Estadísticas / Fútbol / South-Africa. Premier Soccer League / Stellenbosch vs Orbit College

Stellenbosch vs Orbit College Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.31
0 0.64
xG Accuracy: 69%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stellenbosch Stellenbosch ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "de09815796f15b7928a20205afeed11b46f0bbe1de0053e8dc43f2d3d1c73f13",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.64,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1666,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.32,
      "fair_odds_away": 6.0,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.12,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.95,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.31,
      "home_win_prob": 0.5134,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : Stellenbosch or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Stellenbosch"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.64,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Stellenbosch",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.0144,
        "edge_gap": 0.1923,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5272,
        "model_prob": 0.5128,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 16.7,
          "draw": 32.1,
          "home": 51.3
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.8
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.8,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Stellenbosch Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.9,
        "market_odds": 1.8,
        "model_odds": 1.95,
        "overround": 5.4,
        "prob_edge": -4.3,
        "value_pct": -7.7,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 47.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 73.0,
        "no_prob": 63.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 63.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 36.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.64,
        "home_expected": 1.31,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 18.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 14.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 12.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Stellenbosch or Draw",
            "prob": 83.3
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Stellenbosch or Orbit College",
            "prob": 68.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Orbit College",
            "prob": 48.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Stellenbosch or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 83.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 16.7,
        "draw_pct": 32.0,
        "home_pct": 51.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Stellenbosch"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 1.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 69.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.95,
        "under_prob": 69.0
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 28.0,
        "implied_prob": 25.0,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 32.0,
        "odds": 4.0
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Orbit College",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Stellenbosch",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.72,
          "gap_pp": -1.44,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 51.28
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.73,
          "gap_pp": 8.33,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 32.05
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.55,
          "gap_pp": -6.88,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 16.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.44,
          "gap_pp": -12.44,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 31.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 56.56,
          "gap_pp": 12.44,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 69.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.8,
          "early": 1.8,
          "implied_closing_pct": 52.72,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 52.72,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.0,
          "early": 4.0,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.73,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.73,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.03,
          "early": 4.03,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.55,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.55,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.2,
          "early": 2.2,
          "implied_closing_pct": 43.44,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 43.44,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.69,
          "early": 1.69,
          "implied_closing_pct": 56.56,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 56.56,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 12.4,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 18.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.31,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.318,
        "ev_under": 0.173,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.173,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "sort_key": 10305.7,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 69.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1182,
        "ev_yes": -0.2419,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1182,
        "no_prob": 63.9,
        "sort_key": 10106.38,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 36.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0662,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5272,
        "max_ev": 0.0073,
        "model_prob": 0.5128,
        "side_label": "Stellenbosch",
        "sort_key": 5205.84,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 835.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 18.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 10582,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10582.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Orbit College",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
      "country_name": "South-Africa",
      "fixture_id": 1429699,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 4905,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4905.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Stellenbosch",
      "league_country": "South-Africa",
      "league_id": 288,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/288.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier Soccer League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1794,
            "best_odd": 4.03,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0123,
            "ev": -0.1007,
            "implied_prob": 0.2355,
            "model_prob": 0.1667,
            "p_final": 0.2231
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.175,
            "best_odd": 4.0,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0146,
            "ev": 0.0073,
            "implied_prob": 0.2373,
            "model_prob": 0.3205,
            "p_final": 0.2518
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.587,
            "best_odd": 1.8,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0085,
            "ev": -0.0662,
            "implied_prob": 0.5272,
            "model_prob": 0.5128,
            "p_final": 0.5188
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.75,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_no": 0.0973,
          "edge_yes": -0.0973,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1182,
          "ev_yes": -0.2419,
          "implied_no": 0.5417,
          "implied_yes": 0.4583,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.2,
          "best_under_odd": 1.7,
          "edge_over": -0.128,
          "edge_under": 0.128,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.318,
          "ev_under": 0.173,
          "implied_over": 0.438,
          "implied_under": 0.562,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 1.95,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.173,
      "confidence": 7.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u6781\u7aef\u9632\u5b88\uff08\u4f4e\u8fdb\u7403\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "defensive",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.361,
          "draw_prob": 0.3205,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5128,
          "over_prob": 0.31,
          "total_xg": 1.95,
          "under_prob": 0.69,
          "xg_diff": 0.67
        },
        "type": "defensive",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0085,
          "ev": -0.0662,
          "implied_prob": 0.5272,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.5128,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Stellenbosch"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0973,
          "ev": 0.1182,
          "implied_prob": 0.5417,
          "model_prob": 0.639,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.128,
          "ev": 0.173,
          "implied_prob": 0.562,
          "model_prob": 0.69,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1429699,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.173,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1667,
        "draw": 0.3205,
        "home": 0.5128
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1182,
        "implied_prob": 0.5417,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.639,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1182,
          "implied_prob": 0.5417,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.639,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Orbit College",
        "home": "Stellenbosch"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.155181,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.173,
        "implied_prob": 0.562,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.69,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1429699,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T12:59:48.260693+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Premier Soccer League Premier Soccer LeagueClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Mamelodi Sundowns 30 20 8 2 68
2 Orlando Pirates 29 20 6 3 66
3 Kaizer Chiefs 29 15 9 5 54
4 Amazulu 29 12 8 9 44
5 Sekhukhune United 29 11 10 8 43
6 Golden Arrows 29 11 7 11 40
7 Polokwane City 30 9 13 8 40
8 Durban City 29 10 9 10 39
9 Stellenbosch 29 9 9 11 36
10 Siwelele 29 8 12 9 36
11 Richards Bay 29 7 13 9 34
12 TS Galaxy 29 8 7 14 31
13 Chippa United 29 5 10 14 25
14 Marumo Gallants 29 4 12 13 24
15 Orbit College 29 6 6 17 24
16 Magesi 29 4 9 16 21
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mamelodi Sundowns 30 57 21 +36 68
2 Orlando Pirates 29 56 12 +44 66
3 Golden Arrows 29 34 33 +1 40
4 Kaizer Chiefs 29 33 18 +15 54
5 Amazulu 29 31 28 +3 44
6 Sekhukhune United 29 30 25 +5 43
7 TS Galaxy 29 30 38 -8 31
8 Stellenbosch 29 26 30 -4 36
9 Durban City 29 25 25 0 39
10 Richards Bay 29 23 29 -6 34
11 Magesi 29 23 43 -20 21
12 Chippa United 29 23 44 -21 25
13 Siwelele 29 22 26 -4 36
14 Polokwane City 30 21 21 0 40
15 Marumo Gallants 29 21 38 -17 24
16 Orbit College 29 21 45 -24 24
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Kaizer Chiefs 29 19.4 8.9 +10.5 54
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 30 19.2 11.2 +8.0 68
3 Orlando Pirates 29 15.3 7.4 +7.9 66
4 Durban City 29 15.2 12.5 +2.7 39
5 Sekhukhune United 29 15.7 13.4 +2.3 43
6 Polokwane City 30 14.0 12.2 +1.8 40
7 Richards Bay 29 14.5 13.1 +1.4 34
8 Magesi 29 13.7 13.0 +0.7 21
9 Stellenbosch 29 14.7 14.2 +0.5 36
10 Siwelele 29 13.5 14.6 -1.1 36
11 Marumo Gallants 29 11.5 15.2 -3.7 24
12 TS Galaxy 29 15.9 20.3 -4.4 31
13 Golden Arrows 29 14.3 19.8 -5.5 40
14 Amazulu 29 11.8 17.6 -5.8 44
15 Orbit College 29 11.9 18.0 -6.1 24
16 Chippa United 29 9.9 19.1 -9.2 25