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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correct
- 1X2 América W América W ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 1-3 4-1 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "422bded556e431eb47fc9dc0cc15a9e22b6e31c265fa3312dcec073a1e991be5",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Am\u00e9rica W or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Am\u00e9rica W"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Am\u00e9rica W",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1751,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2426,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 2,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 4,
"away_score_rate": 75.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 4,
"home_score_rate": 75.0,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 56.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 56.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.0,
"home_expected": 1.75,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.2
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-3",
"prob": 5.5
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Am\u00e9rica W or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Am\u00e9rica W or NJ/NY Gotham FC W",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or NJ/NY Gotham FC W",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Am\u00e9rica W or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Am\u00e9rica W"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 3.75,
"away_avg_scored": 2.0,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 3.0,
"over_prob": 72.3,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 72.3,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.75,
"under_prob": 27.7
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "NJ/NY Gotham FC W",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Am\u00e9rica W",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.26,
"gap_pp": 17.51,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.75,
"gap_pp": -2.08,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 47.99,
"gap_pp": -15.43,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 46.76,
"gap_pp": 25.54,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 72.3
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 53.24,
"gap_pp": -25.54,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 27.7
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.66,
"early": 3.66,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.26,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.26,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.2,
"early": 3.2,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.75,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.75,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.85,
"early": 1.85,
"implied_closing_pct": 47.99,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 47.99,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.97,
"early": 1.97,
"implied_closing_pct": 46.76,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 46.76,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.73,
"early": 1.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.24,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.24,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 25.5,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.446,
"ev_under": -0.5014,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.446,
"over_prob": 72.3,
"sort_key": 10551.4,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 27.7,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0296,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2426,
"max_ev": 0.0296,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Am\u00e9rica W",
"sort_key": 5223.68,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1766,
"ev_yes": 0.0285,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0285,
"no_prob": 43.8,
"sort_key": 5222.8,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 56.2
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 804.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 8.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3003,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3003.webp",
"away_team_name": "NJ/NY Gotham FC W",
"country_flag": null,
"country_name": "World",
"fixture_id": 1482133,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 14868,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14868.webp",
"home_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica W",
"league_country": "World",
"league_id": 1136,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1136.webp",
"league_name": "CONCACAF W Champions Cup",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-20 20:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4611,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0711,
"ev": -0.2437,
"implied_prob": 0.4799,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4088
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2907,
"best_odd": 3.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.006,
"ev": -0.1314,
"implied_prob": 0.2775,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2714
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2212,
"best_odd": 3.66,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0387,
"ev": 0.0296,
"implied_prob": 0.2426,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.2813
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.88,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": -0.052,
"edge_yes": 0.052,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1766,
"ev_yes": 0.0285,
"implied_no": 0.49,
"implied_yes": 0.51,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.0,
"best_under_odd": 1.8,
"edge_over": 0.2468,
"edge_under": -0.2468,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.446,
"ev_under": -0.5014,
"implied_over": 0.4762,
"implied_under": 0.5238,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.446,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.723,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.277,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0387,
"ev": 0.0296,
"implied_prob": 0.2426,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Am\u00e9rica W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.052,
"ev": 0.0285,
"implied_prob": 0.51,
"model_prob": 0.562,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2468,
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.4762,
"model_prob": 0.723,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1482133,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.446,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "NJ/NY Gotham FC W",
"home": "Am\u00e9rica W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.322458,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.4762,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.723,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1482133,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-20T19:59:04.888212+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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