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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (4 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrecto
- 1X2 Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.06
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Bhayangkara FC win · Bhayangkara FC 3–1 Persepam Madura United
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Bhayangkara FC or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Bhayangkara FC"
},
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"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
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"away_played": 31,
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{
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{
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{
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"source": "avg"
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{
"key": "12",
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{
"key": "X2",
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"pick_key": "1X",
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"confidence": "low",
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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"most_likely": {
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"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2444,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2444.webp",
"away_team_name": "Persepam Madura United",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
"country_name": "Indonesia",
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"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2443,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2443.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bhayangkara FC",
"league_country": "Indonesia",
"league_id": 274,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 1 de Indonesia",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-11 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
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"best_odd": 3.06,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0042,
"ev": -0.0348,
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"draw": {
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"edge": -0.0032,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"btts": {
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"edge_no": 0.052,
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"ev_available": true,
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"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
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"ou25": {
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"edge_over": -0.0238,
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"ev_available": true,
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"implied_over": 0.5298,
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"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.08,
"confidence": 5.5,
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
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"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
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"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
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"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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},
"type": "neutral",
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},
"hero_display_pick": null,
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"markets": {
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"side": "home",
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},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.052,
"ev": 0.08,
"implied_prob": 0.428,
"model_prob": 0.48,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
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"ev": 0.0275,
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"side": "under",
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}
},
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"match_regime": {
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"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.08,
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"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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},
"reason_codes": [
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"secondary_pick": null,
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"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
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"home": "Bhayangkara FC"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.08,
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"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.48,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
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},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1403849,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-11T11:59:06.541728+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Liga 1 de Indonesia — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo FC | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borneo FC | 34 | 74 | 31 | +43 | 79 |
| 2 | Malut United | 34 | 68 | 53 | +15 | 53 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 65 | 29 | +36 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 61 | 35 | +26 | 58 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 59 | 22 | +37 | 79 |
| 6 | Bali United | 34 | 57 | 48 | +9 | 51 |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 53 | 45 | +8 | 53 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 34 | 53 | 47 | +6 | 48 |
| 9 | Dewa United | 34 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 53 |
| 10 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Persis Solo | 34 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | Persita Tangerang | 34 | 38 | 37 | +1 | 45 |
| 15 | Persepam Madura United | 34 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 35 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 31 | 95 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 | Semen Padang | 34 | 22 | 65 | -43 | 20 |
