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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Baník Ostrava Sub-19 Baník Ostrava Sub-19 ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 3-2 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.04
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Baník Ostrava Sub-19 win · Baník Ostrava Sub-19 3–2 Pardubice Sub-19
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19 or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0232,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4408,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 26,
"away_score_rate": 84.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 25,
"home_score_rate": 92.0,
"no_prob": 22.2,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 77.8,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 77.8
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"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.7,
"home_expected": 1.75,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
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},
{
"away": 1,
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"label": "2-1",
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
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"prob": 8.0
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 5.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19 or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19 or Pardubice Sub-19",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Pardubice Sub-19",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19 or Draw",
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"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 35.0,
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"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19"
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"over_under": {
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"away_avg_scored": 1.8,
"confidence": "high",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 67.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.45,
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},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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{
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"movement": [
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{
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{
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"kind": "1x2_a"
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{
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{
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],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.334,
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"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 22.2,
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"tier": "best",
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{
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"side_label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19",
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
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],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 14836,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14836.webp",
"away_team_name": "Pardubice Sub-19",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
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"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
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"home_team_id": 14830,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14830.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 668,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/668.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Liga Sub-19 de Rep\u00fablica Checa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 2.81,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0025,
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},
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"best_yes_odd": 1.39,
"edge_no": -0.0993,
"edge_yes": 0.0993,
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"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": 0.0001,
"edge_under": -0.0001,
"ev_available": true,
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"ev_under": -0.0826,
"implied_over": 0.6699,
"implied_under": 0.3301,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
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"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0814,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.778,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.67,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.33,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0101,
"ev": -0.1213,
"implied_prob": 0.4408,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0993,
"ev": 0.0814,
"implied_prob": 0.6787,
"model_prob": 0.778,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0001,
"ev": -0.0821,
"implied_prob": 0.6699,
"model_prob": 0.67,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1490708,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0814,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Pardubice Sub-19",
"home": "Ban\u00edk Ostrava Sub-19"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0814,
"implied_prob": 0.6787,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.778,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1490708,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:02:46.322533+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Primera Liga Sub-19 de República Checa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové Sub-19 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 60 |
| 2 | Baník Ostrava Sub-19 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 54 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň Sub-19 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Karviná Sub-19 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Mladá Boleslav Sub-19 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Sparta Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno Sub-19 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Slavia Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 44 |
| 9 | Dukla Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 42 |
| 10 | České Budějovice Sub-19 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 41 |
| 11 | Pardubice Sub-19 | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 39 |
| 12 | Slovácko Sub-19 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39 |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc Sub-19 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 |
| 14 | Zlín Sub-19 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| 15 | Slovan Liberec U19 | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 28 |
| 16 | Vysočina Jihlava U19 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hradec Králové Sub-19 | 29 | 70 | 36 | +34 | 60 |
| 2 | Slavia Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 44 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava Sub-19 | 30 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 54 |
| 4 | Viktoria Plzeň Sub-19 | 29 | 59 | 46 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 | Sparta Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | České Budějovice Sub-19 | 29 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Mladá Boleslav Sub-19 | 30 | 55 | 43 | +12 | 45 |
| 8 | Karviná Sub-19 | 30 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 | Slovan Liberec U19 | 29 | 53 | 73 | -20 | 28 |
| 10 | Pardubice Sub-19 | 29 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 39 |
| 11 | Dukla Praga Sub-19 | 29 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 42 |
| 12 | Zlín Sub-19 | 29 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 32 |
| 13 | Zbrojovka Brno Sub-19 | 30 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 | Slovácko Sub-19 | 30 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | Sigma Olomouc Sub-19 | 29 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Vysočina Jihlava U19 | 30 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 19 |
