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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Piteå W Brommapojkarna W ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-2, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "9cf2d7d1e3ea062967151d7bb735625d3861ba63557d055afaa566e1e64c71d2",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.1919,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.1998,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.6084,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.47,
"away_win_prob": 0.1919,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.1919,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.275,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.725,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.1998,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.1998,
"fair_odds_away": 5.21,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 5.21,
"fair_odds_draw": 5.01,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 5.01,
"fair_odds_home": 1.64,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 1.64,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.67,
"home_win_prob": 0.6084,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.6084,
"over_25_prob": 0.782,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"under_25_prob": 0.218
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Pite\u00e5 W or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Pite\u00e5 W",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Pite\u00e5 W"
},
"away_xg": 1.47,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"confidence": 60.9,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Pite\u00e5 W",
"edge": 0.0508,
"edge_gap": 0.4096,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5582,
"model_prob": 0.609,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 19.2,
"draw": 19.9,
"home": 60.9
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Pite\u00e5 W"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.64
}
],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.64,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Pite\u00e5 W Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.79,
"market_odds": 1.64,
"model_odds": 1.64,
"overround": 9.2,
"prob_edge": 0.0,
"value_pct": 0.0,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 0,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 8,
"away_score_rate": 77.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 8,
"home_score_rate": 93.1,
"no_prob": 27.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 72.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 72.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.47,
"home_expected": 2.67,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 6.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 5.7
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Pite\u00e5 W or Draw",
"prob": 80.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Pite\u00e5 W or Brommapojkarna W",
"prob": 80.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Brommapojkarna W",
"prob": 39.2
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Pite\u00e5 W or Draw",
"pick_prob": 80.8
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 19.2,
"draw_pct": 20.0,
"home_pct": 60.8,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Pite\u00e5 W"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 4.14,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 78.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 78.2,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 4.14,
"under_prob": 21.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 0.0,
"implied_prob": 61.0,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Pite\u00e5 W Win",
"model_prob": 61.0,
"odds": 1.64
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Brommapojkarna W",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.82,
"gap_pp": 5.08,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 60.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 23.47,
"gap_pp": -3.54,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 19.93
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 20.71,
"gap_pp": -1.54,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 19.17
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.81,
"gap_pp": 20.39,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 78.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.19,
"gap_pp": -20.39,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 21.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.64,
"early": 1.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.82,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.82,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.9,
"early": 3.9,
"implied_closing_pct": 23.47,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 23.47,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 4.42,
"early": 4.42,
"implied_closing_pct": 20.71,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 20.71,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.62,
"early": 1.62,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.81,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.81,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.22,
"early": 2.22,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.19,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.19,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 20.4,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
}
},
"home_xg": 2.67,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2903,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 29.0,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.516,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -51.6,
"text": "-51.6%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2903,
"over_prob": 78.2,
"sort_key": 10411.27,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 21.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.362,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -36.2,
"text": "-36.2%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.2107,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 21.1,
"text": "+21.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2107,
"no_prob": 27.5,
"sort_key": 10189.63,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 72.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0384,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -3.8,
"text": "-3.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5582,
"max_ev": -0.0384,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -3.8,
"text": "-3.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.609,
"side_label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"sort_key": 1790.4,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 804.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-1",
"top_prob": 8.3
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +17.1%",
"alert_team": "Brommapojkarna W",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 5.0,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.02,
"hero_label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"market_prob_pct": 55.8,
"market_team": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"model_prob_pct": 60.8,
"model_team": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 85,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.02,
"fair_prob": 60.84,
"label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"market_prob": 55.82,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.49,
"fair_prob": 19.98,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 23.47,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.52,
"fair_prob": 19.19,
"label": "Brommapojkarna W",
"market_prob": 20.71,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 20.48,
"fair_prob": 78.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 57.72,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -20.48,
