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Market Movements - Live-Market-Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Live-Market-Moves Early-Sharp-Moves Final-Closing-Moves CLV-Performance
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Jordan vs Algeria Jordan ↑ +8.7% 📈 Steam 11/12 Steam Score: 63 A
New Zealand vs Egypt New Zealand ↓ -17.4% ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung 5/12 Steam Score: 62 A
Jordan vs Argentina Jordan ↑ +10.0% 📈 Steam 7/11 Steam Score: 57 B
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓ -9.1% 📈 Steam 7/12 Steam Score: 54 B
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Curaçao ↓ -16.7% ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung 3/12 Steam Score: 51 B
World Cup · Anstoß in 14d
A 63
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +19/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Jordan vs Algeria
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 10% Bewegung
Open 5.75 → 6.25 ↑ +8.7%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 4.0 ↑ +5.3%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Algeria (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.5 ↓ -4.5%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Books 11/12 📈 Steam Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Multi-Buch-Steam auf Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 13d
A 62
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +38/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +12/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

New Zealand vs Egypt
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Größte Bewegung heute
Open 5.75 → 4.75 ↓ -17.4%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.5 ↓ -6.7%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Egypt (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.73 ↑ +10.2%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Books 5/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Bet365 führte die Preisänderung auf New Zealand (17.4%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 19d
B 57
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +22/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +19/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Jordan vs Argentina
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 10% Bewegung
Open 10.0 → 11.0 ↑ +10.0%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.5 ↑ +8.3%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Argentina (Away)
Open 1.22 → 1.2 ↓ -1.6%
Stabil
Books 7/11 📈 Steam Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Multi-Buch-Steam auf Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 9d
B 54
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +20/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +18/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland (Home)
Open 1.57 → 1.62 ↑ +3.2%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 3.9 ↓ -2.5%
Stabil
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Away) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 10% Bewegung
Open 5.5 → 5.0 ↓ -9.1%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Books 7/12 📈 Steam Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Multi-Buch-Steam auf Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 16d
B 51
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +37/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +8/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +6/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Curaçao (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 67h 59m Top 3% Bewegung
Open 12.0 → 10.0 ↓ -16.7%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 5.75 ↓ -4.2%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Ivory Coast (Away)
Open 1.18 → 1.2 ↑ +1.7%
Stabil
Books 3/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Bet365 führte die Preisänderung auf Curaçao (16.7%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 18d
B 46
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +15/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +20/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

New Zealand vs Belgium
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 67h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 7.5 → 8.0 ↑ +6.7%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Belgium (Away)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stabil
Books 8/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Betfair führte die Preisänderung auf New Zealand (6.7%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 19d
B 45
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +12/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +22/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Croatia vs Ghana
Croatia (Home)
Open 1.67 → 1.65 ↓ -1.2%
Stabil
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.7 ↑ +2.8%
Stabil
Ghana (Away) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Books 9/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

SBO führte die Preisänderung auf Ghana (5.3%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 18d
B 43
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +9/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +22/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
Cape Verde Islands (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
Open 2.4 → 2.5 ↑ +4.2%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Saudi Arabia (Away)
Open 2.8 → 2.7 ↓ -3.6%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Books 9/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

Betfair führte die Preisänderung auf Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 12d
C 38
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +9/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +18/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Ecuador vs Curaçao
Ecuador (Home)
Open 1.2 → 1.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
Open 6.0 → 6.25 ↑ +4.2%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Curaçao (Away)
Open 13.0 → 13.0 +0.0%
Books 7/12 ⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung
View market brief

SBO führte die Preisänderung auf Unentschieden (4.2%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 9d
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +5/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +20/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Signalstärke: +5/5
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Czech Republic vs South Africa
Czech Republic (Home)
Open 1.95 → 1.91 ↓ -2.1%
Stabil
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
South Africa (Away) — Stabile Linie
Open 4.1 → 4.2 ↑ +2.4%
Stabil
Books 8/12 📉 Abschwächung Entdeckung
View market brief

Markt setzt gegen South Africa (2.4%) — Linie driftet länger vs. Eröffnung (8/12).

