Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Igman Konjic Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-0 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.68
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Igman Konjic 0–0 Bratstvo Gračanica
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "742430c8dae1618a055b89c51b67cc16eeab9f245bb169330638c87f501dd6db",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Igman Konjic or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Igman Konjic"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Igman Konjic",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0617,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4793,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 23,
"away_score_rate": 60.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 23,
"home_score_rate": 78.3,
"no_prob": 52.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 52.4,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 47.6
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.35,
"home_expected": 1.15,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Igman Konjic or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Igman Konjic or Bratstvo Gra\u010danica",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Bratstvo Gra\u010danica",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Igman Konjic or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Igman Konjic"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.5,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.5,
"under_prob": 54.4
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Bratstvo Gra\u010danica",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Igman Konjic",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 47.93,
"gap_pp": -6.17,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.97,
"gap_pp": -2.3,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.1,
"gap_pp": 8.47,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.92,
"gap_pp": -0.32,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 45.6
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.08,
"gap_pp": 0.32,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 54.4
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.85,
"early": 1.85,
"implied_closing_pct": 47.93,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 47.93,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.17,
"early": 3.17,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.97,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.68,
"early": 3.68,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.1,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.1,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.99,
"early": 1.99,
"implied_closing_pct": 45.92,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 45.92,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.69,
"early": 1.69,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.08,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.08,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 8.5,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.027,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 2.7,
"text": "+2.7%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1289,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -12.9,
"text": "-12.9%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.027,
"no_prob": 52.4,
"sort_key": 5221.6,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 47.6
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.088,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -8.8,
"text": "-8.8%"
},
"ev_under": -0.0208,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.1,
"text": "-2.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0208,
"over_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 1794.8,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 54.4,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1754,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -17.5,
"text": "-17.5%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4793,
"max_ev": -0.0316,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -3.2,
"text": "-3.2%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Igman Konjic",
"sort_key": 1792.1,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4278,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4278.webp",
"away_team_name": "Bratstvo Gra\u010danica",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ba.svg",
"country_name": "Bosnia",
"fixture_id": 1449459,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3367,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3367.webp",
"home_team_name": "Igman Konjic",
"league_country": "Bosnia",
"league_id": 316,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/316.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Liga - FBiH",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 15:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2619,
"best_odd": 3.68,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0222,
"ev": -0.0316,
"implied_prob": 0.241,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.2631
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2896,
"best_odd": 3.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0067,
"ev": -0.1344,
"implied_prob": 0.2797,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2731
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5445,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0336,
"ev": -0.1754,
"implied_prob": 0.4793,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4457
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.96,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": 0.0311,
"edge_yes": -0.0311,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.027,
"ev_yes": -0.1289,
"implied_no": 0.4929,
"implied_yes": 0.5071,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.0,
"best_under_odd": 1.8,
"edge_over": -0.0122,
"edge_under": 0.0122,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.088,
"ev_under": -0.0208,
"implied_over": 0.4682,
"implied_under": 0.5318,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.027,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.476,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.456,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.544,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.027,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4929,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.524,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "no",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0336,
"ev": -0.1754,
"implied_prob": 0.4793,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Igman Konjic"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0311,
"ev": 0.027,
"implied_prob": 0.4929,
"model_prob": 0.524,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0122,
"ev": -0.0208,
"implied_prob": 0.5318,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1449459,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.027,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Bratstvo Gra\u010danica",
"home": "Igman Konjic"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1449459,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T18:59:16.233064+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Igman Konjic & Bratstvo Gračanica!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Primera Liga - FBiH — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Čelik | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 59 |
| 2 | Stupčanica Olovo | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | Sloboda Tuzla | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Jedinstvo Bihać | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 |
| 5 | GOŠK Gabela | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | Travnik | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 7 | TOŠK Tešanj | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 8 | Radnik Hadžići | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 |
| 9 | Tomislav | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 |
| 10 | Igman Konjic | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 11 | Budućnost Banovići | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bratstvo Gračanica | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 31 |
| 13 | Vitez | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28 |
| 14 | Tuzla City | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 17 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Čelik | 26 | 52 | 19 | +33 | 59 |
| 2 | Stupčanica Olovo | 26 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 41 |
| 3 | Tomislav | 26 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 32 |
| 4 | GOŠK Gabela | 26 | 36 | 26 | +10 | 40 |
| 5 | Travnik | 26 | 35 | 26 | +9 | 37 |
| 6 | TOŠK Tešanj | 26 | 35 | 30 | +5 | 37 |
| 7 | Sloboda Tuzla | 26 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 41 |
| 8 | Radnik Hadžići | 26 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Budućnost Banovići | 26 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Jedinstvo Bihać | 26 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Igman Konjic | 26 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 32 |
| 12 | Vitez | 26 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
| 13 | Bratstvo Gračanica | 26 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Tuzla City | 26 | 20 | 58 | -38 | 17 |
