Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
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      "away_win_prob": 0.1607,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.363,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.637,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.204,
      "fair_odds_away": 6.22,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.9,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.57,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.4,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6353,
      "over_25_prob": 0.692,
      "prediction_confidence": "high",
      "under_25_prob": 0.308
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Al Riyadh or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Al Riyadh"
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    "away_xg": 1.17,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Al Riyadh",
      "confidence": null,
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        "edge": -0.0224,
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        "market_prob": 0.6582,
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        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 20.4,
          "home": 63.6
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.44
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      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.44,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Al Riyadh Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.52,
        "market_odds": 1.44,
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        "overround": 5.5,
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        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 15,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 69.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 90.9,
        "no_prob": 36.3,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 63.7,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
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        "home_expected": 2.4,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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            "away": 0,
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            "away": 1,
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      "double_chance": {
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          {
            "key": "12",
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          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
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          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Al Riyadh or Draw",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 20.4,
        "home_pct": 63.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Al Riyadh"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
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        "pick": "Over 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "total_expected": 3.57,
        "under_prob": 30.8
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      "prob_source": "poisson",
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        "edge": 1.8,
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 4.99
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Al Okhdood",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Al Riyadh",
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 63.14,
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 36.86,
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 1.44,
          "early": 1.38,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
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        {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 2.4,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "tier": "best",
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        "id": "1x2",
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 2977,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2977.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Al Okhdood",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/sa.svg",
      "country_name": "Saudi-Arabia",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 10511,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10511.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Al Riyadh",
      "league_country": "Saudi-Arabia",
      "league_id": 307,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/307.webp",
      "league_name": "Pro League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-21 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
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        "score": 9.0
      },
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        "btts": {
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        "ou25": {
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          "edge_under": -0.0834,
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          "implied_under": 0.3914,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.57,
      "variance_flag": false
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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          "xg_diff": 1.23
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Al Riyadh"
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        "btts": {
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        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "over",
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        "clear_edge": true,
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      },
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        "away": 0.1605,
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        "high_total_goals"
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Al Okhdood",
        "home": "Al Riyadh"
      },
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        "composite_score": 0.093384,
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        "model_prob": 0.637,
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "fixture_id": 1438975,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-21T18:17:22.705079+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}