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 10d
C 33
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +12/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +15/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Canada vs Qatar
Canada (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stabil
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Qatar (Away)
Open 9.0 → 9.0 +0.0%
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Unentschieden (Schwankung 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — netto 5.3%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 8d
C 31
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +14/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +12/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Austria vs Jordan
Austria (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stabil
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Jordan (Away) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 8.0 → 8.5 ↑ +6.2%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Jordan (Schwankung 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — netto 6.2%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 6d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +12/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +12/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden (Home)
Open 1.9 → 1.85 ↓ -2.6%
Stabil
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Tunisia (Away) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 4.1 → 4.33 ↑ +5.6%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Tunisia (Schwankung 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — netto 5.6%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 16d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +9/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +15/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Scotland vs Brazil
Scotland (Home) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
Open 6.25 → 6.5 ↑ +4.0%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.2 → 4.33 ↑ +3.1%
Einseitiger Anstieg
Brazil (Away)
Open 1.48 → 1.45 ↓ -2.0%
Stabil
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Scotland (Schwankung 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — netto 4.0%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 14d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +30/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Norway vs Senegal
Norway (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 2.1 → 2.1 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Senegal (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 15d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +30/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
Canada (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 17d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +30/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Japan vs Sweden
Japan (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Sweden (Away)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +11/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +12/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Spain (Home)
Open 1.08 → 1.09 ↑ +0.9%
Stabil
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 10.0 → 9.5 ↓ -5.0%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Cape Verde Islands (Away)
Open 23.0 → 23.0 +0.0%
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Unentschieden (Schwankung 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — netto 5.0%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 11d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Bewegungsstärke: +10/45
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +12/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Führung durch Sharp-Buchmacher: +6/6
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany (Home)
Open 1.5 → 1.53 ↑ +2.0%
Stabil
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.1 → 4.0 ↓ -2.4%
Stabil
Ivory Coast (Away) 🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m Top 25% Bewegung
Open 5.75 → 5.5 ↓ -4.3%
Einseitiger Rückgang
Books 5/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Ivory Coast (Schwankung 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — netto 4.3%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 1.65 → 1.65 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 3.8 +0.0%
Egypt (Away)
Open 5.0 → 5.0 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 8d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Portugal vs Congo DR
Portugal (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 1.25 → 1.25 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Congo DR (Away)
Open 9.5 → 9.5 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 10d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

USA vs Australia
USA (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 1.7 → 1.7 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 13d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Argentina vs Austria
Argentina (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 1.62 → 1.62 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Austria (Away)
Open 5.25 → 5.25 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 14d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

France vs Iraq
France (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 1.11 → 1.11 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 8.5 → 8.5 +0.0%
Iraq (Away)
Open 19.0 → 19.0 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · Anstoß in 17d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation der Buchmacher: +28/30
Reagierende Buchmacher: +10/10
Anpassung an Volatilität: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Paraguay vs Australia
Paraguay (Home) — Stabile Linie
Open 2.15 → 2.15 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Volatiler Markt Volatil
View market brief

Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Match(72) Pick Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Phase CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
Jordan vs Algeria World Cup · Di 03:00 Jordan 5.75 6.25
Anstoß in 14d 		↑ +8.7%
5.75 6.25

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
6.68 → 4.90 → 6.25 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 63 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Top 10% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Multi-Buch-Steam auf Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.
New Zealand vs Egypt World Cup · Mo 01:00 New Zealand 5.75 4.75
Anstoß in 13d 		↓ -17.4%
5.75 4.75

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
5.75 → 4.29 → 4.75 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365 5/12
Steam Score: 62 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Größte Bewegung heute Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Bet365 führte die Preisänderung auf New Zealand (17.4%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
Jordan vs Argentina World Cup · So 02:00 Jordan 10.0 11.0
Anstoß in 19d 		↑ +10.0%
10.0 11.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
15.50 → 10.00 → 11.00 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 7/11
Steam Score: 57 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 10% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Multi-Buch-Steam auf Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup · Do 19:00 Bosnia & Herzegovina 5.5 5.0
Anstoß in 9d 		↓ -9.1%
5.5 5.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
6.10 → 5.00 → 5.00 		📈 Steam Bet365 7/12
Steam Score: 54 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 10% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Multi-Buch-Steam auf Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — abgestimmtes Verkürzen, kein Einzelbuch-Ausreißer.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup · Do 20:00 Curaçao 12.0 10.0
Anstoß in 16d 		↓ -16.7%
12.0 10.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 67h 59m
17.00 → 7.40 → 10.00 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365 3/12
Steam Score: 51 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 Top 3% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Bet365 führte die Preisänderung auf Curaçao (16.7%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup · Sa 03:00 New Zealand 7.5 8.0
Anstoß in 18d 		↑ +6.7%
7.5 8.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 67h 59m
11.00 → 7.50 → 8.00 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 8/12
Steam Score: 46 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 25% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Betfair führte die Preisänderung auf New Zealand (6.7%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
Croatia vs Ghana World Cup · Sa 21:00 Ghana 4.75 5.0
Anstoß in 19d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
5.50 → 4.50 → 5.00 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 9/12
Steam Score: 45 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Top 25% Bewegung Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close SBO führte die Preisänderung auf Ghana (5.3%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia World Cup · Sa 00:00 Cape Verde Islands 2.4 2.5
Anstoß in 18d 		↑ +4.2%
2.4 2.5

