Có 46.0% · Không 54.0%
EV Có -12.14% · EV Không -1.18%
Thiên hướng giá trị: BTTS Không
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{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "4dc80b98fa1469fb33d2eacaebf9faf7ba79d08ef0e36f26a865ab0e33bdf233",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.99,
"away_win_prob": 0.2811,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3224,
"fair_odds_away": 3.56,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.1,
"fair_odds_home": 2.52,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.22,
"home_win_prob": 0.3964,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Golden Arrows or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Golden Arrows"
},
"away_xg": 0.99,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Golden Arrows",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0212,
"edge_gap": 0.0742,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4179,
"model_prob": 0.3967,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 28.1,
"draw": 32.2,
"home": 39.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": null,
"bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
"odd": 2.33
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 2.22
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.21
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"odd": 2.2
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 2.15
},
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 2.14
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 2.12
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.33,
"bookmaker_id": 16,
"bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
"display_market": "Golden Arrows Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.39,
"market_odds": 2.2,
"model_odds": 2.52,
"overround": 9.0,
"prob_edge": -3.2,
"value_pct": -7.5,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 6,
"away_failed_to_score": 13,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 62.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 11,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 70.5,
"no_prob": 54.0,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 46.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.99,
"home_expected": 1.22,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 13.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 11.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Golden Arrows or Draw",
"prob": 71.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Golden Arrows or TS Galaxy",
"prob": 67.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or TS Galaxy",
"prob": 60.3
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Golden Arrows or Draw",
"pick_prob": 71.8
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 28.1,
"draw_pct": 32.2,
"home_pct": 39.6,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Golden Arrows"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.21,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.2,
"over_prob": 38.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 62.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.21,
"under_prob": 62.0
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 1,
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"edge": 4.6,
"implied_prob": 30.8,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 32.2,
"odds": 3.25
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 13.4
}
},
"home_xg": 1.22,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.164,
"ev_under": 0.023,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.023,
"over_prob": 38.0,
"sort_key": 5218.4,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 62.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0118,
"ev_yes": -0.1214,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0118,
"no_prob": 54.0,
"sort_key": 1797.05,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 46.0
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1111,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4179,
"max_ev": -0.0695,
"model_prob": 0.3967,
"side_label": "Golden Arrows",
"sort_key": 1782.625,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.2,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-0",
"top_prob": 13.4
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 8074,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8074.webp",
"away_team_name": "TS Galaxy",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/za.svg",
"country_name": "South-Africa",
"fixture_id": 1429711,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2690,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2690.webp",
"home_team_name": "Golden Arrows",
"league_country": "South-Africa",
"league_id": 288,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/288.webp",
"league_name": "Premier Soccer League",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 13:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2985,
"best_odd": 3.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.001,
"ev": -0.0941,
"implied_prob": 0.2841,
"model_prob": 0.2808,
"p_final": 0.2831
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.289,
"best_odd": 3.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0071,
"ev": -0.0695,
"implied_prob": 0.298,
"model_prob": 0.3225,
"p_final": 0.3051
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4357,
"best_odd": 2.175,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0092,
"ev": -0.1111,
"implied_prob": 0.4179,
"model_prob": 0.3967,
"p_final": 0.4087
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.83,
"best_yes_odd": 1.91,
"edge_no": 0.0308,
"edge_yes": -0.0308,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0118,
"ev_yes": -0.1214,
"implied_no": 0.5092,
"implied_yes": 0.4908,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.2,
"best_under_odd": 1.65,
"edge_over": -0.0483,
"edge_under": 0.0483,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.164,
"ev_under": 0.023,
"implied_over": 0.4283,
"implied_under": 0.5717,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.21,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.023,
"confidence": 3.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 3.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.46,
"draw_prob": 0.3225,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3967,
"over_prob": 0.38,
"total_xg": 2.21,
"under_prob": 0.62,
"xg_diff": 0.23
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.023,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.5717,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.62,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "under",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0092,
"ev": -0.1111,
"implied_prob": 0.4179,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3967,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Golden Arrows"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0308,
"ev": -0.0118,
"implied_prob": 0.5092,
"model_prob": 0.54,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0483,
"ev": 0.023,
"implied_prob": 0.5717,
"model_prob": 0.62,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1429711,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.023,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2808,
"draw": 0.3225,
"home": 0.3967
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "TS Galaxy",
"home": "Golden Arrows"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1429711,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T05:07:28.027292+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 68 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 66 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 54 |
| 4 | Amazulu | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Golden Arrows | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | Polokwane City | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Durban City | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Stellenbosch | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 36 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 34 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 |
| 13 | Chippa United | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 25 |
| 14 | Marumo Gallants | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 24 |
| 15 | Orbit College | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 24 |
| 16 | Magesi | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 57 | 21 | +36 | 68 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 29 | 56 | 12 | +44 | 66 |
| 3 | Golden Arrows | 29 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 40 |
| 4 | Kaizer Chiefs | 29 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 54 |
| 5 | Amazulu | 29 | 31 | 28 | +3 | 44 |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 29 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 43 |
| 7 | TS Galaxy | 29 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
| 8 | Stellenbosch | 29 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Durban City | 29 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Richards Bay | 29 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 | Magesi | 29 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 | Chippa United | 29 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 | Siwelele | 29 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Polokwane City | 30 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 40 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 29 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 24 |
| 16 | Orbit College | 29 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 24 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaizer Chiefs | 29 | 18.5 | 8.2 | +10.3 | 54 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 30 | 16.7 | 9.0 | +7.7 | 68 |
| 3 | Orlando Pirates | 29 | 13.8 | 7.1 | +6.7 | 66 |
| 4 | Durban City | 29 | 14.9 | 11.0 | +3.9 | 39 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune United | 29 | 14.5 | 12.4 | +2.1 | 43 |
| 6 | Magesi | 29 | 13.1 | 11.2 | +1.9 | 21 |
| 7 | Polokwane City | 30 | 13.5 | 11.7 | +1.8 | 40 |
| 8 | Richards Bay | 29 | 13.4 | 11.8 | +1.6 | 34 |
| 9 | Stellenbosch | 29 | 13.6 | 13.4 | +0.2 | 36 |
| 10 | Siwelele | 29 | 11.7 | 13.9 | -2.2 | 36 |
| 11 | Marumo Gallants | 29 | 11.0 | 14.7 | -3.7 | 24 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 29 | 13.7 | 17.8 | -4.1 | 31 |
| 13 | Golden Arrows | 29 | 13.3 | 19.1 | -5.8 | 40 |
| 14 | Amazulu | 29 | 11.0 | 16.8 | -5.8 | 44 |
| 15 | Orbit College | 29 | 11.0 | 16.9 | -5.9 | 24 |
| 16 | Chippa United | 29 | 9.2 | 18.0 | -8.8 | 25 |
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