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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Slovan Velvary Slovan Velvary ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 3-1 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Slovan Velvary win · Slovan Velvary 3–1 Jablonec II
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Slovan Velvary or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Slovan Velvary"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0249,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
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},
"market_comparison": [],
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"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 26,
"away_score_rate": 80.8,
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"pick": "No",
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"source": "avg"
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{
"key": "12",
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{
"key": "X2",
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],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Slovan Velvary or Draw",
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"over_under": {
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"confidence": "high",
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"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
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"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0556,
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"featured": true,
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"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "over"
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{
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"id": "btts",
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{
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"tier": "bad_ev"
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
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}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12797,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12797.webp",
"away_team_name": "Jablonec II",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1489562,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 7348,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7348.webp",
"home_team_name": "Slovan Velvary",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 685,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/685.webp",
"league_name": "Tercera Liga - CFL B de Rep\u00fablica Checa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
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"best_odd": 3.03,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0068,
"ev": -0.0635,
"implied_prob": 0.3023,
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"p_final": 0.3091
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.59,
"calibration": {
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"edge": 0.0005,
"ev": -0.0823,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
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"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.0623,
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"ev_available": true,
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"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": 0.0938,
"edge_under": -0.0938,
"ev_available": true,
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"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0906,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2567,
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"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
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},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"ev": -0.1063,
"implied_prob": 0.4425,
"max_ev_side": "away",
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "Slovan Velvary"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.0623,
"ev": 0.0906,
"implied_prob": 0.3477,
"model_prob": 0.41,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
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"ev": 0.0556,
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"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1489562,
"match_regime": {
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"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
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"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
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],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Jablonec II",
"home": "Slovan Velvary"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0556,
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"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.723,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1489562,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:59:02.133116+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Tercera Liga - CFL B de República Checa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kladno | 32 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 72 |
| 2 | Jiskra Domažlice | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 69 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 61 |
| 4 | Písek | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Králův Dvůr | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Admira Praga | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Slavia III | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | České Budějovice II | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Aritma Praha | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Loko Vltavín | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 44 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 40 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 B | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 38 |
| 14 | Motorlet Praga | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 15 | Sokol Hostouň | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 34 |
| 16 | Petřín Plzeň | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 28 |
| 17 | Táborsko II | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kladno | 32 | 84 | 26 | +58 | 72 |
| 2 | Jiskra Domažlice | 32 | 80 | 42 | +38 | 69 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 32 | 75 | 53 | +22 | 61 |
| 4 | České Budějovice II | 32 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Králův Dvůr | 32 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 49 |
| 6 | Bohemians 1905 B | 32 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia III | 32 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Písek | 32 | 50 | 38 | +12 | 52 |
| 9 | Dukla Praha II | 32 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 | Admira Praga | 32 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 48 |
| 11 | Aritma Praha | 32 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 45 |
| 12 | Příbram II | 32 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Petřín Plzeň | 32 | 38 | 73 | -35 | 28 |
| 14 | Loko Vltavín | 32 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 44 |
| 15 | Motorlet Praga | 32 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Sokol Hostouň | 32 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Táborsko II | 32 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 16 |
