Estadísticas / Fútbol / República Checa. FNL / Sparta Praga II vs Prostějov

Sparta Praga II vs Prostějov Statistics & Analysis

May 06, 2026 - 15:00
5 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 35%
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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo

Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.

  • Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
  • Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (6 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
  • 1X2 Sparta Praga II Sparta Praga II ✔ Correcto
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrecto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 16:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3128946

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sparta Praga II win · Sparta Praga II 5–1 Prostějov
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Sparta Praga II or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Sparta Praga II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Sparta Praga II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.086,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.436,
        "model_prob": 0.35,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 30.0,
          "draw": 35.0,
          "home": 35.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 8,
        "away_played": 26,
        "away_score_rate": 69.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 26,
        "home_score_rate": 50.0,
        "no_prob": 65.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 65.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 34.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.5,
        "home_expected": 1.05,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Sparta Praga II or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Sparta Praga II or Prost\u011bjov",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Prost\u011bjov",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Sparta Praga II or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Sparta Praga II"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.55,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "over_prob": 46.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.55,
        "under_prob": 53.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.3
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.5042,
        "ev_yes": -0.4187,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.5042,
        "no_prob": 65.4,
        "sort_key": 10603.78,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 34.6
      },
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1417,
        "ev_under": 0.1947,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "over_prob": 46.9,
        "sort_key": 10175.23,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 53.1,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1431,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.436,
        "max_ev": 0.0063,
        "model_prob": 0.35,
        "side_label": "Sparta Praga II",
        "sort_key": 5205.04,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 816.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.3
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3725,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3725.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Prost\u011bjov",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1477402,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 8619,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8619.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Sparta Praga II",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 346,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/346.webp",
      "league_name": "FNL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-06 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 3.11,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0004,
            "ev": -0.07,
            "implied_prob": 0.2986,
            "model_prob": 0.3,
            "p_final": 0.299
          },
          "draw": {
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            "best_odd": 3.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0222,
            "ev": 0.0063,
            "implied_prob": 0.2654,
            "model_prob": 0.35,
            "p_final": 0.2875
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3919,
            "best_odd": 2.13,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0337,
            "ev": -0.1431,
            "implied_prob": 0.436,
            "model_prob": 0.35,
            "p_final": 0.4023
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.68,
          "edge_no": 0.2449,
          "edge_yes": -0.2449,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.5042,
          "ev_yes": -0.4187,
          "implied_no": 0.4091,
          "implied_yes": 0.5909,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.83,
          "best_under_odd": 2.25,
          "edge_over": -0.0845,
          "edge_under": 0.0845,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1417,
          "ev_under": 0.1947,
          "implied_over": 0.5535,
          "implied_under": 0.4465,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.5042,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.346,
          "draw_prob": 0.35,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.35,
          "over_prob": 0.469,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.531,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0337,
          "ev": -0.1431,
          "implied_prob": 0.436,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.35,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Sparta Praga II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2449,
          "ev": 0.5042,
          "implied_prob": 0.4091,
          "model_prob": 0.654,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0845,
          "ev": 0.1947,
          "implied_prob": 0.4465,
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1477402,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.5042,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3,
        "draw": 0.35,
        "home": 0.35
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1947,
        "implied_prob": 0.4465,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.531,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1947,
          "implied_prob": 0.4465,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Prost\u011bjov",
        "home": "Sparta Praga II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.329747,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.5042,
        "implied_prob": 0.4091,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.654,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1477402,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-06T14:59:19.309831+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Volver a Estadísticas
FNL FNL — Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 Zbrojovka Brno 29 23 4 2 73
2 FC MAS Táborsko 29 16 5 8 53
3 Líšeň 29 15 7 7 52
4 Ústí nad Labem 29 15 3 11 48
5 Příbram 29 13 6 10 45
6 Baník Ostrava II 29 13 5 11 44
7 Opava 29 11 10 8 43
8 Viktoria Žižkov 29 12 5 12 41
9 Vlašim 29 10 8 11 38
10 Slavia Praga II 29 10 5 14 35
11 České Budějovice 29 10 4 15 34
12 Chrudim 29 8 8 13 32
13 Hanácká 29 9 4 16 31
14 Prostějov 29 5 12 12 27
15 Vysočina Jihlava 29 6 8 15 26
16 Sparta Praga II 29 7 4 18 25
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 Zbrojovka Brno 29 58 21 +37 73
2 Ústí nad Labem 29 52 43 +9 48
3 Líšeň 29 49 35 +14 52
4 FC MAS Táborsko 29 48 31 +17 53
5 Baník Ostrava II 29 44 38 +6 44
6 Opava 29 42 31 +11 43
7 Vlašim 29 39 31 +8 38
8 Slavia Praga II 29 39 45 -6 35
9 Viktoria Žižkov 29 37 50 -13 41
10 Chrudim 29 36 49 -13 32
11 České Budějovice 29 30 39 -9 34
12 Hanácká 29 30 42 -12 31
13 Prostějov 29 30 43 -13 27
14 Příbram 29 29 30 -1 45
15 Vysočina Jihlava 29 29 38 -9 26
16 Sparta Praga II 29 27 53 -26 25