Estadísticas / Fútbol / Germany. Regionalliga - SudWest / Stuttgarter Kickers vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Stuttgarter Kickers vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ✔ Correct
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "f578b87ab9c3f21ebb746f6edfd0a4be713489f078328d38abf94fdd8ced686b",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Stuttgarter Kickers or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Stuttgarter Kickers"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Stuttgarter Kickers",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1229,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2948,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 90.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 75.8,
        "no_prob": 31.1,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 68.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 68.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.95,
        "home_expected": 1.35,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.2
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.0
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 6.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Stuttgarter Kickers or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Stuttgarter Kickers or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Stuttgarter Kickers or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Stuttgarter Kickers"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.3,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 64.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 64.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.3,
        "under_prob": 35.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Stuttgarter Kickers",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.48,
          "gap_pp": 12.29,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.07,
          "gap_pp": -0.41,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.45,
          "gap_pp": -11.88,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.87,
          "gap_pp": 3.23,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 64.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.13,
          "gap_pp": -3.23,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 35.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.91,
          "early": 2.91,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.48,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.48,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.29,
          "early": 3.29,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.07,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.07,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.93,
          "early": 1.93,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.45,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.45,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.53,
          "early": 1.53,
          "implied_closing_pct": 60.87,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 60.87,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.38,
          "early": 2.38,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.13,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.13,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 12.3,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2163,
        "ev_yes": 0.0817,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0817,
        "no_prob": 31.1,
        "sort_key": 10223.53,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 68.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0064,
        "ev_under": -0.1456,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0064,
        "over_prob": 64.1,
        "sort_key": 5205.12,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 35.9,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0109,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2948,
        "max_ev": -0.0109,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Stuttgarter Kickers",
        "sort_key": 1797.275,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1317,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1317.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1408969,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 12868,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12868.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Stuttgarter Kickers",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 86,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/86.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - SudWest",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4931,
            "best_odd": 1.93,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0586,
            "ev": -0.2552,
            "implied_prob": 0.4445,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3859
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2982,
            "best_odd": 3.29,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0012,
            "ev": -0.1461,
            "implied_prob": 0.2607,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2595
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3671,
            "best_odd": 2.91,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0451,
            "ev": -0.0109,
            "implied_prob": 0.2948,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3399
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.52,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": -0.071,
          "edge_yes": 0.071,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2163,
          "ev_yes": 0.0817,
          "implied_no": 0.382,
          "implied_yes": 0.618,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.38,
          "edge_over": 0.0373,
          "edge_under": -0.0373,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0064,
          "ev_under": -0.1456,
          "implied_over": 0.6037,
          "implied_under": 0.3963,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0817,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.689,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.641,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.359,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0451,
          "ev": -0.0109,
          "implied_prob": 0.2948,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Stuttgarter Kickers"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.071,
          "ev": 0.0817,
          "implied_prob": 0.618,
          "model_prob": 0.689,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0373,
          "ev": 0.0064,
          "implied_prob": 0.6037,
          "model_prob": 0.641,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1408969,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0817,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach",
        "home": "Stuttgarter Kickers"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.056291,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0817,
        "implied_prob": 0.618,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.689,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1408969,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T12:00:29.085777+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Regionalliga - SudWest Regionalliga - SudWestClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33 20 8 5 68
2 SGV Freiberg 33 18 7 8 61
3 FSV Frankfurt 33 15 9 9 54
4 SV Sandhausen 33 16 6 11 54
5 FC 08 Homburg 33 14 11 8 53
6 TSV Steinbach 33 15 8 10 53
7 FSV Mainz 05 II 33 14 11 8 53
8 Hessen Kassel 33 14 9 10 51
9 Stuttgarter Kickers 33 16 3 14 51
10 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 33 13 10 10 49
11 Freiburg II 33 13 6 14 45
12 FC Astoria Walldorf 33 12 8 13 44
13 Eintracht Trier 33 12 8 13 44
14 Kickers Offenbach 33 11 10 12 43
15 Bayern Alzenau 33 7 5 21 26
16 Schott Mainz 33 7 4 22 25
17 Balingen 33 6 7 20 25
18 Bahlinger SC 33 4 10 19 22
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 33 86 41 +45 68
2 TSV Steinbach 33 74 56 +18 53
3 Freiburg II 33 70 73 -3 45
4 FC 08 Homburg 33 68 41 +27 53
5 SGV Freiberg 33 65 35 +30 61
6 FSV Frankfurt 33 62 47 +15 54
7 FC Astoria Walldorf 33 60 64 -4 44
8 Hessen Kassel 33 59 50 +9 51
9 Kickers Offenbach 33 56 55 +1 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 II 33 52 41 +11 53
11 SV Sandhausen 33 52 53 -1 54
12 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 33 50 42 +8 49
13 Stuttgarter Kickers 33 49 44 +5 51
14 Eintracht Trier 33 46 52 -6 44
15 Bayern Alzenau 33 42 71 -29 26
16 Schott Mainz 33 40 81 -41 25
17 Balingen 33 37 83 -46 25
18 Bahlinger SC 33 32 71 -39 22