_prob": 0.58,
          "xg_diff": 0.8
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0379,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.5093,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.555,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0309,
          "ev": -0.0156,
          "implied_prob": 0.4927,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.549,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Universitatea Craiova"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0457,
          "ev": 0.0379,
          "implied_prob": 0.5093,
          "model_prob": 0.555,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0269,
          "ev": 0.015,
          "implied_prob": 0.5531,
          "model_prob": 0.58,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1531646,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0379,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1688,
        "draw": 0.2822,
        "home": 0.549
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Universitatea Cluj",
        "home": "Universitatea Craiova"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1531646,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:58:56.496238+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Liga I Liga IClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Universitatea Craiova 9 6 1 2 49
2 Universitatea Cluj 9 6 0 3 45
3 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 4 3 2 42
4 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 3 3 3 38
5 Rapid 9 1 2 6 33
6 Arges Pitesti 9 1 3 5 31
7 FCSB 30 13 7 10 46
8 Uta Arad 30 11 10 9 43
9 FC Botosani 30 11 9 10 42
10 Oţelul 30 11 8 11 41
11 Farul Constanta 30 10 7 13 37
12 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 7 11 12 32
13 Csikszereda 30 8 8 14 32
14 Unirea Slobozia 30 7 4 19 25
15 AFC Hermannstadt 30 5 8 17 23
16 Metaloglobus 30 2 6 22 12
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 FCSB 30 48 40 +8 46
2 Oţelul 30 39 32 +7 41
3 Farul Constanta 30 39 37 +2 37
4 Uta Arad 30 39 44 -5 43
5 FC Botosani 30 37 29 +8 42
6 Csikszereda 30 30 58 -28 32
7 AFC Hermannstadt 30 29 50 -21 23
8 Unirea Slobozia 30 27 46 -19 25
9 Metaloglobus 30 25 66 -41 12
10 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 24 31 -7 32
11 Universitatea Craiova 9 12 6 +6 49
12 Universitatea Cluj 9 12 10 +2 45
13 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 12 11 +1 38
14 Rapid 9 8 14 -6 33
15 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 7 6 +1 42
16 Arges Pitesti 9 5 9 -4 31
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 FCSB 30 50.6 28.2 +22.4 46
2 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 43.7 24.3 +19.4 38
3 Universitatea Craiova 9 37.5 24.4 +13.1 49
4 Oţelul 30 41.3 33.1 +8.2 41
5 Farul Constanta 30 37.8 33.2 +4.6 37
6 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 34.8 32.4 +2.4 42
7 Rapid 9 35.3 33.2 +2.1 33
8 FC Botosani 30 33.9 32.2 +1.7 42
9 Universitatea Cluj 9 32.0 30.8 +1.2 45
10 Arges Pitesti 9 26.0 25.8 +0.2 31
11 AFC Hermannstadt 30 29.8 31.9 -2.1 23
12 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 28.9 34.5 -5.6 32
13 Uta Arad 30 33.5 42.0 -8.5 43
14 Unirea Slobozia 30 26.9 39.8 -12.9 25
15 Metaloglobus 30 23.1 42.4 -19.3 12
16 Csikszereda 30 22.9 49.8 -26.9 32