SOL vs Stade d'Abidjan Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

SOL
Oct 07, 2026 - 18:00
1.25 1.35
Stade d'Abidjan
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
-0.25
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
—
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
-0.25
2 / 3 books · 67% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
-0.25
Toward Home · Opening → Current

Asian Handicap Market Summary

SOL opened at 0 against Stade d'Abidjan in the Ligue 1. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward SOL from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 2 of 3 valid books, with 67% agreement.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
SOL -0.25
Model–Market Gap
0.34
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

-0.25 · 2 / 3 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.34 AH points more toward Stade d'Abidjan than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
SOL -0.25
@ 2.95
Best Available Price · 1xBet
Line Edge
0.34
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.52
Price Advantage
+17.1%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
2 / 3 valid books · 67% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
—
Need 2+ sharp books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.88 / 1.78 -0.25 2.92 / 1.71 — -0.25
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.95 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 1.78 -0.25 2.95 / 1.71 — -0.25
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.09
xG 1.25 / 1.35 · pre-match
Market Handicap
-0.25
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.92
SOL @ -0.25 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.52
SOL @ -0.25 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.92 vs 2.52
Market price is 15.9% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 8.20 4.00
-1.00 7.20 3.08
-0.75 4.50 2.35
-0.25 2.95 1.71
0 2.50 1.44
+0.25 1.92 1.32
+0.75 1.49 1.13
+1.00 1.28 1.03
+1.50 1.17 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.95 1.85

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 8.20 4.00
-1.00 7.20 3.08
-0.75 4.50 2.33
-0.25 2.92 1.71
0 2.50 1.44
+0.25 1.92 1.31
+0.75 1.48 1.13
+1.00 1.28 1.03
+1.50 1.17 1.02
Primary Bets
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