Znicz Biała Piska vs Legia Warszawa II Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Legia Warszawa II and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Legia Warszawa II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.3338,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.0839,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 90.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 15,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 54.5,
        "no_prob": 50.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 50.4,
        "source": "stats",
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        "yes_prob": 49.6
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 0.85,
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 10.5
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-3",
            "prob": 9.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.9
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          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 8.0
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.8
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska or Draw",
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          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska or Legia Warszawa II",
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          },
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          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Legia Warszawa II",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 3.55,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 68.8,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 68.8,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.55,
        "under_prob": 31.2
      },
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      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Legia Warszawa II",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 8.39,
          "gap_pp": 33.38,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
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          "closing_implied_pct": 12.07,
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 10.72,
          "early": 10.72,
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        {
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          "implied_early_pct": 12.07,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 1.13,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 79.55,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
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      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
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        "kind": "1x2_h"
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 25.7,
          "text": "+25%+"
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        "max_ev_display": {
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          "raw_pct": 25.7,
          "text": "+25%+"
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        "side_label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska",
        "sort_key": 10381.03,
        "tier": "best"
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      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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          "text": "-17.4%"
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        "ev_under_display": {
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          "text": "+24.8%"
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        "value_side": "under"
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        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 8.4,
          "text": "+8.4%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.1717,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -17.2,
          "text": "-17.2%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
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        "tier": "best",
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        "sort_key": 811.5,
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    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6944,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6944.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Legia Warszawa II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1410462,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Poland",
      "home_team_id": 12899,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12899.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 780,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Bia\u0142a Piska",
      "venue_name": "Stadion Miejski przy Zespole Szk\u00f3\u0142 nr 1"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_few_books_ou"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3,
            "best_odd": 1.13,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.2604,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.0602,
            "implied_prob": 0.1207,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.1423
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1,
            "best_odd": 10.72,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.2567,
            "implied_prob": 0.0839,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.1172
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.67,
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          "edge_yes": -0.0605,
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          "ev_no": 0.0836,
          "ev_yes": -0.1717,
          "implied_no": 0.4435,
          "implied_yes": 0.5565,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.2,
          "best_under_odd": 4.0,
          "edge_over": -0.0812,
          "edge_under": 0.0812,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1744,
          "ev_under": 0.248,
          "implied_over": 0.7692,
          "implied_under": 0.2308,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2567,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "B",
        "stake_factor": 0.5
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
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          "over_prob": 0.688,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.312,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.248,
          "implied_prob": 0.2308,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.312,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "longshot"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0602,
          "implied_prob": 0.1207,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.2567,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "ev": 0.2567,
          "implied_prob": 0.0839,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0605,
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          "implied_prob": 0.4435,
          "model_prob": 0.504,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0812,
          "ev": 0.248,
          "implied_prob": 0.2308,
          "model_prob": 0.312,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "actionable": true,
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        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0836,
        "implied_prob": 0.4435,
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        "model_prob": 0.504,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
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      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0836,
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          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.504,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Legia Warszawa II",
        "home": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.107224,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2567,
        "implied_prob": 0.0839,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Znicz Bia\u0142a Piska",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 4
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410462,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:49:28.426936+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}