Estadísticas / Fútbol / Tailandia. Liga Tailandesa 1 / Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC Statistics & Analysis

May 02, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.19
0 0.85
xG Accuracy: 75%
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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo

Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.

  • Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
  • Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
  • 1X2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC Nakhon Ratchasima FC ✔ Correcto
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correcto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 03:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1805539

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nakhon Ratchasima FC win · Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1–0 Sukhothai FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Informe IA del partido

Resumen del partido IA

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Tailandesa 1
  • Fixture: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Sukhothai FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-02 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.1% · Draw 33.3% · Away 24.6%
  • xG (showing): Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1.19 — Sukhothai FC 0.85 (total xG ≈ 2.04)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 66.6% · Implied: 52.7% · Probability edge: +13.9 pts · Est. EV: +19.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 41.5% · No 58.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (15.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Recomendación histórica

Decisión histórica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Resultado: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Factores de riesgo considerados antes del inicio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Última actualización

May 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Tailandesa 1 Liga Tailandesa 1 — Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Buriram United 30 22 4 4 70
2 Port FC 30 18 6 6 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 59
4 Bangkok Glass 30 14 10 6 52
5 Bangkok United 30 13 11 6 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 45
7 Chiangrai United 30 9 13 8 40
8 Chonburi FC 30 10 9 11 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 37
10 Ayutthaya FC 30 8 8 14 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 29
13 Sukhothai FC 30 6 10 14 28
14 Muangthong United 30 6 8 16 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 23
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Buriram United 30 76 31 +45 70
2 Port FC 30 59 23 +36 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 55 30 +25 59
4 Bangkok Glass 30 45 29 +16 52
5 Rayong FC 30 44 49 -5 37
6 Bangkok United 30 43 32 +11 50
7 Prachuap 30 39 37 +2 45
8 Uthai Thani 30 39 44 -5 31
9 Chonburi FC 30 38 41 -3 39
10 Chiangrai United 30 36 37 -1 40
11 Lamphun Warrior 30 35 47 -12 29
12 Ayutthaya FC 30 34 50 -16 32
13 Kanchanaburi 30 29 54 -25 23
14 Muangthong United 30 27 52 -25 26
15 Sukhothai FC 30 23 42 -19 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 20 44 -24 24
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- Pts
1 Buriram United 30 13.4 6.1 +7.3 70
2 Bangkok United 30 13.3 7.2 +6.1 50
3 Port FC 30 12.0 8.3 +3.7 60
4 Prachuap 30 10.3 6.6 +3.7 45
5 Ayutthaya FC 30 10.3 7.9 +2.4 32
6 Rayong FC 30 9.8 7.8 +2.0 37
7 Muangthong United 30 10.3 9.8 +0.5 26
8 Chonburi FC 30 8.9 10.1 -1.2 39
9 Ratchaburi 30 10.8 12.2 -1.4 59
10 Lamphun Warrior 30 9.5 11.1 -1.6 29
11 Uthai Thani 30 9.0 10.8 -1.8 31
12 Bangkok Glass 30 8.1 9.9 -1.8 52
13 Kanchanaburi 30 9.0 12.2 -3.2 23
14 Chiangrai United 30 8.4 11.8 -3.4 40
15 Sukhothai FC 30 7.8 13.3 -5.5 28
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6.5 12.2 -5.7 24