Newcastle vs West Ham Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2776,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2571,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.6,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.89,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.15,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.8,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4653,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Newcastle or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Newcastle",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Newcastle"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.36,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Newcastle",
      "confidence": 46.5,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "Winner : Newcastle",
        "edge": 0.0331,
        "edge_gap": 0.1873,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.432,
        "model_prob": 0.4651,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 27.8,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 46.5
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Newcastle"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.25
        }
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      "risk_color": "#f44336",
      "risk_key": "high_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.25,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Newcastle Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.31,
        "market_odds": 2.25,
        "model_odds": 2.15,
        "overround": 2.9,
        "prob_edge": 2.1,
        "value_pct": 4.7,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 74.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 8,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 83.5,
        "no_prob": 36.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 63.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 63.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.36,
        "home_expected": 1.8,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 6.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Newcastle or Draw",
            "prob": 72.2
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Newcastle or West Ham",
            "prob": 74.3
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or West Ham",
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        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Newcastle or West Ham",
        "pick_prob": 74.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 27.8,
        "draw_pct": 25.7,
        "home_pct": 46.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Newcastle"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.16,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 61.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 61.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.16,
        "under_prob": 38.8
      },
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      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "edge": 4.7,
        "implied_prob": 44.4,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Newcastle Win",
        "model_prob": 46.5,
        "odds": 2.25
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "West Ham",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Newcastle",
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      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 43.2,
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          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 46.51
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.93,
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          "model_pct": 25.71
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        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.87,
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          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 27.78
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 62.56,
          "gap_pp": -1.36,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 61.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.44,
          "gap_pp": 1.36,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 38.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.25,
          "early": 2.25,
          "implied_closing_pct": 43.2,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 43.2,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.9,
          "early": 3.9,
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        {
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        {
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        {
          "closing": 2.59,
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          "implied_early_pct": 37.44,
          "kind": "ou_u"
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        "gap_pp": 3.3,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.8,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_under": 0.0282,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "value_side": "under"
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      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
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        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 63.4
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0039,
        "ev_available": true,
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        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.432,
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        "sort_key": 5203.12,
        "tier": "lean"
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 811.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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      }
    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 48,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/48.webp",
      "away_team_name": "West Ham",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
      "country_name": "England",
      "fixture_id": 1379337,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 34,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/34.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Newcastle",
      "league_country": "England",
      "league_id": 39,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
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      "markets": {
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 3.05,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.0115,
            "ev": -0.0631,
            "implied_prob": 0.3187,
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0142,
            "ev": 0.0039,
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            "p_final": 0.4462
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": 0.0117,
          "edge_yes": -0.0117,
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          "ev_no": 0.0065,
          "ev_yes": -0.049,
          "implied_no": 0.3543,
          "implied_yes": 0.6457,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.55,
          "best_under_odd": 2.65,
          "edge_over": -0.0107,
          "edge_under": 0.0107,
          "ev_available": true,
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          "implied_under": 0.3773,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.16,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
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      "confidence": 4.0,
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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        "score": 4.0
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      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
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          "btts_yes_prob": 0.634,
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          "under_prob": 0.388,
          "xg_diff": 0.44
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": {
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        "ev": 0.0282,
        "hero_display_only": true,
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        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.388,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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        "1x2": {
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Newcastle"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
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          "model_prob": 0.366,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
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          "ev": 0.0282,
          "implied_prob": 0.3773,
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
      "match_id": 1379337,
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        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2778,
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      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "West Ham",
        "home": "Newcastle"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:59:06.350760+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}