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Mercados rastreados versus resultado de tiempo completo
Cada fila compara el modelo previo al partido con el resultado de tiempo completo.
- Mercado Predicción Resultado Resultado
- Más / Menos 2.5 Menos de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (1 objetivos) ✔ Correcto
- Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correcto
- 1X2 Jesenice Dravinja ✖ Incorrecto
- Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correcto
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.97
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Dravinja win · Jesenice 0–1 Dravinja
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Dravinja",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Dravinja"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Jesenice",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1136,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
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},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 9,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 69.0,
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"home_played": 29,
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"no_prob": 62.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 62.0,
"source": "stats",
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"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 1.2,
"scores": [
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{
"away": 2,
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{
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.0
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{
"away": 1,
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"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.7
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],
"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Jesenice or Draw",
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{
"key": "12",
"label": "Jesenice or Dravinja",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Dravinja",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
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"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.9,
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"confidence": "medium",
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
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"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.9,
"under_prob": 44.6
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Dravinja",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Jesenice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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"movement": [
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"movement_negligible": true,
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "+25%+"
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"ev_yes": -0.4338,
"ev_yes_display": {
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"text": "-43.4%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"tier": "best",
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},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0416,
"ev_over_display": {
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"text": "-4.2%"
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"ev_under": 0.057,
"ev_under_display": {
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{
"decision": "small_edge",
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"tier": "lean"
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
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"tier": "risk",
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],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 16302,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16302.webp",
"away_team_name": "Dravinja",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/si.svg",
"country_name": "Slovenia",
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"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 19244,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/19244.webp",
"home_team_name": "Jesenice",
"league_country": "Slovenia",
"league_id": 374,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/374.webp",
"league_name": "Segunda SNL",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 1.97,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0609,
"ev": -0.2322,
"implied_prob": 0.4507,
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"calibration": {
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"edge": 0.0034,
"ev": -0.1,
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"p_final": 0.2486
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"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.92,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0424,
"ev": 0.0117,
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},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.49,
"edge_no": 0.2423,
"edge_yes": -0.2423,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.55,
"ev_yes": -0.4338,
"implied_no": 0.3777,
"implied_yes": 0.6223,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
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"edge_over": -0.0395,
"edge_under": 0.0395,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0416,
"ev_under": 0.057,
"implied_over": 0.5935,
"implied_under": 0.4065,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.55,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
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"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.554,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.446,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"ev": 0.0117,
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"max_ev_side": "home",
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "Jesenice"
},
"btts": {
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"edge": 0.2423,
"ev": 0.55,
"implied_prob": 0.3777,
"model_prob": 0.62,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0395,
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"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
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"match_regime": {
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"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.55,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Dravinja",
"home": "Jesenice"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.55,
"implied_prob": 0.3777,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.62,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1388306,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T18:57:00.322662+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Segunda SNL — Clasificación
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | G | E | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 75 |
| 2 | Nafta | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 75 |
| 3 | Triglav | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 64 |
| 4 | Beltinci | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 60 |
| 5 | Tabor Sežana | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Bistrica | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 45 |
| 7 | Dravinja | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37 |
| 8 | Rudar | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37 |
| 9 | Bilje | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 |
| 10 | Dekani | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 11 | Slovan Ljubljana | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32 |
| 12 | Krka | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29 |
| 13 | Ilirija | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 |
| 14 | Krško | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26 |
| 15 | Gorica | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 22 |
| 16 | Jesenice | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 |
| # | EQUIPO | PJ | GF | GC | +/- | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Triglav | 30 | 72 | 28 | +44 | 64 |
| 2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 30 | 70 | 26 | +44 | 75 |
| 3 | Nafta | 30 | 65 | 23 | +42 | 75 |
| 4 | Beltinci | 30 | 55 | 25 | +30 | 60 |
| 5 | Bistrica | 30 | 50 | 36 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 | Rudar | 30 | 46 | 39 | +7 | 37 |
| 7 | Dekani | 30 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
| 8 | Ilirija | 30 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 27 |
| 9 | Tabor Sežana | 30 | 37 | 33 | +4 | 50 |
| 10 | Dravinja | 30 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Krka | 30 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
| 12 | Slovan Ljubljana | 30 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 32 |
| 13 | Gorica | 30 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 22 |
| 14 | Bilje | 30 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 34 |
| 15 | Jesenice | 30 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 18 |
| 16 | Krško | 30 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 26 |
