Estadísticas / Fútbol / Turkey. Süper Lig / Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.88
3 0.80
xG Accuracy: 33%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği S.K. ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "aa89c2999e0a30259d4bec6655d3dd53c349369dde64c407c8a243ba7dd437d8",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.8,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1399,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2444,
      "fair_odds_away": 7.15,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.09,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.62,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.88,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6157,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Trabzonspor or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Trabzonspor",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Trabzonspor"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.8,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Trabzonspor",
      "confidence": 61.6,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Trabzonspor",
        "edge": 0.2985,
        "edge_gap": 0.3722,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3178,
        "model_prob": 0.6163,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 14.0,
          "draw": 24.4,
          "home": 61.6
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Trabzonspor"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.03
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#ff9800",
      "risk_key": "medium_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.03,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Trabzonspor Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.15,
        "market_odds": 3.03,
        "model_odds": 1.62,
        "overround": 3.9,
        "prob_edge": 28.7,
        "value_pct": 87.0,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 55.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 84.7,
        "no_prob": 52.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 48.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.8,
        "home_expected": 1.88,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.9
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 12.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Trabzonspor or Draw",
            "prob": 86.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Trabzonspor or Genclerbirligi",
            "prob": 75.6
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Genclerbirligi",
            "prob": 38.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Trabzonspor or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 86.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 14.0,
        "draw_pct": 24.4,
        "home_pct": 61.6,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Trabzonspor"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.68,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.8,
        "over_prob": 50.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.68,
        "under_prob": 49.9
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 87.0,
        "implied_prob": 33.0,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Trabzonspor Win",
        "model_prob": 61.7,
        "odds": 3.03
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Genclerbirligi",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Trabzonspor",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.78,
          "gap_pp": 29.85,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 61.63
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.59,
          "gap_pp": -3.18,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 24.41
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 40.63,
          "gap_pp": -26.67,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 13.96
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 56.38,
          "gap_pp": -6.28,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 50.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.62,
          "gap_pp": 6.28,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 49.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 3.03,
          "early": 3.03,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.78,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.78,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.49,
          "early": 3.49,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.59,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.59,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.37,
          "early": 2.37,
          "implied_closing_pct": 40.63,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 40.63,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.71,
          "early": 1.71,
          "implied_closing_pct": 56.38,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 56.38,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.21,
          "early": 2.21,
          "implied_closing_pct": 43.62,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 43.62,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 29.9,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 12.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.88,
    "homepage_pick": {
      "best_bookmaker": "Betano",
      "best_odds": 1.75,
      "confidence": "strong",
      "display_label": "Home Trabzonspor",
      "edge": 4.5,
      "ev": 8.0,
      "probability": 61.6
    },
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.274,
        "ev_yes": -0.208,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.274,
        "no_prob": 52.0,
        "sort_key": 10396.6,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 48.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1128,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3178,
        "max_ev": 0.1128,
        "model_prob": 0.6163,
        "side_label": "Trabzonspor",
        "sort_key": 10101.52,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1333,
        "ev_under": 0.1028,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1028,
        "over_prob": 50.1,
        "sort_key": 10092.52,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 49.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.7,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 12.9
