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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (5 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 draw Singida Big Stars ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Singida Big Stars win · Singida Big Stars 3–2 Coastal Union
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Coastal Union",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Coastal Union"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"main_pick_meta": {
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"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1266,
"edge_gap": 0.0,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 20,
"away_score_rate": 55.0,
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"pick": "No",
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"source": "stats",
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"home_expected": 0.9,
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{
"away": 1,
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"label": "1-1",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 11.6
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.5
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],
"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
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{
"key": "12",
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"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
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}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
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"lean_label": "Draw"
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"over_under": {
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"confidence": "high",
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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"total_expected": 2.05,
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"prob_source": null,
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"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"tier": "best",
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{
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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{
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"id": "1x2",
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"tier": "lean"
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 824.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 14.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12189,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12189.webp",
"away_team_name": "Coastal Union",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tz.svg",
"country_name": "Tanzania",
"fixture_id": 1457749,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 19838,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/19838.webp",
"home_team_name": "Singida Big Stars",
"league_country": "Tanzania",
"league_id": 567,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/567.webp",
"league_name": "Ligi Kuu Bara",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-05 13:15:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
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"best_odd": 2.68,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0437,
"ev": 0.0066,
"implied_prob": 0.3319,
"model_prob": 0.45,
"p_final": 0.3756
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 2.75,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0697,
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"implied_prob": 0.3447,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": 0.1908,
"edge_yes": -0.1908,
"ev_available": true,
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"implied_no": 0.5342,
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"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": -0.0523,
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"ev_available": true,
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"implied_over": 0.3893,
"implied_under": 0.6107,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2542,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
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"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"max_ev_side": "draw",
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"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.1908,
"ev": 0.2542,
"implied_prob": 0.5342,
"model_prob": 0.725,
"side": "no",
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},
"ou_2_5": {
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"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"match_regime": {
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"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
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"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.45,
"home": 0.1
},
"reason_codes": [
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],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
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"home": "Singida Big Stars"
},
"top_pick": {
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"ev": 0.2542,
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"market": "btts",
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"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
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},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1457749,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-05T13:14:04.073521+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Ligi Kuu Bara — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba SC | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Fountain Gate | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50 |
| 5 | Kitayosce | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba Jiji | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 33 |
| 12 | Singida Big Stars | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 |
| 16 | KMC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 9 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 71 | 9 | +62 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba SC | 30 | 54 | 11 | +43 | 73 |
| 3 | Singida Fountain Gate | 30 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 | Azam FC | 30 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 64 |
| 5 | Kitayosce | 30 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 43 |
| 6 | Pamba Jiji | 30 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 30 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 36 |
| 8 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 42 |
| 9 | Namungo | 30 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 34 |
| 10 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 11 | Singida Big Stars | 30 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 33 |
| 12 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 27 |
| 13 | Mbeya City | 30 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 30 |
| 14 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | KMC | 30 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashujaa | 30 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 33 |
