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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Skaštice Uherský Brod ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-2, 0-1, 0-3, 1-2, 1-1 1-4 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.48
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Uherský Brod win · Skaštice 1–4 Uherský Brod
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
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"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Uhersk\u00fd Brod"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.226,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1917,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
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},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 25,
"away_score_rate": 96.0,
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"home_played": 25,
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"pick": "Yes",
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"source": "stats",
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"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 0.65,
"scores": [
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{
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{
"away": 3,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-3",
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{
"away": 2,
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{
"away": 1,
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"label": "1-1",
"prob": 7.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ska\u0161tice or Draw",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ska\u0161tice or Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
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}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
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"pick_prob": 90.0
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"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 3.0,
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"confidence": "medium",
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"over_prob": 57.7,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 57.7,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.0,
"under_prob": 42.3
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ska\u0161tice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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"movement": [
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"same_bookmaker": true,
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "0-2",
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.258,
"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "-25.8%"
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"ev_yes": 0.1462,
"ev_yes_display": {
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"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"tier": "best",
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{
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"ev_under": -0.1836,
"ev_under_display": {
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{
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"tier": "risk",
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],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 8624,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8624.webp",
"away_team_name": "Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1487707,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
"home_team_id": 7341,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7341.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ska\u0161tice",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 354,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/354.webp",
"league_name": "Cuarta Liga - Divisi\u00f3n E de Rep\u00fablica Checa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-31 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
"alpha": 0.3558,
"best_odd": 1.48,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0965,
"ev": -0.2594,
"implied_prob": 0.597,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.5004
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"draw": {
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"calibration": {
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"ev": -0.0812,
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"ev": 0.0213,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.99,
"edge_no": -0.109,
"edge_yes": 0.109,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.258,
"ev_yes": 0.1462,
"implied_no": 0.533,
"implied_yes": 0.467,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 1.93,
"edge_over": 0.057,
"edge_under": -0.057,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0271,
"ev_under": -0.1836,
"implied_over": 0.52,
"implied_under": 0.48,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1462,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.577,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.423,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"edge": 0.0299,
"ev": 0.0213,
"implied_prob": 0.1917,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ska\u0161tice"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.109,
"ev": 0.1462,
"implied_prob": 0.467,
"model_prob": 0.576,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.057,
"ev": 0.0271,
"implied_prob": 0.52,
"model_prob": 0.577,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1487707,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1462,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Uhersk\u00fd Brod",
"home": "Ska\u0161tice"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.084211,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1462,
"implied_prob": 0.467,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.576,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1487707,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-31T18:40:02.018809+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Cuarta Liga - División E de República Checa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uherský Brod | 27 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 69 |
| 2 | Kozlovice | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 56 |
| 3 | Tatran Všechovice | 28 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 53 |
| 4 | Strání | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Sokol Lanžhot | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Slavičín | 27 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 |
| 7 | Brumov | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 43 |
| 8 | Bzenec | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 41 |
| 9 | Baťov | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34 |
| 10 | Břeclav | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 33 |
| 11 | Kroměříž II | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 27 |
| 12 | Holešov | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24 |
| 13 | Šternberk | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 |
| 15 | Skaštice | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 13 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 28 | 67 | 38 | +29 | 53 |
| 2 | Kozlovice | 28 | 59 | 30 | +29 | 56 |
| 3 | Bzenec | 27 | 59 | 52 | +7 | 41 |
| 4 | Uherský Brod | 27 | 55 | 14 | +41 | 69 |
| 5 | Strání | 27 | 54 | 32 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 | Sokol Lanžhot | 26 | 45 | 25 | +20 | 45 |
| 7 | Brumov | 27 | 42 | 34 | +8 | 43 |
| 8 | Slavičín | 27 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 | Holešov | 27 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Břeclav | 28 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
| 11 | Šternberk | 28 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 22 |
| 12 | Baťov | 27 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 28 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 27 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 26 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 17 |
| 15 | Skaštice | 27 | 24 | 78 | -54 | 13 |