"fair_prob": 21.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 42.28,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 15.24,
"fair_prob": 72.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 57.26,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -15.24,
"fair_prob": 27.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 42.74,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 5.02,
"fair_prob_pct": 60.84,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"market_prob_pct": 55.82,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Brommapojkarna W"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 5.02,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Favourite",
"favourite_label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 55.8,
"model_prob_pct": 60.8,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both identify Pite\u00e5 W as the likely winner. Current divergence remains within normal bounds.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.02,
"hero_label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Brommapojkarna W odds lengthened \u2191 +17.1%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Brommapojkarna W has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Pite\u00e5 W.",
"note": "Drift away from Brommapojkarna W \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Pite\u00e5 W.",
"However, Brommapojkarna W has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Brommapojkarna W \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Pite\u00e5 W.",
"At the same time, Brommapojkarna W has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/13) supports the current market view on Brommapojkarna W."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.02,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 40.9 pp (at 60.8%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 40.9,
"max_prob_pct": 60.8,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.02,
"fair_prob_pct": 60.84,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"market_prob_pct": 55.82,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.49,
"fair_prob_pct": 19.98,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.47,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.52,
"fair_prob_pct": 19.19,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Brommapojkarna W",
"market_prob_pct": 20.71,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Brommapojkarna W \u2014 odds lengthened by 17.1% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Pite\u00e5 W (55.8%).",
"However, Brommapojkarna W has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +17.1%, 10/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Pite\u00e5 W, Market \u2192 Pite\u00e5 W, Recent sharp money \u2192 Brommapojkarna W.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 60.98,
"closing_odds": 1.64,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 60.98,
"entry_odds": 1.64,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.1,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +17.1%",
"move_pct_abs": 17.1,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 19h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"10/13 books synchronized on Brommapojkarna W (17.1% steam, score 85) \u2014 high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.",
"Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "4.42 \u2192 3.50 \u2192 4.10",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 19h 57m",
"pick_team": "Brommapojkarna W",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.42"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.10"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,6.3",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 3.5,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Brommapojkarna W \u2191 +17.1% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Brommapojkarna W",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Brommapojkarna W \u2191 +17.1% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "steam",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udd25",
"signal_key": "strong_steam",
"signal_label": "Strong steam",
"steam_score": 85,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/13",
"current_odds": 4.1,
"move_display": "\u2191 +17.1%",
"open_odds": 3.5,
"pick_team": "Brommapojkarna W",
"steam_score": 85,
"steam_team_name": "Brommapojkarna W",
"steam_tier": "A+"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 16004,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16004.webp",
"away_team_name": "Brommapojkarna W",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1495491,
"goals_away": 0,
"goals_home": 1,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 10900,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10900.webp",
"home_team_name": "Pite\u00e5 W",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 549,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/549.webp",
"league_name": "Damallsvenskan",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 10:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Second Half",
"status_short": "2H",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "LF Arena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1954,
"best_odd": 4.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.003,
"ev": -0.0979,
"implied_prob": 0.2071,
"model_prob": 0.1917,
"p_final": 0.2041
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2841,
"best_odd": 3.9,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.01,
"ev": -0.1238,
"implied_prob": 0.2347,
"model_prob": 0.1993,
"p_final": 0.2247
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5543,
"best_odd": 1.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0282,
"ev": -0.0384,
"implied_prob": 0.5582,
"model_prob": 0.609,
"p_final": 0.5863
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.32,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": -0.1524,
"edge_yes": 0.1524,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.362,
"ev_yes": 0.2107,
"implied_no": 0.4274,
"implied_yes": 0.5726,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.65,
"best_under_odd": 2.22,
"edge_over": 0.2048,
"edge_under": -0.2048,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2903,
"ev_under": -0.516,
"implied_over": 0.5772,
"implied_under": 0.4228,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 4.14,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2903,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.725,
"draw_prob": 0.1993,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.609,
"over_prob": 0.782,
"total_xg": 4.14,
"under_prob": 0.218,
"xg_diff": 1.2
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0282,
"ev": -0.0384,
"implied_prob": 0.5582,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.609,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Pite\u00e5 W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1524,
"ev": 0.2107,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"model_prob": 0.725,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2048,
"ev": 0.2903,
"implied_prob": 0.5772,
"model_prob": 0.782,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1495491,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2903,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1917,
"draw": 0.1993,
"home": 0.609
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2107,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.725,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2107,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.725,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Brommapojkarna W",
"home": "Pite\u00e5 W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.227015,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2903,
"implied_prob": 0.5772,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.782,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495491,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T12:56:37.556645+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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