Drita vs Malisheva Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Drita
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-0)
Malisheva
Kick-off 16:00

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Drita opened at 0 against Malisheva in the Superliga. The current market consensus is 0. The current consensus is 0 across 5 of 5 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also 0.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.09
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.35 / 1.25
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Drita 0
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
0 · 5 / 5 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.09
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.09 AH points more toward Drita than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Drita 0
@ 1.95
Best Available Price · Bet365
Line Edge
0.09
handicap points
Model Fair Price
1.88
Price Advantage
+3.7%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
0
5 / 5 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
0 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:15
Opening
0
14:38
Last Pre-Match
0
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP 0
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0
Sharp Consensus
0
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.88 / 1.78 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
Pinnacle SHARP 0 1.94 / 1.78 0 1.94 / 1.78 — 0
Bet365 0 1.95 / 1.85 0 1.95 / 1.85 — 0
1xBet 0 1.88 / 1.78 0 1.85 / 1.81 — 0
BetVictor 0 1.71 / 1.63 0 1.71 / 1.63 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.55 5.35
-1.25 4.85 4.84
-1.00 4.55 4.33
-0.75 3.08 2.97
-0.25 2.20 2.10
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.59 1.57
+0.75 1.30 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.13
+1.25 1.11 1.11
+1.50 1.09 1.08

Bet365 Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.95 1.85

BetVictor Main 0

AH Home Away
0 1.71 1.63

Marathonbet Main 0

AH Home Away
-1.50 5.55 5.35
-1.25 4.85 4.85
-1.00 4.55 4.33
-0.75 3.08 2.97
-0.25 2.17 2.10
0 1.85 1.81
+0.25 1.59 1.55
+0.75 1.30 1.28
+1.00 1.14 1.13
+1.25 1.11 1.11
+1.50 1.09 1.08

Pinnacle Main 0

AH Home Away
-0.75 3.18 2.89
-0.50 2.61 2.40
-0.25 2.29 2.10
0 1.94 1.78
+0.25 1.64 1.54
+0.50 1.47 1.40
+0.75 1.33 1.28
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
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