VfB Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Weiche Flensburg",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Weiche Flensburg"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "VfB L\u00fcbeck",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0572,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4749,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
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      "risk_key": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 84.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 81.8,
        "no_prob": 30.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 69.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 69.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.95,
        "home_expected": 1.75,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.4
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.2
          },
          {
            "away": 3,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-3",
            "prob": 5.3
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "VfB L\u00fcbeck or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "VfB L\u00fcbeck or Weiche Flensburg",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Weiche Flensburg",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Weiche Flensburg",
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      },
      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
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        "lean_label": "Draw"
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        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 71.5,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 71.5,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.7,
        "under_prob": 28.5
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Weiche Flensburg",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "VfB L\u00fcbeck",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 47.49,
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          "model_pct": 41.77
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          "model_pct": 25.67
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          "closing_implied_pct": 28.83,
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 65.93,
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          "kind": "ou_o",
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          "closing_implied_pct": 34.07,
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 1.87,
          "early": 1.87,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
          "closing": 3.75,
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 3.08,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.38,
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          "kind": "ou_o"
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        {
          "closing": 2.67,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": -0.2391,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0367,
        "over_prob": 71.5,
        "sort_key": 10033.03,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 28.5,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
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        "ev_yes": -0.0006,
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        "implied_prob": 0.4749,
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1649,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1649.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Weiche Flensburg",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1408357,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1625,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1625.webp",
      "home_team_name": "VfB L\u00fcbeck",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 84,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/84.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - Nord",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "implied_under": 0.3528,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
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      "confidence": 4.0,
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
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        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0367,
        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "VfB L\u00fcbeck"
        },
        "btts": {
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        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "over",
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      },
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
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        "away": 0.3257,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Weiche Flensburg",
        "home": "VfB L\u00fcbeck"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T11:59:37.129466+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}