Casa de apuestas premium stake: los nuevos usuarios pueden usar el código promoFHn2uDc1 FHn2uDc1. Registrarse
Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Núremberg Núremberg ✔ Correcto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrecto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.17
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Núremberg win · Núremberg 3–0 SGS Essen Femenino
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "cd173efb7226ab13ea389228d898d5bae823e7cf0c649e23d1589358dddd3c4e",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or SGS Essen Femenino",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "SGS Essen Femenino"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "N\u00faremberg",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0098,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4275,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 10,
"away_played": 24,
"away_score_rate": 58.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 0,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 24,
"home_score_rate": 66.7,
"no_prob": 61.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 61.1,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 38.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.65,
"home_expected": 1.85,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 5.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "N\u00faremberg or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "N\u00faremberg or SGS Essen Femenino",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or SGS Essen Femenino",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or SGS Essen Femenino",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.5,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 67.9,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 67.9,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.5,
"under_prob": 32.1
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.387,
"ev_yes": -0.3737,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.387,
"no_prob": 61.1,
"sort_key": 10498.3,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 38.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1747,
"ev_under": -0.2938,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1747,
"over_prob": 67.9,
"sort_key": 10157.23,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 32.1,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0818,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4275,
"max_ev": -0.062,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "N\u00faremberg",
"sort_key": 1784.5,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 807.6,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 9.2
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1868,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1868.webp",
"away_team_name": "SGS Essen Femenino",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1401377,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 20487,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/20487.webp",
"home_team_name": "N\u00faremberg",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 82,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga Femenina",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4446,
"best_odd": 2.92,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0035,
"ev": -0.062,
"implied_prob": 0.3177,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3212
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2992,
"best_odd": 3.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0006,
"ev": -0.0704,
"implied_prob": 0.2548,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2554
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4434,
"best_odd": 2.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0044,
"ev": -0.0818,
"implied_prob": 0.4275,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4231
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.27,
"best_yes_odd": 1.61,
"edge_no": 0.2019,
"edge_yes": -0.2019,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.387,
"ev_yes": -0.3737,
"implied_no": 0.4091,
"implied_yes": 0.5909,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.73,
"best_under_odd": 2.2,
"edge_over": 0.1173,
"edge_under": -0.1173,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1747,
"ev_under": -0.2938,
"implied_over": 0.5617,
"implied_under": 0.4383,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.387,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.389,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.679,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.321,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0044,
"ev": -0.0818,
"implied_prob": 0.4275,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "N\u00faremberg"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2019,
"ev": 0.387,
"implied_prob": 0.4091,
"model_prob": 0.611,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1173,
"ev": 0.1747,
"implied_prob": 0.5617,
"model_prob": 0.679,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1401377,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.387,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1747,
"implied_prob": 0.5617,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.679,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1747,
"implied_prob": 0.5617,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.679,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "SGS Essen Femenino",
"home": "N\u00faremberg"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.236457,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.387,
"implied_prob": 0.4091,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.611,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1401377,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:14.450393+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Explora Más Contenido de Predicciones
Obtén predicciones premium para Núremberg & SGS Essen Femenino!
Desbloquea análisis en profundidad, consejos de apuestas exclusivos y pronósticos de partidos con nuestro servicio de suscripción premium.
Suscríbete ahora
Bundesliga Femenina — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Múnich Femenino | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Femenino | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Femenino | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim Femenino | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen Femenino | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg Femenino | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen Femenino | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlín Femenino | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig Femenino | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Köln Femenino | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Núremberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV Femenino | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen Femenino | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena Femenino | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
