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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Union Berlín Femenino 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.96
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
1899 Hoffenheim Femenino win · Union Berlín Femenino 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
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"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "1899 Hoffenheim Femenino"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1307,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
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},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
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},
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"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 24,
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"pick": "No",
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{
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{
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{
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"label": "2-2",
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{
"away": 1,
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"label": "0-1",
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],
"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
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{
"key": "1X",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Union Berl\u00edn Femenino or 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino",
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}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
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"confidence": "high",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
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"total_expected": 3.4,
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},
"prob_source": null,
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"featured": true,
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"tier": "best",
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},
{
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"sort_key": 5212.72,
"tier": "lean"
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{
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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"tier": "bad_ev",
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},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 808.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1858,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1858.webp",
"away_team_name": "1899 Hoffenheim Femenino",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1401382,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 24133,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/24133.webp",
"home_team_name": "Union Berl\u00edn Femenino",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 82,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga Femenina",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4728,
"best_odd": 1.96,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0668,
"ev": -0.2157,
"implied_prob": 0.467,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4002
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"draw": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": 0.0031,
"ev": -0.073,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 3.19,
"calibration": {
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.037,
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"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": 0.0063,
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"ev_available": true,
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"implied_over": 0.6537,
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"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.125,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
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],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
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"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
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"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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},
"type": "neutral",
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},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "Union Berl\u00edn Femenino"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.037,
"ev": 0.125,
"implied_prob": 0.338,
"model_prob": 0.375,
"side": "no",
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},
"ou_2_5": {
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"model_prob": 0.34,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1401382,
"match_regime": {
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"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.125,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
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},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1899 Hoffenheim Femenino",
"home": "Union Berl\u00edn Femenino"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.125,
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"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.375,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
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},
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}
},
"fixture_id": 1401382,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:08.854166+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Bundesliga Femenina — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
