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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Bulle Bulle ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-0 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Bulle win · Bulle 1–0 Breitenrain
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Bulle or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Bulle"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Bulle",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0353,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4529,
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
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},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 80.6,
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"home_played": 30,
"home_score_rate": 96.7,
"no_prob": 22.0,
"pick": "Yes",
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"source": "stats",
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},
"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 1.8,
"scores": [
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},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.1
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 5.2
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Bulle or Draw",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Bulle or Breitenrain",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Breitenrain",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Bulle or Draw",
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"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Bulle"
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"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 3.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 2.0,
"over_prob": 68.8,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 68.8,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.55,
"under_prob": 31.2
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3664,
"ev_yes": 0.092,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 22.0,
"sort_key": 10232.8,
"tier": "best",
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},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0093,
"ev_under": -0.1202,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
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"over_prob": 68.8,
"sort_key": 1797.675,
"tier": "bad_ev",
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"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1023,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
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"side_label": "Bulle",
"sort_key": 1787.5,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 807.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 9.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10586,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10586.webp",
"away_team_name": "Breitenrain",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
"country_name": "Switzerland",
"fixture_id": 1418720,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 6618,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6618.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bulle",
"league_country": "Switzerland",
"league_id": 510,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/510.webp",
"league_name": "1. Liga Promoci\u00f3n",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 13:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2891,
"best_odd": 3.08,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.007,
"ev": -0.05,
"implied_prob": 0.3015,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3084
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.295,
"best_odd": 3.78,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0033,
"ev": -0.0592,
"implied_prob": 0.2456,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": -0.1119,
"edge_yes": 0.1119,
"ev_available": true,
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"implied_no": 0.3319,
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"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 2.82,
"edge_over": 0.0323,
"edge_under": -0.0323,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0093,
"ev_under": -0.1202,
"implied_over": 0.6557,
"implied_under": 0.3443,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.092,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"edge": -0.015,
"ev": -0.1023,
"implied_prob": 0.4529,
"max_ev_side": "away",
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "Bulle"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.1119,
"ev": 0.092,
"implied_prob": 0.6681,
"model_prob": 0.78,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0323,
"ev": -0.0093,
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"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1418720,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.092,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Breitenrain",
"home": "Bulle"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.092,
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"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.78,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1418720,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:00:24.366406+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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1. Liga Promoción — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Kriens | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Brühl | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 |
| 3 | Biel-Bienne | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 |
| 4 | Basilea II | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Bavois | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 55 |
| 6 | Young Boys II | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FC Schaffhausen | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Bulle | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 |
| 9 | Cham | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 10 | Grand-Saconnex | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | Zürich II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | Breitenrain | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 13 | Luzern II | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 14 | Kreuzlingen | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
| 16 | Paradiso | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 |
| 17 | Lausanne Sport II | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 31 |
| 18 | Vevey Sports | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 2 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Kriens | 34 | 100 | 43 | +57 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Brühl | 34 | 89 | 46 | +43 | 72 |
| 3 | Luzern II | 34 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Biel-Bienne | 34 | 78 | 46 | +32 | 64 |
| 5 | Grand-Saconnex | 34 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 43 |
| 6 | Bulle | 34 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 51 |
| 7 | Young Boys II | 34 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 54 |
| 8 | Basilea II | 34 | 65 | 48 | +17 | 59 |
| 9 | Bavois | 34 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 55 |
| 10 | Cham | 34 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 50 |
| 11 | Lausanne Sport II | 34 | 60 | 84 | -24 | 31 |
| 12 | Zürich II | 34 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Schaffhausen | 34 | 51 | 46 | +5 | 53 |
| 14 | Paradiso | 34 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 35 |
| 15 | Breitenrain | 34 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
| 16 | Lugano II | 34 | 45 | 75 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Kreuzlingen | 34 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Vevey Sports | 34 | 28 | 115 | -87 | 2 |
