Fanja vs Ibri Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Fanja
Final Score
0 – 0
(HT 0-0)
Ibri
Kick-off 13:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Fanja opened at 0 against Ibri in the Professional League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The handicap moved 0.25 points toward Fanja from the opening line. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 5 valid books, with 80% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.25
Fanja -0.25

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model fair line is toward the home team.

xG (pre-match) 1.44 / 1.16
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Fanja -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 4 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.00
handicap points
3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Fanja -0.25
@ 2.56
Best Available Price · BetVictor
Line Edge
0.00
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.00
Price Advantage
+28.0%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 5 valid books · 80% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
17:32
Opening
0
12:01
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.98 / 1.70 -0.25 2.42 / 1.96 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP 0 2.05 / 1.70 -0.25 2.47 / 2.02 — -0.25
Bet365 0 1.80 / 2.00 0 1.80 / 2.00 — 0
1xBet 0 1.98 / 1.70 -0.25 2.44 / 1.96 — -0.25
BetVictor 0 1.99 / 1.70 -0.25 2.56 / 1.94 — -0.25
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 5.10
-1.25 4.80 4.60
-1.00 5.65 4.05
-0.75 3.58 2.83
-0.25 2.44 1.96
0 2.03 1.66
+0.25 1.68 1.46
+0.75 1.33 1.21
+1.00 1.16 1.08
+1.25 1.13 1.12
+1.50 1.10 1.04

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.50 6.00
-1.25 4.80 5.75
-1.00 4.25 5.00
-0.75 3.10 3.45
-0.50 2.50 2.75
-0.25 2.15 2.00
0 1.80 2.00
+0.25 1.80 1.68
+0.50 1.42 1.50
+0.75 1.30 1.35
+1.00 1.17 1.21
+1.25 1.14 1.18
+1.50 1.12 1.15

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.75 2.91 2.80
-0.50 2.82 2.27
-0.25 2.56 1.94
0 2.13 1.61
+0.25 1.74 1.43
+0.50 1.54 1.36
+0.75 1.36 1.34

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.80 5.10
-1.25 4.80 4.60
-1.00 5.65 4.05
-0.75 3.58 2.83
-0.25 2.42 1.96
0 2.03 1.66
+0.25 1.68 1.44
+0.75 1.33 1.21
+1.00 1.16 1.08
+1.25 1.13 1.12
+1.50 1.10 1.04

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 2.84 2.31
-0.25 2.47 2.02
0 2.10 1.68
+0.25 1.76 1.48
+0.50 1.56 1.37
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

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