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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Tyumen Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "54f6649df992347728f65822abac68410e0c32f2a3e3a1ff16eac81b81c33bcd",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Tyumen or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Tyumen"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Tyumen",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0434,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3742,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 14,
"away_score_rate": 78.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 14,
"home_score_rate": 71.4,
"no_prob": 43.9,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 56.1,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 56.1
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.65,
"home_expected": 1.6,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 6.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Tyumen or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Tyumen or Amkar",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Amkar",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Tyumen or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Tyumen"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 3.25,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.6,
"over_prob": 63.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 63.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.25,
"under_prob": 37.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Amkar",
"closing_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Tyumen",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 37.42,
"gap_pp": 4.34,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.22,
"gap_pp": -1.55,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.36,
"gap_pp": -2.8,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 51.22,
"gap_pp": 11.78,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 63.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.78,
"gap_pp": -11.78,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 37.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.83,
"gap_pp": 0.27,
"kind": "btts_y",
"model_pct": 56.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.17,
"gap_pp": -0.27,
"kind": "btts_n",
"model_pct": 43.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.4,
"early": 2.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 37.42,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 37.42,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.3,
"early": 3.3,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.22,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.54,
"early": 2.54,
"implied_closing_pct": 35.36,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 35.36,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.8,
"early": 1.8,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.22,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.89,
"early": 1.89,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.78,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.78,
"kind": "ou_u"
},
{
"closing": 1.63,
"early": 1.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.83,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.83,
"kind": "btts_y"
},
{
"closing": 2.06,
"early": 2.06,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.17,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.17,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 11.8,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.134,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 13.4,
"text": "+13.4%"
},
"ev_under": -0.2896,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -29.0,
"text": "-29.0%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.134,
"over_prob": 63.0,
"sort_key": 10270.6,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 37.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0562,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -5.6,
"text": "-5.6%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.0856,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.6,
"text": "-8.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0562,
"no_prob": 43.9,
"sort_key": 1785.95,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 56.1
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.058,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -5.8,
"text": "-5.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3742,
"max_ev": -0.058,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -5.8,
"text": "-5.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Tyumen",
"sort_key": 1785.5,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 810.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1076,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1076.webp",
"away_team_name": "Amkar",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ru.svg",
"country_name": "Russia",
"fixture_id": 1526737,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2000,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2000.webp",
"home_team_name": "Tyumen",
"league_country": "Russia",
"league_id": 1026,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1026.webp",
"league_name": "Second League A - Division A Silver",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 10:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4311,
"best_odd": 2.54,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0121,
"ev": -0.1325,
"implied_prob": 0.3536,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3416
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.293,
"best_odd": 3.3,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0045,
"ev": -0.1168,
"implied_prob": 0.2722,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2676
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4207,
"best_odd": 2.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0183,
"ev": -0.058,
"implied_prob": 0.3742,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3925
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.15,
"best_yes_odd": 1.63,
"edge_no": 0.0029,
"edge_yes": -0.0029,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0562,
"ev_yes": -0.0856,
"implied_no": 0.4361,
"implied_yes": 0.5639,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.8,
"best_under_odd": 1.92,
"edge_over": 0.1156,
"edge_under": -0.1156,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.134,
"ev_under": -0.2896,
"implied_over": 0.5144,
"implied_under": 0.4856,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.134,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.561,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.63,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.37,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0183,
"ev": -0.058,
"implied_prob": 0.3742,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Tyumen"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0029,
"ev": -0.0562,
"implied_prob": 0.4361,
"model_prob": 0.439,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1156,
"ev": 0.134,
"implied_prob": 0.5144,
"model_prob": 0.63,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1526737,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.134,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Amkar",
"home": "Tyumen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.08442,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.134,
"implied_prob": 0.5144,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.63,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1526737,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T18:16:10.049933+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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Second League A - Division A Silver — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 | Kaluga | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Torpedo Miass | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Irtysh Omsk | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Urozhay | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Avangard Kursk | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 8 | Murom | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaluga | 14 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 2 | Rodina Moskva II | 14 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 25 |
| 3 | Irtysh Omsk | 14 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Miass | 14 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Urozhay | 14 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Avangard Kursk | 14 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Dinamo Vladivostok | 14 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | Murom | 14 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
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