Cerro Largo vs Albion FC Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Cerro Largo
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
1.28 1.32
Albion FC
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
4 / 5 books · 80% agreement · Strong
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Cerro Largo opened at 0 against Albion FC in the Primera División. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Cerro Largo 0
Model–Market Gap
0.04
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 4 / 5 books · Strong

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.04 AH points more toward Albion FC than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Albion FC 0
@ 2.11
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.04
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.95
Price Advantage
+8.2%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.69 / 1.99 0 1.69 / 1.99 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.71 / 2.11 0 1.71 / 2.11 — 0
Bet365 0 1.75 / 2.05 0 1.70 / 2.10 — 0
1xBet 0 1.69 / 1.99 0 1.69 / 1.99 — 0
Betano +0.25 1.55 / 1.72 +0.25 1.55 / 1.72 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
+0.04
xG 1.28 / 1.32 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
1.71
Cerro Largo @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
2.05
Cerro Largo @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
1.71 vs 2.05
Market price is 16.6% below model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.50 8.20
-1.50 4.90 6.15
-1.25 4.46 5.65
-1.00 3.98 5.10
-0.75 2.84 3.43
-0.25 2.01 2.37
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.48 1.68
+0.75 1.23 1.34
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.00 6.40
-1.25 4.40 5.90
-1.00 3.90 5.50
-0.75 2.85 3.55
-0.50 2.35 2.85
-0.25 2.05 2.50
0 1.70 2.10
+0.25 1.50 1.75
+0.50 1.40 1.58
+0.75 1.27 1.40
+1.00 1.15 1.24
+1.25 1.13 1.20
+1.50 1.12 1.17

Betano Main +0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.42 2.80
-0.25 2.10 2.42
+0.25 1.55 1.72
+0.50 1.42 1.55

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.75 6.50 8.20
-1.50 4.90 6.15
-1.25 4.45 5.65
-1.00 3.98 5.10
-0.75 2.83 3.42
-0.25 1.99 2.35
0 1.69 1.99
+0.25 1.47 1.66
+0.75 1.23 1.33
+1.00 1.10 1.17
+1.25 1.08 1.14
+1.50 1.06 1.11
+1.75 1.02 1.05

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.00 3.80
-0.50 2.45 2.98
-0.25 2.09 2.56
0 1.71 2.11
+0.25 1.50 1.75
+0.50 1.38 1.55
+0.75 1.26 1.38
Primary Bets
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