Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 PSM Makassar Persib Bandung ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 1-2 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.57
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Persib Bandung win · PSM Makassar 1–2 Persib Bandung
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "7da44b4656190fa680e3141d57d18593e22e561c019cab9b7a57065caf4caef6",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Persib Bandung",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "50%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "0%",
"winner_name": "Persib Bandung"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "PSM Makassar",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.246,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1717,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 18,
"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 32,
"away_score_rate": 93.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 32,
"home_score_rate": 68.8,
"no_prob": 35.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 64.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 64.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.6,
"home_expected": 0.95,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.9
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "PSM Makassar or Draw",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "PSM Makassar or Persib Bandung",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Persib Bandung",
"prob": 100.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Persib Bandung",
"pick_prob": 100.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 50.0,
"draw_pct": 50.0,
"home_pct": 0.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.55,
"under_prob": 53.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Persib Bandung",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "PSM Makassar",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 17.17,
"gap_pp": 24.6,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.46,
"gap_pp": 3.21,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.37,
"gap_pp": -27.8,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.92,
"gap_pp": -8.02,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 46.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.08,
"gap_pp": 8.02,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 53.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 5.52,
"early": 5.52,
"implied_closing_pct": 17.17,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 17.17,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 4.22,
"early": 4.22,
"implied_closing_pct": 22.46,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 22.46,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.57,
"early": 1.57,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.37,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.37,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.74,
"early": 1.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 54.92,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 54.92,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.12,
"early": 2.12,
"implied_closing_pct": 45.08,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 45.08,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 24.6,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2723,
"ev_yes": 0.1288,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1288,
"no_prob": 35.5,
"sort_key": 10265.92,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 64.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1192,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.1717,
"max_ev": 0.1192,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "PSM Makassar",
"sort_key": 10107.28,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1793,
"ev_under": 0.1151,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1151,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 10103.59,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2445,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2445.webp",
"away_team_name": "Persib Bandung",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
"country_name": "Indonesia",
"fixture_id": 1403858,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2441,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2441.webp",
"home_team_name": "PSM Makassar",
"league_country": "Indonesia",
"league_id": 274,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 1 de Indonesia",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3498,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0972,
"ev": -0.2049,
"implied_prob": 0.6037,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.5064
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1904,
"best_odd": 4.22,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0061,
"ev": -0.0264,
"implied_prob": 0.2246,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2307
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1262,
"best_odd": 5.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.031,
"ev": 0.1192,
"implied_prob": 0.1717,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.2027
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.05,
"best_yes_odd": 1.75,
"edge_no": -0.1139,
"edge_yes": 0.1139,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2723,
"ev_yes": 0.1288,
"implied_no": 0.4689,
"implied_yes": 0.5311,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.75,
"best_under_odd": 2.1,
"edge_over": -0.0757,
"edge_under": 0.0757,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1793,
"ev_under": 0.1151,
"implied_over": 0.5447,
"implied_under": 0.4553,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1288,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.645,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.469,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.531,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.031,
"ev": 0.1192,
"implied_prob": 0.1717,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "PSM Makassar"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1139,
"ev": 0.1288,
"implied_prob": 0.5311,
"model_prob": 0.645,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0757,
"ev": 0.1151,
"implied_prob": 0.4553,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1403858,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1288,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1192,
"implied_prob": 0.1717,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "PSM Makassar",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1192,
"implied_prob": 0.1717,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "PSM Makassar",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1151,
"implied_prob": 0.4553,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Persib Bandung",
"home": "PSM Makassar"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.083076,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1288,
"implied_prob": 0.5311,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.645,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1403858,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T11:59:45.749952+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para PSM Makassar & Persib Bandung!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Liga 1 de Indonesia — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo FC | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borneo FC | 34 | 74 | 31 | +43 | 79 |
| 2 | Malut United | 34 | 68 | 53 | +15 | 53 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 65 | 29 | +36 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 61 | 35 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 59 | 22 | +37 | 79 |
| 6 | Bali United | 34 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 51 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 53 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 34 | 53 | 47 | +6 | 48 |
| 9 | Dewa United | 34 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 53 |
| 10 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Persis Solo | 34 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 45 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 35 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 31 | 95 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 | Semen Padang | 34 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 20 |
