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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Malut United Dibujar ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.71
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Malut United 1–1 Persita Tangerang
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : Malut United",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Malut United"
},
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"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1365,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
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},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 15,
"away_played": 32,
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"home_played": 32,
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"pick": "No",
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"source": "stats",
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},
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"scores": [
{
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},
{
"away": 0,
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"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.4
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.1
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Malut United or Draw",
"prob": 90.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Malut United or Persita Tangerang",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Persita Tangerang",
"prob": 55.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Malut United or Draw",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
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"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 45.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Malut United"
},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.8,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "low",
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.8,
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},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Persita Tangerang",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Malut United",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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"gap_pp": -13.65,
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{
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{
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"movement": [
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{
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{
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{
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}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 9.6,
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.8
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
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"ev_available": true,
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"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 55.2,
"sort_key": 10392.64,
"tier": "best",
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},
{
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},
{
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"id": "1x2",
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"sort_key": 5212.48,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
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"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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}
],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 4244,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4244.webp",
"away_team_name": "Persita Tangerang",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
"country_name": "Indonesia",
"fixture_id": 1403853,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 22409,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/22409.webp",
"home_team_name": "Malut United",
"league_country": "Indonesia",
"league_id": 274,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 1 de Indonesia",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-16 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 4.13,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0165,
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"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1879,
"best_odd": 4.38,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0076,
"ev": -0.0192,
"implied_prob": 0.2164,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
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"home": {
"alpha": 0.4771,
"best_odd": 1.71,
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"edge": -0.0651,
"ev": -0.1637,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.65,
"edge_no": 0.1324,
"edge_yes": -0.1324,
"ev_available": true,
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"ev_yes": -0.2608,
"implied_no": 0.4196,
"implied_yes": 0.5804,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 2.35,
"edge_over": -0.0618,
"edge_under": 0.0618,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1504,
"ev_under": 0.1021,
"implied_over": 0.5928,
"implied_under": 0.4072,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2696,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.531,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.469,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0651,
"ev": -0.1637,
"implied_prob": 0.5542,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Malut United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1324,
"ev": 0.2696,
"implied_prob": 0.4196,
"model_prob": 0.552,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0618,
"ev": 0.1021,
"implied_prob": 0.4072,
"model_prob": 0.469,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1403853,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2696,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
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"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1021,
"implied_prob": 0.4072,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.469,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
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"ev": 0.1021,
"implied_prob": 0.4072,
"market": "ou_2_5",
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"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
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"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Persita Tangerang",
"home": "Malut United"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2696,
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"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.552,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1403853,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T12:01:02.768728+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Liga 1 de Indonesia — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo FC | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borneo FC | 34 | 74 | 31 | +43 | 79 |
| 2 | Malut United | 34 | 68 | 53 | +15 | 53 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 65 | 29 | +36 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 61 | 35 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 59 | 22 | +37 | 79 |
| 6 | Bali United | 34 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 51 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 53 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 34 | 53 | 47 | +6 | 48 |
| 9 | Dewa United | 34 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 53 |
| 10 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Persis Solo | 34 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 45 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 35 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 31 | 95 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 | Semen Padang | 34 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 20 |
