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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (6 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Slovácko B Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 3-3 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Slovácko B 3–3 Vsetín
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Vset\u00edn",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Vset\u00edn"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Slov\u00e1cko B",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1172,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 11,
"away_played": 27,
"away_score_rate": 59.3,
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"home_played": 27,
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"pick": "No",
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"source": "stats",
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"scores": [
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{
"away": 2,
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"label": "1-2",
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
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{
"away": 0,
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"label": "1-0",
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"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
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"label": "Slov\u00e1cko B or Draw",
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{
"key": "12",
"label": "Slov\u00e1cko B or Vset\u00edn",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
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"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Vset\u00edn",
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"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
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"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.9,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "medium",
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"over_prob": 55.4,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 55.4,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.9,
"under_prob": 44.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2342,
"ev_yes": -0.2537,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 56.1,
"sort_key": 10360.78,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
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{
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"ev": -0.194,
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"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
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"max_ev": -0.0201,
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"side_label": "Slov\u00e1cko B",
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"ev_over": -0.036,
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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},
{
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"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 814.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 7377,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7377.webp",
"away_team_name": "Vset\u00edn",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1487422,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 8623,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8623.webp",
"home_team_name": "Slov\u00e1cko B",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 349,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
"league_name": "Tercera Liga - MSFL de Rep\u00fablica Checa",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 14:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1673,
"best_odd": 4.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0182,
"ev": -0.0201,
"implied_prob": 0.2168,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.235
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.64,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0025,
"ev": -0.087,
"implied_prob": 0.2483,
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"p_final": 0.2508
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
"active": false,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.7,
"edge_no": 0.1119,
"edge_yes": -0.1119,
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"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 2.1,
"edge_over": 0.0108,
"edge_under": -0.0108,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.036,
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"implied_over": 0.5432,
"implied_under": 0.4568,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2342,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"over_prob": 0.554,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.446,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"edge": -0.058,
"ev": -0.194,
"implied_prob": 0.5349,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Slov\u00e1cko B"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.1119,
"ev": 0.2342,
"implied_prob": 0.4491,
"model_prob": 0.561,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0108,
"ev": -0.036,
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"model_prob": 0.554,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1487422,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2342,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Vset\u00edn",
"home": "Slov\u00e1cko B"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2342,
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"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.561,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1487422,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T14:29:22.164249+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Tercera Liga - MSFL de República Checa — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Třinec | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 76 |
| 2 | Hodonín | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 70 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc II | 34 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 62 |
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 33 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 61 |
| 5 | Uničov | 33 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 61 |
| 6 | Frýdek-Místek | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Vrchovina | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 | Vsetín | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 |
| 10 | Zlín II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | Vítkovice | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 |
| 12 | Slovácko B | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 |
| 13 | Polanka nad Odrou | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 |
| 14 | Hranice | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 30 |
| 15 | Blansko | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 30 |
| 16 | Karviná II | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 |
| 17 | Hlučín | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25 |
| 18 | Start Brno | 33 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 24 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Třinec | 34 | 75 | 27 | +48 | 76 |
| 2 | Hodonín | 33 | 75 | 36 | +39 | 70 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc II | 34 | 71 | 33 | +38 | 62 |
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 33 | 67 | 46 | +21 | 61 |
| 5 | Vrchovina | 33 | 63 | 49 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 | Zlín II | 34 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 43 |
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 33 | 52 | 37 | +15 | 58 |
| 8 | Uničov | 33 | 52 | 41 | +11 | 61 |
| 9 | Unie Hlubina | 33 | 51 | 47 | +4 | 47 |
| 10 | Vsetín | 33 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Slovácko B | 33 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Vítkovice | 33 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Blansko | 33 | 44 | 77 | -33 | 30 |
| 14 | Hlučín | 33 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 25 |
| 15 | Karviná II | 33 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Hranice | 33 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 34 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 35 |
| 18 | Start Brno | 33 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
