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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Elana Toruń Noteć Czarnków ✖ Incorrect
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "20532eab5df4f4fcd780a66ca59d8b7b89dd8da8ae871d651b6edf2d152d5d85",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Elana Toru\u0144 or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Elana Toru\u0144"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.3067,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.111,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 8,
"away_failed_to_score": 12,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 62.5,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 75.0,
"no_prob": 53.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 46.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.4,
"home_expected": 1.45,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.4
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Elana Toru\u0144 or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Elana Toru\u0144"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.85,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.85,
"under_prob": 45.8
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Elana Toru\u0144",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 11.1,
"gap_pp": 30.67,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 17.58,
"gap_pp": 8.09,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 71.32,
"gap_pp": -38.76,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 63.8,
"gap_pp": -9.6,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 54.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.2,
"gap_pp": 9.6,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 45.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 7.97,
"early": 7.97,
"implied_closing_pct": 11.1,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 11.1,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 5.03,
"early": 5.03,
"implied_closing_pct": 17.58,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 17.58,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.24,
"early": 1.24,
"implied_closing_pct": 71.32,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 71.32,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.43,
"early": 1.43,
"implied_closing_pct": 63.8,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 63.8,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.52,
"early": 2.52,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.2,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 36.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 30.7,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1328,
"ev_under": 0.2916,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2916,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"sort_key": 10412.44,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 45.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2213,
"ev_yes": -0.0479,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2213,
"no_prob": 53.1,
"sort_key": 10199.17,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 46.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1484,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.111,
"max_ev": 0.1484,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
"sort_key": 10133.56,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 21657,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/21657.webp",
"away_team_name": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1410753,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 6938,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6938.webp",
"home_team_name": "Elana Toru\u0144",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 781,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/781.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 2",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 1.24,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.1163,
"ev": -0.2598,
"implied_prob": 0.7132,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.5969
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1757,
"best_odd": 5.03,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0142,
"ev": -0.0441,
"implied_prob": 0.1758,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.19
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.108,
"best_odd": 7.97,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0331,
"ev": 0.1484,
"implied_prob": 0.111,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.1441
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 2.03,
"edge_no": 0.0468,
"edge_yes": -0.0468,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2213,
"ev_yes": -0.0479,
"implied_no": 0.4842,
"implied_yes": 0.5158,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.82,
"edge_over": -0.0728,
"edge_under": 0.0728,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1328,
"ev_under": 0.2916,
"implied_over": 0.6148,
"implied_under": 0.3852,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2916,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.469,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.542,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.458,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0331,
"ev": 0.1484,
"implied_prob": 0.111,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0468,
"ev": 0.2213,
"implied_prob": 0.4842,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0728,
"ev": 0.2916,
"implied_prob": 0.3852,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1410753,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2916,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2213,
"implied_prob": 0.4842,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2213,
"implied_prob": 0.4842,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1484,
"implied_prob": 0.111,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Elana Toru\u0144",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Note\u0107 Czarnk\u00f3w",
"home": "Elana Toru\u0144"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.133553,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2916,
"implied_prob": 0.3852,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1410753,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:33:20.512451+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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III Liga - Group 2 — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 77 |
| 2 | Luzino | 33 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 73 |
| 3 | Polonia Środa | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 63 |
| 4 | Lech Poznań II | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Elana Toruń | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Wda Świecie | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 48 |
| 8 | Lipno Stęszew | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 48 |
| 9 | Unia Swarzędz | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 47 |
| 10 | Kluczevia Stargard | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 46 |
| 11 | Noteć Czarnków | 33 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46 |
| 12 | Stargard Szczeciński | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 42 |
| 13 | Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39 |
| 14 | Victoria Września | 33 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 39 |
| 15 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 38 |
| 16 | Pogoń Szczecin II | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 35 |
| 17 | Tłuchowia | 33 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 28 |
| 18 | Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzino | 33 | 76 | 37 | +39 | 73 |
| 2 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 33 | 71 | 23 | +48 | 77 |
| 3 | Lech Poznań II | 33 | 66 | 52 | +14 | 49 |
| 4 | Polonia Środa | 33 | 65 | 42 | +23 | 63 |
| 5 | Pogoń Szczecin II | 32 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 35 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 33 | 53 | 51 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 | Kluczevia Stargard | 33 | 52 | 40 | +12 | 46 |
| 8 | Flota Świnoujście | 33 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 9 | Elana Toruń | 33 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Noteć Czarnków | 33 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 46 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 33 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 47 |
| 12 | Lipno Stęszew | 33 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 48 |
| 13 | Wda Świecie | 32 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
| 14 | Victoria Września | 33 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 33 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce | 33 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Tłuchowia | 33 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 28 |
| 18 | Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | 33 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 15 |