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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No Sí ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Carroi Carroi ✔ Correct
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "b0a6d7acc993d4f05ddd57ba98a28bc9bce4922af6ab44d51637f2c13b165784",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Winner : Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "50%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "0%",
"winner_name": "Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Carroi",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.3656,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.0521,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 23,
"away_score_rate": 95.7,
"home_clean_sheet": 6,
"home_failed_to_score": 15,
"home_played": 24,
"home_score_rate": 37.5,
"no_prob": 64.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 64.1,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 35.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 2.15,
"home_expected": 0.75,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.8
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 3,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-3",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.9
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Carroi or Draw",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Carroi or Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"prob": 100.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"pick_prob": 100.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 50.0,
"draw_pct": 50.0,
"home_pct": 0.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.9,
"away_avg_scored": 2.0,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.5,
"over_prob": 55.4,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 55.4,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.9,
"under_prob": 44.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Carroi",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 5.21,
"gap_pp": 36.56,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 8.4,
"gap_pp": 17.27,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 86.4,
"gap_pp": -53.83,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 17.76,
"early": 17.76,
"implied_closing_pct": 5.21,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 5.21,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 11.01,
"early": 11.01,
"implied_closing_pct": 8.4,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 8.4,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.07,
"early": 1.07,
"implied_closing_pct": 86.4,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 86.4,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 36.6,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 12.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2909,
"ev_under": 0.561,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.561,
"over_prob": 55.4,
"sort_key": 10654.9,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 44.6,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5738,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.0521,
"max_ev": 0.5738,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Carroi",
"sort_key": 10516.42,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0384,
"ev_yes": -0.2282,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0384,
"no_prob": 64.1,
"sort_key": 10034.56,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 35.9
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 818.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-2",
"top_prob": 12.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 3342,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3342.webp",
"away_team_name": "Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ad.svg",
"country_name": "Andorra",
"fixture_id": 1396764,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 3346,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3346.webp",
"home_team_name": "Carroi",
"league_country": "Andorra",
"league_id": 312,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/312.webp",
"league_name": "1a Divisi\u00f3",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 09:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 1.07,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.1615,
"ev": -0.2483,
"implied_prob": 0.864,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.7025
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1482,
"best_odd": 11.01,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0256,
"ev": 0.2063,
"implied_prob": 0.084,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.1096
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1,
"best_odd": 17.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0366,
"ev": 0.5738,
"implied_prob": 0.0521,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.0886
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.62,
"best_yes_odd": 2.15,
"edge_no": 0.069,
"edge_yes": -0.069,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0384,
"ev_yes": -0.2282,
"implied_no": 0.572,
"implied_yes": 0.428,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.28,
"best_under_odd": 3.5,
"edge_over": -0.1729,
"edge_under": 0.1729,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2909,
"ev_under": 0.561,
"implied_over": 0.7269,
"implied_under": 0.2731,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5738,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.359,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.554,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.446,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2063,
"implied_prob": 0.084,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0366,
"ev": 0.5738,
"implied_prob": 0.0521,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Carroi"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.069,
"ev": 0.0384,
"implied_prob": 0.572,
"model_prob": 0.641,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1729,
"ev": 0.561,
"implied_prob": 0.2731,
"model_prob": 0.446,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1396764,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5738,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5738,
"implied_prob": 0.0521,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Carroi",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5738,
"implied_prob": 0.0521,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Carroi",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Inter Club d\u0027Escaldes",
"home": "Carroi"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.250206,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.561,
"implied_prob": 0.2731,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.446,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1396764,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T08:59:04.301220+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
- Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
- No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
- Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.
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1a Divisió — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UE Santa Coloma | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 54 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 54 |
| 3 | Ranger's | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 48 |
| 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31 |
| 6 | Penya Encarnada | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24 |
| 7 | Ordino | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | Carroi | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Esperança d'Andorra | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 |
| 10 | Pas de la Casa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UE Santa Coloma | 25 | 48 | 13 | +35 | 54 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 24 | 47 | 24 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 | Ranger's | 24 | 46 | 22 | +24 | 48 |
| 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 24 | 45 | 20 | +25 | 44 |
| 5 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes | 23 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 | Ordino | 24 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 22 |
| 7 | Penya Encarnada | 23 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Esperança d'Andorra | 24 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 11 |
| 9 | Carroi | 25 | 15 | 55 | -40 | 18 |
| 10 | Pas de la Casa | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |