Eibar Femenino vs Alhama Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo

Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.

  • Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
  • Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (2 objetivos) ✖ Incorrecto
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
  • 1X2 Eibar Femenino Eibar Femenino ✔ Correcto
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Correcto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 15:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1611688

Closing Odds 3.41
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Eibar Femenino win · Eibar Femenino 2–0 Alhama
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Inteligencia de mercado

Lectura de apoyo tras la elección principal: cómo se movió el feed de cierre priorizado frente al modelo.

Briefing de mercado

El mercado se mantuvo estable antes del inicio. No se detectó un cambio implícito relevante entre PRE30 y PRE1 en la captura priorizada.

A pesar del movimiento tardío limitado, el modelo sigue tasando Alhama (1X2),Más de 2,5 goles claramente por encima de lo implícito en esas capturas de cierre: es una lectura estática de «modelo vs precio», no de persecución tardía.

El modelo aún supera la implícita de cierre en Más de 2,5 goles en unos 7.6 puntos porcentuales — la señal de desajuste más clara de esta página.

Modelo vs implícita de cierre

Mercado Modelo % Implícita cierre % Brecha (pp)
Eibar Femenino (1X2) 41.8 44.0 -2.2
Dibujar (1X2) 25.7 28.8 -3.1
Alhama (1X2) 32.6 27.2 +5.3
Más de 2,5 goles 50.6 43.0 +7.6
Menos de 2,5 goles 49.4 57.0 -7.6
Qué significa

En simple: el modelo ronda el 50.6% en Más de 2,5 goles, mientras la captura de cierre implicaba unos 43.0%. La diferencia —unos 7.6 puntos porcentuales— es la mayor brecha modelo-mercado destacada aquí.

Definiciones rápidas: «implícita de cierre» es la probabilidad implícita en las cuotas finales capturadas (tras un de-vig simple). «Brecha (pp)» = porcentaje del modelo menos esa implícita, en puntos porcentuales (pp).

Movimiento de cuota antes del inicio

Una casa prioritaria por instantáneo (no todas). Ruta de capturas: PRE30 → PRE1 · Casa: Pinnacle

Entre paréntesis en columnas: Cierre = primera captura disponible en PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Temprano = primera en PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 distinta de Cierre.

Las cuotas detalladas están plegadas abajo — el movimiento implícito fue insignificante.

Ver tabla completa línea a línea
Mercado Temprano (PRE30) Cierre (PRE1) Δ implícita (pp)
Eibar Femenino (1X2) 2.11 2.11 0.0
Dibujar (1X2) 3.23 3.23 0.0
Alhama (1X2) 3.41 3.41 0.0
Más de 2,5 goles 2.2 2.2 0.0
Menos de 2,5 goles 1.66 1.66 0.0

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:59:48.550819+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Volver a Estadísticas
Primera División Femenina Primera División Femenina — Clasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P Pts
1 FC Barcelona Femenino 30 29 0 1 87
2 Real Madrid Femenino 30 23 3 4 72
3 Real Sociedad Femenino 30 20 6 4 66
4 Granadilla Tenerife Femenino 30 14 12 4 54
5 Atlético Madrid Femenino 30 14 9 7 51
6 Granada CF 30 13 6 11 45
7 Athletic Club Femenino 30 12 8 10 44
8 Sevilla Femenino 30 12 5 13 41
9 FC Levante Badalona 30 10 9 11 39
10 Madrid CFF 30 11 4 15 37
11 Espanyol Femenino 30 7 10 13 31
12 Deportivo de La Coruña Femenino 30 8 7 15 31
13 Eibar Femenino 30 8 4 18 28
14 EDF Logroño Femenino 30 4 9 17 21
15 Alhama 30 3 5 22 14
16 Levante W 30 2 3 25 9
# EQUIPO PJ GF GC +/- Pts
1 FC Barcelona Femenino 30 130 9 +121 87
2 Real Madrid Femenino 30 65 18 +47 72
3 Atlético Madrid Femenino 30 63 39 +24 51
4 Real Sociedad Femenino 30 61 27 +34 66
5 Granadilla Tenerife Femenino 30 49 22 +27 54
6 Madrid CFF 30 41 59 -18 37
7 Granada CF 30 36 42 -6 45
8 Athletic Club Femenino 30 35 44 -9 44
9 Deportivo de La Coruña Femenino 30 34 54 -20 31
10 Sevilla Femenino 30 33 46 -13 41
11 EDF Logroño Femenino 30 29 54 -25 21
12 Espanyol Femenino 30 28 44 -16 31
13 FC Levante Badalona 30 28 46 -18 39
14 Alhama 30 23 78 -55 14
15 Eibar Femenino 30 18 47 -29 28
16 Levante W 30 18 62 -44 9