FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 11:30

3 1.79

4 1.71

xG Accuracy: 38%

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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo

Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.

Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
Más / Menos 2.5 Más de 2.5 Más de 2.5 (7 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS Sí Sí ✔ Correcto
1X2 FC Saarbrücken Hansa Rostock ✖ Incorrecto
Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 3-4 ✖ Incorrecto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 00:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1661507

Closing Odds 2.47

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Hansa Rostock win · FC Saarbrücken 3–4 Hansa Rostock

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Inteligencia de mercado

Lectura de apoyo tras la elección principal: cómo se movió el feed de cierre priorizado frente al modelo.

Briefing de mercado

El mercado se mantuvo estable antes del inicio. No se detectó un cambio implícito relevante entre PRE30 y PRE1 en la captura priorizada.

A pesar del movimiento tardío limitado, el modelo sigue tasando FC Saarbrücken (1X2),Más de 2,5 goles claramente por encima de lo implícito en esas capturas de cierre: es una lectura estática de «modelo vs precio», no de persecución tardía.

El modelo aún supera la implícita de cierre en Más de 2,5 goles en unos 6.2 puntos porcentuales — la señal de desajuste más clara de esta página.

Modelo vs implícita de cierre

Mercado	Modelo %	Implícita cierre %	Brecha (pp)
FC Saarbrücken (1X2)	39.4	38.1	+1.2
Dibujar (1X2)	24.7	25.3	-0.7
Hansa Rostock (1X2)	36.0	36.5	-0.6
Más de 2,5 goles	67.9	61.7	+6.2
Menos de 2,5 goles	32.1	38.3	-6.2

Qué significa

En simple: el modelo ronda el 67.9% en Más de 2,5 goles, mientras la captura de cierre implicaba unos 61.7%. La diferencia —unos 6.2 puntos porcentuales— es la mayor brecha modelo-mercado destacada aquí.

Definiciones rápidas: «implícita de cierre» es la probabilidad implícita en las cuotas finales capturadas (tras un de-vig simple). «Brecha (pp)» = porcentaje del modelo menos esa implícita, en puntos porcentuales (pp).

Movimiento de cuota antes del inicio

Una casa prioritaria por instantáneo (no todas). Ruta de capturas: PRE30 → PRE1 · Casa: Pinnacle

Entre paréntesis en columnas: Cierre = primera captura disponible en PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Temprano = primera en PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 distinta de Cierre.

Las cuotas detalladas están plegadas abajo — el movimiento implícito fue insignificante.

Ver tabla completa línea a línea

Mercado	Temprano (PRE30)	Cierre (PRE1)
FC Saarbrücken (1X2)	2.47	2.47
Dibujar (1X2)	3.72	3.72
Hansa Rostock (1X2)	2.58	2.58
Más de 2,5 goles	1.52	1.52
Menos de 2,5 goles	2.45	2.45

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON

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}

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3. Liga — Clasificación

#	EQUIPO	PJ	G	E	P	Pts
1	VfL Osnabrück	38	24	8	6	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	38	20	10	8	70
4	MSV Duisburg	38	19	11	8	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	64
8	TSV 1860 Múnich	38	15	11	12	56
9	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	38	15	8	15	53
10	Waldhof Mannheim	38	15	7	16	52
11	FC Viktoria Köln	38	15	6	17	51
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	38	13	10	15	49
13	SSV Jahn Regensburg	38	14	7	17	49
14	Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	46
15	FC Saarbrücken	38	10	14	14	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	43
17	Havelse	38	9	8	21	35
18	Erzgebirge Aue	38	7	13	18	34
19	SSV Ulm 1846	38	9	6	23	33
20	FC Schweinfurt 05	38	5	6	27	21

#	EQUIPO	PJ	GF	GC	+/-	Pts
1	Verl	38	82	48	+34	64
2	Rot-Weiß Essen	38	78	66	+12	70
3	Alemannia Aachen	38	76	57	+19	64
4	Hansa Rostock	38	74	49	+25	67
5	Energie Cottbus	38	72	51	+21	72
6	VfL Osnabrück	38	66	34	+32	80
7	MSV Duisburg	38	66	49	+17	68
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	38	65	56	+9	49
9	Hoffenheim II	38	65	71	-6	43
10	Waldhof Mannheim	38	59	72	-13	52
11	Stuttgart II	38	57	69	-12	46
12	Havelse	38	57	89	-32	35
13	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	38	54	52	+2	53
14	TSV 1860 Múnich	38	54	53	+1	56
15	SSV Jahn Regensburg	38	54	58	-4	49
16	FC Viktoria Köln	38	51	53	-2	51
17	FC Saarbrücken	38	51	57	-6	44
18	Erzgebirge Aue	38	51	70	-19	34
19	SSV Ulm 1846	38	49	78	-29	33
20	FC Schweinfurt 05	38	38	87	-49	21

#	EQUIPO	PJ	xG	xGC	+/-	Pts
1	Energie Cottbus	38	48.1	34.3	+13.8	72
2	Hansa Rostock	38	49.0	35.6	+13.4	67
3	VfL Osnabrück	38	44.5	31.3	+13.2	80
4	Verl	38	44.0	31.6	+12.4	64
5	MSV Duisburg	38	38.0	30.8	+7.2	68
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	38	47.0	40.4	+6.6	49
7	TSV 1860 Múnich	38	45.8	42.6	+3.2	56
8	Rot-Weiß Essen	38	41.9	38.8	+3.1	70
9	Waldhof Mannheim	38	38.3	35.4	+2.9	52
10	FC Saarbrücken	38	41.1	40.6	+0.5	44
11	SSV Jahn Regensburg	38	40.8	40.6	+0.2	49
12	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	38	37.7	38.1	-0.4	53
13	FC Viktoria Köln	38	33.4	34.1	-0.7	51
14	Stuttgart II	38	37.1	41.0	-3.9	46
15	SSV Ulm 1846	38	37.4	42.3	-4.9	33
16	Alemannia Aachen	38	37.1	42.9	-5.8	64
17	Hoffenheim II	38	44.5	51.1	-6.6	43
18	Erzgebirge Aue	38	33.6	46.8	-13.2	34
19	Havelse	38	31.9	50.5	-18.6	35
20	FC Schweinfurt 05	38	32.9	55.1	-22.2	21