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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Ecuador W Argentina W ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 0-1 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "1d585c3e39b18f88ae637a9504181984333eac8038b2e57b25c890a65311509f",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.12,
"away_win_prob": 0.2202,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.423,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.578,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2587,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 4.54,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.87,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 1.92,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.81,
"home_win_prob": 0.5211,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.561,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.439
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Argentina W and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Ecuador W",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Argentina W"
},
"away_xg": 1.12,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Ecuador W",
"confidence": 52.1,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "medium",
"display_text": "Winner : Ecuador W",
"edge": 0.1841,
"edge_gap": 0.2626,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.337,
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"pick_type": "winner",
"probabilities": {
"away": 22.0,
"draw": 25.9,
"home": 52.1
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Ecuador W"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.67
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.67,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Ecuador W Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.97,
"market_odds": 2.67,
"model_odds": 1.92,
"overround": 11.1,
"prob_edge": 14.6,
"value_pct": 39.1,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 7,
"away_score_rate": 67.4,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 7,
"home_score_rate": 83.6,
"no_prob": 42.2,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 57.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 57.8
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.12,
"home_expected": 1.81,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 6.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ecuador W or Draw",
"prob": 78.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ecuador W or Argentina W",
"prob": 74.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Argentina W",
"prob": 47.9
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Ecuador W or Draw",
"pick_prob": 78.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 22.0,
"draw_pct": 25.9,
"home_pct": 52.1,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Ecuador W"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.93,
"away_avg_scored": 2.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 56.1,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 56.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.93,
"under_prob": 43.9
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 39.1,
"implied_prob": 37.5,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Ecuador W Win",
"model_prob": 52.1,
"odds": 2.67
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Argentina W",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ecuador W",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.7,
"gap_pp": 18.41,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 52.11
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.12,
"gap_pp": -3.27,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.85
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 37.18,
"gap_pp": -15.14,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 22.04
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.26,
"gap_pp": 15.84,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 56.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.74,
"gap_pp": -15.84,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 43.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.67,
"early": 2.67,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.7,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.7,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.09,
"early": 3.09,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.12,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.12,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.42,
"early": 2.42,
"implied_closing_pct": 37.18,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 37.18,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.3,
"early": 2.3,
"implied_closing_pct": 40.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 40.26,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.55,
"early": 1.55,
"implied_closing_pct": 59.74,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 59.74,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 18.4,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.81,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.3184,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 31.8,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.2932,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -29.3,
"text": "-29.3%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.3184,
"over_prob": 56.1,
"sort_key": 10436.56,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 43.9,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2235,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -22.4,
"text": "-22.4%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.156,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 15.6,
"text": "+15.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.156,
"no_prob": 42.2,
"sort_key": 10140.4,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 57.8
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0599,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.0,
"text": "+6.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.337,
"max_ev": 0.0599,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 6.0,
"text": "+6.0%"
},
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"side_label": "Ecuador W",
"sort_key": 10053.91,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 812.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.8
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "3/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "3/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"alert_team": "Ecuador W",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 18.4,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 18.41,
"hero_label": "Ecuador W",
"market_prob_pct": 33.7,
"market_team": "Argentina W",
"model_prob_pct": 52.1,
"model_team": "Ecuador W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 18.41,
"fair_prob": 52.11,
"label": "Ecuador W",
"market_prob": 33.7,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.25,
"fair_prob": 25.87,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 29.12,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -15.16,
"fair_prob": 22.02,
"label": "Argentina W",
"market_prob": 37.18,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 14.7,
"fair_prob": 56.1,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 41.4,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.7,
"fair_prob": 43.9,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 58.6,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 9.73,
"fair_prob": 57.8,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 48.07,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.73,
"fair_prob": 42.2,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 51.93,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 18.41,
"fair_prob_pct": 52.11,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Ecuador W",
"market_prob_pct": 33.7,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Ecuador W"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 18.41,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Ecuador W",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 33.7,
"model_prob_pct": 52.1,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Ecuador W, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 18.41,
"hero_label": "Ecuador W",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Ecuador W odds shortened \u2193 -3.0%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Ecuador W.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Ecuador W.",
"Confirmation remains limited (3/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Ecuador W more strongly than current market pricing.",
"Recent line movement on Ecuador W (\u2193 -3.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (3/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 18.41,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 26.2 pp (at 52.1%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 26.2,
"max_prob_pct": 52.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 18.41,
"fair_prob_pct": 52.11,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ecuador W",
"market_prob_pct": 33.7,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.25,
"fair_prob_pct": 25.87,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 29.12,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -15.16,
"fair_prob_pct": 22.02,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Argentina W",
"market_prob_pct": 37.18,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Argentina W (33.7%).",
"Ecuador W has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -3.0%, 3/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Ecuador W, Market \u2192 Argentina W, Recent sharp money \u2192 Ecuador W.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 37.45,
"closing_odds": 2.67,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 37.45,
"entry_odds": 2.67,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 3,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.0,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 35h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Ecuador W (swing 2.85 \u2192 2.25 \u2192 2.62) \u2014 net 3.0% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.85 \u2192 2.25 \u2192 2.62",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 35h 57m",
"pick_team": "Ecuador W",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.85"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.25"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.62"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,6.8 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 2.7,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Ecuador W",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "3/11",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"pick_team": "Ecuador W",
"steam_score": 17,
"steam_team_name": "Ecuador W",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 18.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1782,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1782.webp",
"away_team_name": "Argentina W",
"country_code": null,
"country_flag": null,
"country_name": null,
"fixture_id": 1483045,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 1731,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1731.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ecuador W",
"league_country": "World",
"league_id": 1206,
"league_logo": null,
"league_name": "CONMEBOL Nations League Women",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-09 20:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3478,
"best_odd": 2.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0527,
"ev": -0.2277,
"implied_prob": 0.3718,
"model_prob": 0.2204,
"p_final": 0.3191
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2853,
"best_odd": 3.09,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0093,
"ev": -0.129,
"implied_prob": 0.2912,
"model_prob": 0.2585,
"p_final": 0.2819
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3257,
"best_odd": 2.67,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.06,
"ev": 0.0599,
"implied_prob": 0.337,
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"p_final": 0.397
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.84,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": -0.0973,
"edge_yes": 0.0973,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2235,
"ev_yes": 0.156,
"implied_no": 0.5193,
"implied_yes": 0.4807,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.35,
"best_under_odd": 1.61,
"edge_over": 0.147,
"edge_under": -0.147,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.3184,
"ev_under": -0.2932,
"implied_over": 0.414,
"implied_under": 0.586,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3184,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.578,
"draw_prob": 0.2585,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5211,
"over_prob": 0.561,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"under_prob": 0.439,
"xg_diff": 0.69
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.06,
"ev": 0.0599,
"implied_prob": 0.337,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ecuador W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0973,
"ev": 0.156,
"implied_prob": 0.4807,
"model_prob": 0.578,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.147,
"ev": 0.3184,
"implied_prob": 0.414,
"model_prob": 0.561,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1483045,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3184,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2204,
"draw": 0.2585,
"home": 0.5211
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.156,
"implied_prob": 0.4807,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.578,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.156,
"implied_prob": 0.4807,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.578,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Argentina W",
"home": "Ecuador W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.223278,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3184,
"implied_prob": 0.414,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.561,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1483045,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-09T19:59:04.965831+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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