General Lamadrid vs Estrella Del Sur Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

General Lamadrid
Oct 17, 2026 - 18:00
1.35 1.25
Estrella Del Sur
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 4 books · 100% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

General Lamadrid opened at 0 against Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
General Lamadrid 0
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 4 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward General Lamadrid than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
General Lamadrid 0
@ 2.02
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.09
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+7.4%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.91 / 1.75 0 1.91 / 1.75 — 0
Bet365 0 2.02 / 1.78 0 2.02 / 1.78 — 0
1xBet 0 1.91 / 1.75 0 1.91 / 1.75 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.74 / 1.60 0 1.74 / 1.60 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.35 / 1.25 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.91
General Lamadrid @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.88
General Lamadrid @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.91 vs 1.88
Market price is 1.6% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 5.75
-1.25 5.75 5.24
-1.00 5.45 4.70
-0.75 3.48 3.08
-0.25 2.32 2.08
0 1.91 1.75
+0.25 1.60 1.50
+0.75 1.28 1.22
+1.00 1.12 1.08
+1.25 1.09 1.07
+1.50 1.07 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 5.90
-1.25 6.25 5.25
-1.00 5.75 4.50
-0.75 3.55 3.10
-0.50 2.85 2.50
-0.25 2.42 2.15
0 2.02 1.78
+0.25 1.68 1.52
+0.50 1.50 1.40
+0.75 1.35 1.27
+1.00 1.19 1.14
+1.25 1.16 1.12
+1.50 1.13 1.10

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.74 1.60

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.60 5.75
-1.00 5.45 4.70
-0.75 3.48 3.08
-0.25 2.30 2.08
0 1.91 1.75
+0.25 1.60 1.49
+0.75 1.28 1.22
+1.00 1.12 1.08
+1.50 1.07 1.05
Primary Bets
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