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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Lipany Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.96
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Lipany 0–0 Poprad
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "11a99711c278f936bad337686bf61396fe0d1781127bbcb1ad2ef17cd0193cd0",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Lipany or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Lipany"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Lipany",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0204,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.438,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 24,
"away_score_rate": 75.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 24,
"home_score_rate": 79.2,
"no_prob": 40.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 59.4,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 59.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.55,
"home_expected": 1.6,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 6.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 6.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Lipany or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Lipany or Poprad",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Poprad",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Lipany or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 10.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Lipany"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.15,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.15,
"under_prob": 39.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Poprad",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Lipany",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.8,
"gap_pp": -2.04,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.15,
"gap_pp": -0.48,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.04,
"gap_pp": 2.52,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.87,
"gap_pp": 3.13,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 61.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.13,
"gap_pp": -3.13,
"kind": "ou_u",
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}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.03,
"early": 2.03,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.8,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.8,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.4,
"early": 3.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.15,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.96,
"early": 2.96,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.04,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.04,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.58,
"early": 1.58,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.87,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.87,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.17,
"early": 2.17,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.13,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.13,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 3.1,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0431,
"ev_under": -0.142,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0431,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"sort_key": 10038.79,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 39.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0256,
"ev_yes": -0.0258,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0256,
"no_prob": 40.6,
"sort_key": 1793.6,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 59.4
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1288,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.438,
"max_ev": -0.0784,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Lipany",
"sort_key": 1780.4,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10539,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10539.webp",
"away_team_name": "Poprad",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/sk.svg",
"country_name": "Slovakia",
"fixture_id": 1422282,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 10548,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10548.webp",
"home_team_name": "Lipany",
"league_country": "Slovakia",
"league_id": 645,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/645.webp",
"league_name": "3. liga - Este",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.433,
"best_odd": 2.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0109,
"ev": -0.0784,
"implied_prob": 0.3004,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3113
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2978,
"best_odd": 3.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0014,
"ev": -0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2615,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2601
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4362,
"best_odd": 2.03,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0089,
"ev": -0.1288,
"implied_prob": 0.438,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4292
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.4,
"best_yes_odd": 1.64,
"edge_no": 0.0065,
"edge_yes": -0.0065,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0256,
"ev_yes": -0.0258,
"implied_no": 0.3995,
"implied_yes": 0.6005,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.71,
"best_under_odd": 2.2,
"edge_over": 0.0432,
"edge_under": -0.0432,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0431,
"ev_under": -0.142,
"implied_over": 0.5668,
"implied_under": 0.4332,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0431,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.594,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.61,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.39,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0431,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.5668,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.61,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "over",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0089,
"ev": -0.1288,
"implied_prob": 0.438,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Lipany"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0065,
"ev": -0.0256,
"implied_prob": 0.3995,
"model_prob": 0.406,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0432,
"ev": 0.0431,
"implied_prob": 0.5668,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1422282,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0431,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Poprad",
"home": "Lipany"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1422282,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:42:50.143308+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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3. liga - Este — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Humenné | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 68 |
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 65 |
| 3 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Lipany | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Poprad | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Raslavice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 |
| 7 | Spartak Medzev | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33 |
| 8 | Snina | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotíva Košice | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 |
| 11 | Košice II | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 |
| 12 | Vranov nad Topľou | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
| 13 | Slovan Sabinov | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 14 | Spišské Podhradie | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 10 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Humenné | 26 | 88 | 20 | +68 | 68 |
| 2 | Spišská Nová Ves | 26 | 66 | 18 | +48 | 65 |
| 3 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 26 | 48 | 37 | +11 | 44 |
| 4 | Spartak Medzev | 26 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 33 |
| 5 | Lipany | 26 | 46 | 43 | +3 | 43 |
| 6 | Raslavice | 26 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 | Košice II | 26 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 29 |
| 8 | Kežmarok | 26 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 31 |
| 9 | Poprad | 26 | 35 | 34 | +1 | 37 |
| 10 | Snina | 26 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | Vranov nad Topľou | 26 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 25 |
| 12 | Lokomotíva Košice | 26 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | Spišské Podhradie | 26 | 27 | 81 | -54 | 10 |
| 14 | Slovan Sabinov | 26 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 24 |