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 997,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/997.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Genclerbirligi",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
      "country_name": "Turkey",
      "fixture_id": 1394738,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 998,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/998.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Trabzonspor",
      "league_country": "Turkey",
      "league_id": 203,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.27,
            "best_odd": 2.37,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.072,
            "ev": -0.2077,
            "implied_prob": 0.4063,
            "model_prob": 0.1396,
            "p_final": 0.3343
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2857,
            "best_odd": 3.49,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0091,
            "ev": -0.0688,
            "implied_prob": 0.2759,
            "model_prob": 0.2441,
            "p_final": 0.2668
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1657,
            "best_odd": 3.03,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0495,
            "ev": 0.1128,
            "implied_prob": 0.3178,
            "model_prob": 0.6163,
            "p_final": 0.3672
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.45,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_no": 0.1202,
          "edge_yes": -0.1202,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.274,
          "ev_yes": -0.208,
          "implied_no": 0.3998,
          "implied_yes": 0.6002,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.73,
          "best_under_odd": 2.21,
          "edge_over": -0.0614,
          "edge_under": 0.0614,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1333,
          "ev_under": 0.1028,
          "implied_over": 0.5624,
          "implied_under": 0.4376,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.68,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.274,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.48,
          "draw_prob": 0.2441,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6163,
          "over_prob": 0.501,
          "total_xg": 2.68,
          "under_prob": 0.499,
          "xg_diff": 1.08
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0495,
          "ev": 0.1128,
          "implied_prob": 0.3178,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.6163,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Trabzonspor"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1202,
          "ev": 0.274,
          "implied_prob": 0.3998,
          "model_prob": 0.52,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0614,
          "ev": 0.1028,
          "implied_prob": 0.4376,
          "model_prob": 0.499,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1394738,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.274,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1396,
        "draw": 0.2441,
        "home": 0.6163
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1128,
        "implied_prob": 0.3178,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.6163,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Trabzonspor",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1128,
          "implied_prob": 0.3178,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.6163,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Trabzonspor",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1028,
          "implied_prob": 0.4376,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.499,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Genclerbirligi",
        "home": "Trabzonspor"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.14248,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.274,
        "implied_prob": 0.3998,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.52,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1394738,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:59:15.594313+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
Süper Lig Süper LigClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 24 5 4 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 21 10 2 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 20 9 4 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Göztepe 33 14 13 6 55
6 Başakşehir 33 15 9 9 54
7 Samsunspor 33 12 12 9 48
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 33 10 10 13 40
10 Kocaelispor 33 9 10 14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 7 16 10 37
12 Gaziantep FK 33 9 10 14 37
13 Eyüpspor 33 8 8 17 32
14 Kasımpaşa 33 7 11 15 32
15 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 8 7 18 31
16 Antalyaspor 33 7 8 18 29
17 Kayserispor 33 5 12 16 27
18 Fatih Karagümrük 33 7 6 20 27
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 77 29 +48 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 74 34 +40 73
3 Trabzonspor 33 61 36 +25 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Başakşehir 33 56 34 +22 54
6 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
7 Samsunspor 33 43 45 -2 48
8 Göztepe 33 42 29 +13 55
9 Konyaspor 33 42 48 -6 40
10 Gaziantep FK 33 42 56 -14 37
11 Alanyaspor 33 40 39 +1 37
12 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 33 47 -14 31
13 Kasımpaşa 33 32 49 -17 32
14 Antalyaspor 33 32 55 -23 29
15 Eyüpspor 33 30 45 -15 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 33 29 53 -24 27
17 Kocaelispor 33 26 37 -11 37
18 Kayserispor 33 25 61 -36 27
# EQUIPO PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray 33 68.5 32.7 +35.8 77
2 Fenerbahçe 33 65.0 30.1 +34.9 73
3 Beşiktaş 34 62.6 36.8 +25.8 60
4 Başakşehir 33 53.5 42.7 +10.8 54
5 Göztepe 33 46.6 35.8 +10.8 55
6 Trabzonspor 33 50.4 43.9 +6.5 69
7 Samsunspor 33 43.1 38.9 +4.2 48
8 Rizespor 34 45.3 45.5 -0.2 41
9 Kocaelispor 33 30.1 33.2 -3.1 37
10 Konyaspor 33 44.0 47.4 -3.4 40
11 Gaziantep FK 33 44.4 50.8 -6.4 37
12 Alanyaspor 33 34.6 44.1 -9.5 37
13 Kayserispor 33 37.9 51.7 -13.8 27
14 Kasımpaşa 33 29.2 43.8 -14.6 32
15 Fatih Karagümrük 33 33.2 48.0 -14.8 27
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 33 34.9 51.4 -16.5 31
17 Eyüpspor 33 34.4 53.3 -18.9 32
18 Antalyaspor 33 27.8 55.2 -27.4 29