Austria U19 vs Denmark U19 Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Austria U19
Sep 30, 2026 - 12:00
1.35 1.25
Denmark U19
Opening
0
Frozen opening consensus
Current
0
Current tradable main consensus
Closing
—
Not captured yet
Sharp Reference (Pinnacle)
0
Consensus ? Current consensus from tradable pricing-grade bookmaker mains. Ties are resolved using Pinnacle. Stored mains are a historical snapshot and are not used for Gap, Fair Odds, or Decision.
0
2 / 4 books · 50% agreement · Moderate
Line Move
0
Frozen opening → current main

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Austria U19 opened at 0 against Denmark U19 in the Friendlies. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 2 of 4 valid books, with 50% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

Asian Handicap Prediction
Fair Line is where the model prices the match. Decision is whether the difference is currently tradable.
Prediction
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

Market
Tradable Consensus
Austria U19 0
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points
Raw Main-Line Snapshot

0 · 2 / 4 books · Moderate

Historical bookmaker-main snapshot; not used for tradable pricing.

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Austria U19 than the current market.

Decision
LEAN
Austria U19 0
@ 2.10
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.09
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+11.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
2 / 4 valid books · 50% agreement · Moderate

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
0
1 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Current Cur H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25 2.35 / 1.92 -0.25 2.35 / 1.94 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.09 / 1.70 0 2.09 / 1.70 — 0
Bet365 0 2.10 / 1.70 0 2.10 / 1.70 — 0
1xBet -0.25 2.36 / 1.94 -0.25 2.37 / 1.96 — 0
Model Pricing
Market Intelligence ≠ prediction. Fair handicap is where expected settlement ≈ 0 at fair odds — not 50% cover.
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
xG 1.35 / 1.25 · pre-match
Market Handicap
0
Current tradable consensus
Market Odds
2.09
Austria U19 @ 0 · Market reference
Fair Odds
1.88
Austria U19 @ 0 · Model fair price
Market Odds vs Fair
2.09 vs 1.88
Market price is 11.2% above model fair price. Not betting EV

The handicap at which the model's expected settlement return is approximately zero at fair odds.

Current Asian Handicap Lines
Live pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-2.00 10.00 8.70
-1.75 7.70 5.70
-1.50 5.75 4.40
-1.25 5.30 3.96
-1.00 4.80 3.50
-0.75 3.35 2.64
-0.25 2.37 1.96
0 2.03 1.67
+0.25 1.72 1.48
+0.75 1.39 1.25
+1.00 1.22 1.11
+1.25 1.18 1.09
+1.50 1.14 1.07
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.75 4.25
-1.25 5.25 3.80
-1.00 4.65 3.45
-0.75 3.45 2.68
-0.50 2.75 2.25
-0.25 2.42 2.00
0 2.10 1.70
+0.25 1.80 1.52
+0.50 1.62 1.42
+0.75 1.45 1.30
+1.00 1.30 1.18
+1.25 1.25 1.16
+1.50 1.21 1.14

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.75 7.70 5.70
-1.50 5.75 4.40
-1.25 5.30 3.95
-1.00 4.80 3.50
-0.75 3.34 2.62
-0.25 2.35 1.94
0 2.03 1.67
+0.25 1.70 1.47
+0.75 1.38 1.24
+1.00 1.22 1.12
+1.25 1.17 1.09
+1.50 1.14 1.07
+1.75 1.08 1.02

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.76 2.28
-0.25 2.42 2.01
0 2.09 1.70
+0.25 1.79 1.51
+0.50 1.60 1.40
Primary Bets
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