Estadísticas / Fútbol / Ghana. Premier League / Karela vs Swedru All Blacks

Karela vs Swedru All Blacks Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Karela Karela ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-0 1-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "45ddd9aaa861b4366d63c3747b74aa3534acbb48257016435686269c8ee67cd9",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Swedru All Blacks",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Swedru All Blacks"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Karela",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.099,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3187,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 11,
        "away_failed_to_score": 14,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 56.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 15,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 68.8,
        "no_prob": 61.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 61.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 38.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.0,
        "home_expected": 0.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 14.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 14.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Karela or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Karela or Swedru All Blacks",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Swedru All Blacks",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Swedru All Blacks",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 1.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 69.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.95,
        "under_prob": 69.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Swedru All Blacks",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Karela",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.87,
          "gap_pp": 9.9,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.53,
          "gap_pp": -1.86,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 40.6,
          "gap_pp": -8.04,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 36.29,
          "gap_pp": -5.29,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 31.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 63.71,
          "gap_pp": 5.29,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 69.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.79,
          "early": 2.79,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.87,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.87,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.23,
          "early": 3.23,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.53,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.53,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.19,
          "early": 2.19,
          "implied_closing_pct": 40.6,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 40.6,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.51,
          "early": 2.51,
          "implied_closing_pct": 36.29,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 36.29,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.43,
          "early": 1.43,
          "implied_closing_pct": 63.71,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 63.71,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 9.9,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-0",
        "prob": 14.2
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2188,
        "ev_under": 0.035,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.035,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "sort_key": 10031.5,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 69.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0114,
        "ev_yes": -0.1834,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0114,
        "no_prob": 61.3,
        "sort_key": 5209.12,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 38.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.005,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3187,
        "max_ev": -0.005,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Karela",
        "sort_key": 2199.6,
        "tier": "pass"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 822.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-0",
        "top_prob": 14.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 21093,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/21093.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Swedru All Blacks",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gh.svg",
      "country_name": "Ghana",
      "fixture_id": 1468768,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 12251,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12251.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Karela",
      "league_country": "Ghana",
      "league_id": 570,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/570.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3958,
            "best_odd": 2.19,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0318,
            "ev": -0.1805,
            "implied_prob": 0.406,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3742
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2916,
            "best_odd": 3.23,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0054,
            "ev": -0.1283,
            "implied_prob": 0.2753,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2699
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3832,
            "best_odd": 2.79,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0379,
            "ev": -0.005,
            "implied_prob": 0.3187,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3566
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.65,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.11,
          "edge_no": 0.0482,
          "edge_yes": -0.0482,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0114,
          "ev_yes": -0.1834,
          "implied_no": 0.5648,
          "implied_yes": 0.4352,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.52,
          "best_under_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_over": -0.0673,
          "edge_under": 0.0673,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2188,
          "ev_under": 0.035,
          "implied_over": 0.3773,
          "implied_under": 0.6227,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.035,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.387,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.31,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.69,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.035,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.6227,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.69,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0379,
          "ev": -0.005,
          "implied_prob": 0.3187,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Karela"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0482,
          "ev": 0.0114,
          "implied_prob": 0.5648,
          "model_prob": 0.613,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0673,
          "ev": 0.035,
          "implied_prob": 0.6227,
          "model_prob": 0.69,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1468768,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.035,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Swedru All Blacks",
        "home": "Karela"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1468768,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T14:59:56.794463+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Premier League Premier LeagueClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Medeama 32 16 11 5 59
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 31 17 3 11 54
3 Hearts of Oak 32 12 15 5 51
4 Aduana Stars 32 12 11 9 47
5 Samartex 32 12 11 9 47
6 Dreams 32 13 7 12 46
7 Asante Kotoko 31 12 10 9 46
8 Karela 32 12 10 10 46
9 Basake Holy Stars 32 12 7 13 43
10 Swedru All Blacks 32 11 9 12 42
11 Heart of Lions 32 11 9 12 42
12 Young Apostles 32 11 9 12 42
13 Nations 32 11 8 13 41
14 Berekum Chelsea 31 11 8 12 41
15 Bechem United 31 11 8 12 41
16 Vision 32 10 11 11 41
17 Hohoe United 27 7 9 11 30
18 Eleven Wonders 31 2 4 25 10
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Medeama 32 45 22 +23 59
2 Dreams 32 42 30 +12 46
3 Asante Kotoko 31 36 24 +12 46
4 Bibiani Gold Stars 31 34 34 0 54
5 Young Apostles 32 34 34 0 42
6 Vision 32 34 34 0 41
7 Swedru All Blacks 32 32 29 +3 42
8 Heart of Lions 32 31 28 +3 42
9 Karela 32 31 32 -1 46
10 Bechem United 31 30 35 -5 41
11 Nations 32 29 30 -1 41
12 Berekum Chelsea 31 27 31 -4 41
13 Aduana Stars 32 26 20 +6 47
14 Basake Holy Stars 32 26 35 -9 43
15 Samartex 32 25 23 +2 47
16 Hohoe United 27 22 29 -7 30
17 Hearts of Oak 32 21 12 +9 51
18 Eleven Wonders 31 20 63 -43 10