Progres Niederkorn vs F91 Dudelange Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Progres Niederkorn or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Progres Niederkorn"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
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      "confidence": null,
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        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3107,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 82.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 69.0,
        "no_prob": 42.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 57.1,
        "source": "stats",
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      "correct_score": {
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 11.2
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Progres Niederkorn or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Progres Niederkorn or F91 Dudelange",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or F91 Dudelange",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Progres Niederkorn or Draw",
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        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
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        "lean_label": "Progres Niederkorn"
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        "avg_total": 2.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.9,
        "confidence": "medium",
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        "over_prob": 56.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 56.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.95,
        "under_prob": 43.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "F91 Dudelange",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Progres Niederkorn",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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        {
          "closing": 1.93,
          "early": 1.93,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.43,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.1606,
        "featured": true,
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      "away_team_id": 578,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/578.webp",
      "away_team_name": "F91 Dudelange",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/lu.svg",
      "country_name": "Luxembourg",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 658,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/658.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Progres Niederkorn",
      "league_country": "Luxembourg",
      "league_id": 261,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/261.webp",
      "league_name": "Divisi\u00f3n Nacional de Luxemburgo",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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          "implied_yes": 0.6319,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
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          "n_bookmakers": 9,
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      },
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      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
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      "confidence": 6.5,
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
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        ],
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      "execution": {
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        "grade": "A",
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        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.434,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
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          "side_label": "Progres Niederkorn"
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        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "use_split_strip": false
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      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "risk_band": "medium",
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        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
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          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "F91 Dudelange",
        "home": "Progres Niederkorn"
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:26:33.120692+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}