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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Górnik Polkowice Lechia Zielona Góra ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "f8c0b26e9e7f18a23fed0709ab3f42900874bc152bf664e0e3b4ba2951146363",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1079,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3098,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 19,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 81.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 12,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 78.1,
"no_prob": 36.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 63.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 63.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.8,
"home_expected": 1.2,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.8
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.5
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice or Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.0,
"away_avg_scored": 2.3,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.9,
"over_prob": 57.7,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 57.7,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.0,
"under_prob": 42.3
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.98,
"gap_pp": 10.79,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.03,
"gap_pp": -4.36,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.99,
"gap_pp": -6.43,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 47.98,
"gap_pp": 9.72,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 57.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 52.02,
"gap_pp": -9.72,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 42.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.87,
"early": 2.87,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.98,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.98,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.96,
"early": 2.96,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.03,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.03,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.28,
"early": 2.28,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.99,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.99,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.93,
"early": 1.93,
"implied_closing_pct": 47.98,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 47.98,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.78,
"early": 1.78,
"implied_closing_pct": 52.02,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 52.02,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 10.8,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1252,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 12.5,
"text": "+12.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.209,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -20.9,
"text": "-20.9%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1252,
"over_prob": 57.7,
"sort_key": 10262.68,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 42.3,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2445,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -24.4,
"text": "-24.4%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.0795,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.0,
"text": "+8.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0795,
"no_prob": 36.5,
"sort_key": 10071.55,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 63.5
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0058,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 0.6,
"text": "+0.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3098,
"max_ev": 0.0058,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 0.6,
"text": "+0.6%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice",
"sort_key": 5204.64,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 812.4,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.8
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 14143,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14143.webp",
"away_team_name": "Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1411064,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Poland",
"home_team_id": 9132,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9132.webp",
"home_team_name": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 782,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/782.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 3",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Polkowice",
"venue_name": "Stadion G\u00f3rnik"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4066,
"best_odd": 2.28,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0261,
"ev": -0.1706,
"implied_prob": 0.3899,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3638
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4205,
"best_odd": 2.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0184,
"ev": -0.1653,
"implied_prob": 0.3003,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.282
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3772,
"best_odd": 2.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0407,
"ev": 0.0058,
"implied_prob": 0.3098,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3505
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.07,
"best_yes_odd": 1.7,
"edge_no": -0.09,
"edge_yes": 0.09,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2445,
"ev_yes": 0.0795,
"implied_no": 0.455,
"implied_yes": 0.545,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.95,
"best_under_odd": 1.87,
"edge_over": 0.0845,
"edge_under": -0.0845,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1252,
"ev_under": -0.209,
"implied_over": 0.4925,
"implied_under": 0.5075,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1252,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.635,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.577,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.423,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0407,
"ev": 0.0058,
"implied_prob": 0.3098,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.09,
"ev": 0.0795,
"implied_prob": 0.545,
"model_prob": 0.635,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0845,
"ev": 0.1252,
"implied_prob": 0.4925,
"model_prob": 0.577,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1411064,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1252,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0795,
"implied_prob": 0.545,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.635,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0795,
"implied_prob": 0.545,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.635,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Lechia Zielona G\u00f3ra",
"home": "G\u00f3rnik Polkowice"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.07224,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1252,
"implied_prob": 0.4925,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.577,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1411064,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:55:36.363939+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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III Liga - Group 3 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73 |
| 2 | Górnik Polkowice | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 |
| 3 | Sparta Katowice | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 4 | SKRA Częstochowa | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | Kluczbork | 34 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 52 |
| 8 | Warta Gorzów | 34 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 52 |
| 9 | Górnik Zabrze II | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 |
| 10 | Ślęza Wrocław | 34 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49 |
| 11 | Słowianin | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 13 | Miedź Legnica II | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46 |
| 14 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 16 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 27 |
| 17 | Pawłowice Śląskie | 34 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 20 |
| 18 | Stal Jasień | 34 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 7 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 34 | 77 | 17 | +60 | 73 |
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 34 | 77 | 61 | +16 | 57 |
| 3 | Górnik Zabrze II | 34 | 73 | 44 | +29 | 51 |
| 4 | SKRA Częstochowa | 34 | 68 | 56 | +12 | 59 |
| 5 | Kluczbork | 34 | 67 | 43 | +24 | 52 |
| 6 | Górnik Polkowice | 34 | 64 | 42 | +22 | 67 |
| 7 | Miedź Legnica II | 34 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 34 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 45 |
| 9 | Warta Gorzów | 34 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 52 |
| 10 | Sparta Katowice | 34 | 53 | 34 | +19 | 62 |
| 11 | Polonia Nysa | 34 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 34 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 54 |
| 14 | Ślęza Wrocław | 34 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 49 |
| 15 | Słowianin | 34 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48 |
| 16 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 33 | 81 | -48 | 27 |
| 17 | Pawłowice Śląskie | 34 | 28 | 77 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Stal Jasień | 34 | 21 | 105 | -84 | 7 |