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
2.76 → 2.40 → 2.50 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 9/12
Steam Score: 43 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close Betfair führte die Preisänderung auf Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
Ecuador vs Curaçao World Cup · So 00:00 Unentschieden 6.0 6.25
Anstoß in 12d 		↑ +4.2%
6.0 6.25

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
7.18 → 4.73 → 6.25 		⚡ Sharp-geführte Bewegung Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 7/12
Steam Score: 38 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Scharfe Neubewertung Waiting for Close SBO führte die Preisänderung auf Unentschieden (4.2%) an — sharp Buch bewegte sich vor breiterem Markt.
Czech Republic vs South Africa World Cup · Do 16:00 South Africa 4.1 4.2
Anstoß in 9d 		↑ +2.4%
4.1 4.2

— Stabile Linie
4.30 → 3.68 → 4.20 		📉 Abschwächung Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 8/12
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Entdeckung Waiting for Close Markt setzt gegen South Africa (2.4%) — Linie driftet länger vs. Eröffnung (8/12).
Canada vs Qatar World Cup · Do 22:00 Unentschieden 4.75 5.0
Anstoß in 10d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 6/12
Steam Score: 33 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% Bewegung Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Unentschieden (Schwankung 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — netto 5.3%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Austria vs Jordan World Cup · Mi 04:00 Jordan 8.0 8.5
Anstoß in 8d 		↑ +6.2%
8.0 8.5

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 31 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% Bewegung Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Jordan (Schwankung 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — netto 6.2%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup · Mo 02:00 Tunisia 4.1 4.33
Anstoß in 6d 		↑ +5.6%
4.1 4.33

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% Bewegung Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Tunisia (Schwankung 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — netto 5.6%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Scotland vs Brazil World Cup · Mi 22:00 Scotland 6.25 6.5
Anstoß in 16d 		↑ +4.0%
6.25 6.5

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365 6/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Scotland (Schwankung 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — netto 4.0%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Norway vs Senegal World Cup · Di 00:00 Norway 2.1 2.1
Anstoß in 14d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.10 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Switzerland vs Canada World Cup · Mi 19:00 Switzerland 2.05 2.05
Anstoß in 15d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Japan vs Sweden World Cup · Do 23:00 Japan 2.05 2.05
Anstoß in 17d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
2.12 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup · Mo 16:00 Unentschieden 10.0 9.5
Anstoß in 6d 		↓ -5.0%
10.0 9.5

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365 5/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% Bewegung Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Unentschieden (Schwankung 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — netto 5.0%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Germany vs Ivory Coast World Cup · Sa 20:00 Ivory Coast 5.75 5.5
Anstoß in 11d 		↓ -4.3%
5.75 5.5

🐢 Langsames Abdriften über 71h 59m
6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 5/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Top 25% Bewegung Volatil Waiting for Close Volatile Zwei-Wege-Preisgestaltung bei Ivory Coast (Schwankung 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — netto 4.3%, aber intraday starke Schwankungen.
Belgium vs Egypt World Cup · Mo 19:00 Belgium 1.65 1.65
Anstoß in 6d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
1.72 → 1.60 → 1.65 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.
Portugal vs Congo DR World Cup · Mi 17:00 Portugal 1.25 1.25
Anstoß in 8d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
1.31 → 1.23 → 1.25 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
USA vs Australia World Cup · Fr 19:00 USA 1.7 1.7
Anstoß in 10d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
1.80 → 1.68 → 1.70 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.
Argentina vs Austria World Cup · Mo 17:00 Argentina 1.62 1.62
Anstoß in 13d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
1.68 → 1.58 → 1.62 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.
France vs Iraq World Cup · Mo 21:00 France 1.11 1.11
Anstoß in 14d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
1.14 → 1.07 → 1.11 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Paraguay vs Australia World Cup · Fr 02:00 Paraguay 2.15 2.15
Anstoß in 17d 		+0.0%
— Stabile Linie
2.23 → 2.11 → 2.15 		⚠️ Volatiler Markt Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.
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