Estadísticas / Fútbol / Poland. I Liga / Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Tychy 71

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Tychy 71 Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 48%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Más / Menos de 2.5 Más de 2.5 Menos de 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Ambos Equipos Marcarán BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Dibujar ✖ Incorrect
  • Perspectivas de marcador exacto 1-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

El informe IA aún no está disponible para este partido. Vuelva a ejecutar «Generación masiva de cuotas» tras actualizar el servidor para generar el resumen.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "0d9570c2fd2200181f1f7d8456a23eb9436f9e65e4e8ce14ae751d5c116fde04",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0308,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4484,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 2,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 71.9,
        "home_clean_sheet": 3,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 32,
        "home_score_rate": 81.2,
        "no_prob": 41.6,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 58.4,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 58.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.45,
        "home_expected": 1.9,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 6.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki or Tychy 71",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Tychy 71",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.35,
        "under_prob": 34.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Tychy 71",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.84,
          "gap_pp": -3.08,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.93,
          "gap_pp": 0.74,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 30.23,
          "gap_pp": 2.33,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 61.31,
          "gap_pp": 3.79,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 65.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 38.69,
          "gap_pp": -3.79,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 34.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.09,
          "early": 2.09,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.84,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.84,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.76,
          "early": 3.76,
          "implied_closing_pct": 24.93,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 24.93,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.1,
          "early": 3.1,
          "implied_closing_pct": 30.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 30.23,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.54,
          "early": 1.54,
          "implied_closing_pct": 61.31,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 61.31,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.44,
          "early": 2.44,
          "implied_closing_pct": 38.69,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.69,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 3.8,
        "kind": "ou_o"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0941,
        "ev_yes": -0.124,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0941,
        "no_prob": 41.6,
        "sort_key": 10234.69,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 58.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.0091,
        "ev_under": -0.1101,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0091,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "sort_key": 5207.28,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 34.9,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0904,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4484,
        "max_ev": -0.0419,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki",
        "sort_key": 1789.525,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3495,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3495.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Tychy 71",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
      "fixture_id": 1381807,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 14750,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14750.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 107,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/107.webp",
      "league_name": "I Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2895,
            "best_odd": 3.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0068,
            "ev": -0.0419,
            "implied_prob": 0.3023,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3091
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2967,
            "best_odd": 3.76,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0022,
            "ev": -0.0545,
            "implied_prob": 0.2493,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2515
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4292,
            "best_odd": 2.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0132,
            "ev": -0.0904,
            "implied_prob": 0.4484,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4352
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.63,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": 0.0493,
          "edge_yes": -0.0493,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0941,
          "ev_yes": -0.124,
          "implied_no": 0.3667,
          "implied_yes": 0.6333,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.55,
          "best_under_odd": 2.55,
          "edge_over": 0.041,
          "edge_under": -0.041,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0091,
          "ev_under": -0.1101,
          "implied_over": 0.61,
          "implied_under": 0.39,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0941,
      "confidence": 5.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.584,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.651,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.349,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0132,
          "ev": -0.0904,
          "implied_prob": 0.4484,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0493,
          "ev": 0.0941,
          "implied_prob": 0.3667,
          "model_prob": 0.416,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.041,
          "ev": 0.0091,
          "implied_prob": 0.61,
          "model_prob": 0.651,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1381807,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0941,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Tychy 71",
        "home": "Pogo\u0144 Grod. Mazowiecki"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.039146,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0941,
        "implied_prob": 0.3667,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.416,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1381807,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:56:34.942836+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
¿Cómo usar esto?
  • Concéntrese en la línea principal cuando desee una idea viable.
  • No combine muchas púas de punta fina;Los bordes no se suman de manera confiable.
  • Trate las apuestas arriesgadas como jugadas opcionales y de alto riesgo únicamente.

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Volver a Estadísticas
I Liga I LigaClasificación
# EQUIPO PJ G E P PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 33 19 11 3 68
2 Slask Wroclaw 33 17 10 6 61
3 Wieczysta Kraków 33 16 8 9 56
4 Chrobry Głogów 33 16 6 11 54
5 Ruch Chorzów 33 14 11 8 53
6 ŁKS Łódź 32 14 9 9 51
7 Polonia Warszawa 33 14 8 11 50
8 Miedz Legnica 33 14 7 12 49
9 Polonia Bytom 33 13 8 12 47
10 Puszcza Niepołomice 32 11 13 8 46
11 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 33 11 11 11 44
12 Odra Opole 33 11 11 11 44
13 Stal Rzeszów 33 12 6 15 42
14 Pogoń Siedlce 33 9 9 15 36
15 Stal Mielec 33 9 6 18 33
16 Górnik Łęczna 33 5 12 16 27
17 Znicz Pruszków 33 6 7 20 25
18 Tychy 71 33 5 7 21 22
# EQUIPO PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wisla Krakow 33 70 32 +38 68
2 Wieczysta Kraków 33 69 46 +23 56
3 Slask Wroclaw 33 69 47 +22 61
4 Polonia Bytom 33 55 46 +9 47
5 ŁKS Łódź 32 53 46 +7 51
6 Ruch Chorzów 33 52 43 +9 53
7 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 33 51 54 -3 44
8 Polonia Warszawa 33 50 48 +2 50
9 Miedz Legnica 33 50 52 -2 49
10 Chrobry Głogów 33 47 35 +12 54
11 Stal Mielec 33 47 61 -14 33
12 Stal Rzeszów 33 46 57 -11 42
13 Puszcza Niepołomice 32 43 38 +5 46
14 Górnik Łęczna 33 38 59 -21 27
15 Znicz Pruszków 33 37 66 -29 25
16 Tychy 71 33 37 71 -34 22
17 Odra Opole 33 33 38 -5 44
18 Pogoń Siedlce 33 33 41 -8 36