Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
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      "away_win_prob": 0.3484,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2894,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.87,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.46,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.76,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.37,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3622,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or 1899 Hoffenheim",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "1899 Hoffenheim"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.34,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1606,
        "edge_gap": 0.0139,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2018,
        "model_prob": 0.3624,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 34.9,
          "draw": 28.9,
          "home": 36.2
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 4.8
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 4.8,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 4.96,
        "market_odds": 4.8,
        "model_odds": 2.76,
        "overround": 3.2,
        "prob_edge": 15.4,
        "value_pct": 73.9,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 73.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 12,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 74.6,
        "no_prob": 43.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 56.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 56.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.34,
        "home_expected": 1.37,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.1
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.9
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.4
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
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          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or Draw",
            "prob": 65.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim",
            "prob": 71.0
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          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 63.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach or 1899 Hoffenheim",
        "pick_prob": 71.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 34.8,
        "draw_pct": 28.9,
        "home_pct": 36.2,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.71,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 50.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "xG_dc",
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        "under_prob": 49.1
      },
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        "edge": 73.9,
        "implied_prob": 20.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach Win",
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        "odds": 4.8
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "1899 Hoffenheim",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
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      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "kind": "1x2_h",
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        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 20.39,
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          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 28.91
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 59.43,
          "gap_pp": -24.58,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 34.85
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 70.09,
          "gap_pp": -19.19,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 50.9
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.91,
          "gap_pp": 19.19,
          "kind": "ou_u",
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      "movement": [
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          "closing": 4.8,
          "early": 4.8,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.37,
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          "closing": 3.21,
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    "home_xg": 1.37,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_under": 0.6203,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.6203,
        "over_prob": 50.9,
        "sort_key": 10708.27,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 49.1,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.2076,
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2018,
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        "side_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
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        "sort_key": 816.6,
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 167,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/167.webp",
      "away_team_name": "1899 Hoffenheim",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 163,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/163.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 78,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/78.webp",
      "league_name": "Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 13:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        "score": 6.0
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.1831,
            "implied_prob": 0.5943,
            "model_prob": 0.3485,
            "p_final": 0.5012
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            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": 0.0857,
            "implied_prob": 0.2018,
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            "p_final": 0.2262
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          "implied_no": 0.3287,
          "implied_yes": 0.6713,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
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          "implied_under": 0.2972,
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
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      "total_xg": 2.71,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "longshot"
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
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        "btts": {
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          "value_side": "no"
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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        "away": 0.3485,
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
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        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
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          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "1899 Hoffenheim",
        "home": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach"
      },
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        "composite_score": 0.304567,
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        "model_prob": 0.491,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 4
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  "fixture_id": 1388607,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:12.844707+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}