Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 FK Petrovac FK Petrovac ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.62
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
FK Petrovac win · FK Petrovac 1–0 Jedinstvo
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "22646bfe4c5a1bdc84760d86ed6349707659bdcaa0d641dfa627d4bc4b912e7c",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : FK Petrovac or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "FK Petrovac"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "FK Petrovac",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1309,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5486,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 17,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 48.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 72.7,
"no_prob": 64.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 64.7,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 35.3
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.9,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 14.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 11.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 9.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "FK Petrovac or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "FK Petrovac or Jedinstvo",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Jedinstvo",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "FK Petrovac or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "FK Petrovac"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.2,
"away_avg_scored": 0.8,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 37.7,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.3,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.2,
"under_prob": 62.3
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Jedinstvo",
"closing_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "FK Petrovac",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.86,
"gap_pp": -13.09,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.39,
"gap_pp": 0.28,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 19.75,
"gap_pp": 12.82,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.95,
"gap_pp": -16.25,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 37.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.05,
"gap_pp": 16.25,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 62.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.62,
"early": 1.62,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.86,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.86,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.5,
"early": 3.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.39,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.39,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.5,
"early": 4.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 19.75,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 19.75,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.75,
"early": 1.75,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.95,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.95,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.05,
"early": 2.05,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.05,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.05,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 16.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 14.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1193,
"ev_yes": -0.294,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1193,
"no_prob": 64.7,
"sort_key": 10257.37,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 35.3
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2083,
"ev_under": 0.0591,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0591,
"over_prob": 37.7,
"sort_key": 10053.19,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 62.3,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.2136,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5486,
"max_ev": -0.0181,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "FK Petrovac",
"sort_key": 1795.475,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 823.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 14.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3747,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3747.webp",
"away_team_name": "Jedinstvo",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/me.svg",
"country_name": "Montenegro",
"fixture_id": 1497937,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3741,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3741.webp",
"home_team_name": "FK Petrovac",
"league_country": "Montenegro",
"league_id": 355,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/355.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Liga de Montenegro",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 18:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1616,
"best_odd": 4.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0207,
"ev": -0.0181,
"implied_prob": 0.1975,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2182
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2988,
"best_odd": 3.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0008,
"ev": -0.1084,
"implied_prob": 0.2539,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2547
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4822,
"best_odd": 1.62,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0631,
"ev": -0.2136,
"implied_prob": 0.5486,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4855
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.73,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": 0.1059,
"edge_yes": -0.1059,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1193,
"ev_yes": -0.294,
"implied_no": 0.5411,
"implied_yes": 0.4589,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.7,
"edge_over": -0.071,
"edge_under": 0.071,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2083,
"ev_under": 0.0591,
"implied_over": 0.448,
"implied_under": 0.552,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1193,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.353,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.377,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.623,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0631,
"ev": -0.2136,
"implied_prob": 0.5486,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "FK Petrovac"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1059,
"ev": 0.1193,
"implied_prob": 0.5411,
"model_prob": 0.647,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.071,
"ev": 0.0591,
"implied_prob": 0.552,
"model_prob": 0.623,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1497937,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1193,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Jedinstvo",
"home": "FK Petrovac"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.077187,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1193,
"implied_prob": 0.5411,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.647,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1497937,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T17:59:09.152033+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para FK Petrovac & Jedinstvo!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Primera Liga de Montenegro — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutjeska | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 72 |
| 2 | Mornar Bar | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 69 |
| 3 | FK Petrovac | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Dečić | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 51 |
| 5 | Buducnost Podgorica | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 |
| 6 | Mladost DG | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | Arsenal Tivat | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 46 |
| 8 | Jezero | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41 |
| 9 | Bokelj | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 |
| 10 | Jedinstvo | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 35 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutjeska | 36 | 61 | 36 | +25 | 72 |
| 2 | Mornar Bar | 36 | 51 | 29 | +22 | 69 |
| 3 | Mladost DG | 36 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 4 | FK Petrovac | 36 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 51 |
| 5 | Dečić | 36 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 51 |
| 6 | Jezero | 36 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 41 |
| 7 | Bokelj | 36 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
| 8 | Buducnost Podgorica | 36 | 36 | 35 | +1 | 48 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tivat | 36 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Jedinstvo | 36 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 35 |
