Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 ZFC Meuselwitz Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.28
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · ZFC Meuselwitz 1–1 Luckenwalde
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "16c7740cb5c7b2b969f67ab7450478bb35b4ca9bd679e2daf5870aa3b125bf5b",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Luckenwalde",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Luckenwalde"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "ZFC Meuselwitz",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0279,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3898,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 10,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 69.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 69.7,
"no_prob": 51.4,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 51.4,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.6
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.45,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "ZFC Meuselwitz or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "ZFC Meuselwitz or Luckenwalde",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Luckenwalde",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Luckenwalde",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.75,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 51.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.9,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.75,
"under_prob": 48.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Luckenwalde",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "ZFC Meuselwitz",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.98,
"gap_pp": 2.79,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.45,
"gap_pp": -0.78,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.58,
"gap_pp": -2.01,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.87,
"gap_pp": -8.97,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 51.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.13,
"gap_pp": 8.97,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 48.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.28,
"early": 2.28,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.98,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.98,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.36,
"early": 3.36,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.45,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.45,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.57,
"early": 2.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.58,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.58,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.53,
"early": 1.53,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.87,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.87,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.38,
"early": 2.38,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.13,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.13,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 9.0,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1616,
"ev_yes": -0.2127,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1616,
"no_prob": 51.4,
"sort_key": 10295.44,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 48.6
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1333,
"ev_under": 0.0342,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0342,
"over_prob": 51.9,
"sort_key": 10030.78,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 48.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0839,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3898,
"max_ev": -0.0839,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "ZFC Meuselwitz",
"sort_key": 1779.025,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 816.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12809,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12809.webp",
"away_team_name": "Luckenwalde",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1407750,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 9358,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9358.webp",
"home_team_name": "ZFC Meuselwitz",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 85,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/85.webp",
"league_name": "Regionalliga Nordost",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4364,
"best_odd": 2.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0088,
"ev": -0.1339,
"implied_prob": 0.3458,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.337
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2965,
"best_odd": 3.36,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0023,
"ev": -0.1191,
"implied_prob": 0.2645,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2622
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4312,
"best_odd": 2.28,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.012,
"ev": -0.0839,
"implied_prob": 0.3898,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4018
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.26,
"best_yes_odd": 1.62,
"edge_no": 0.0985,
"edge_yes": -0.0985,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1616,
"ev_yes": -0.2127,
"implied_no": 0.4155,
"implied_yes": 0.5845,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.67,
"best_under_odd": 2.15,
"edge_over": -0.0406,
"edge_under": 0.0406,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1333,
"ev_under": 0.0342,
"implied_over": 0.5596,
"implied_under": 0.4404,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1616,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.486,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.519,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.481,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.012,
"ev": -0.0839,
"implied_prob": 0.3898,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "ZFC Meuselwitz"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0985,
"ev": 0.1616,
"implied_prob": 0.4155,
"model_prob": 0.514,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0406,
"ev": 0.0342,
"implied_prob": 0.4404,
"model_prob": 0.481,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1407750,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1616,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Luckenwalde",
"home": "ZFC Meuselwitz"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.083062,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1616,
"implied_prob": 0.4155,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.514,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1407750,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T12:00:19.380833+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para ZFC Meuselwitz & Luckenwalde!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Regionalliga Nordost — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 72 |
| 2 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 |
| 3 | FSV Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63 |
| 5 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 13 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC U21 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 |
| 16 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 14 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 34 | 68 | 47 | +21 | 61 |
| 2 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 34 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 41 |
| 3 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 65 | 30 | +35 | 72 |
| 4 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 34 | 65 | 35 | +30 | 72 |
| 5 | Hallescher FC | 34 | 63 | 36 | +27 | 63 |
| 6 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 61 | 55 | +6 | 49 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer FC | 34 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 | FSV Zwickau | 34 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 64 |
| 9 | Altglienicke | 34 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 53 |
| 10 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Hertha BSC U21 | 34 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 34 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
| 16 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 30 | 79 | -49 | 14 |
