Racing United vs Montego Bay United Asian Handicap

Model fair handicap from pre-match xG, compared with the tradable market.

Racing United
Final Score
0 – 1
(HT 0-1)
Montego Bay United
Kick-off 22:05 Stadium Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex

Asian Handicap – Pre-Match Analysis (Historical Snapshot)

All data is pre-match unless stated.

Asian Handicap Market Summary

Racing United opened at -0.25 against Montego Bay United in the Premier League. The current market consensus is -0.25. The current consensus is -0.25 across 4 of 4 valid books, with 100% agreement. Pinnacle's current reference line is also -0.25.

1Model Prediction (Pre-Match)
Model Fair Handicap
-0.05
Approximately Level (0)

Model pricing view — not a bet. Model sees the match close to a level handicap.

xG (pre-match) 1.33 / 1.27
H / A
2Market (Pre-Match)
Last Pre-Match Consensus
Racing United -0.25
Raw Main-Line Snapshot
-0.25 · 4 / 4 books · Strong
Model–Market Gap
0.20
handicap points

Model prices the match 0.20 AH points more toward Montego Bay United than the current market.

3Pre-Match Decision
LEAN
Racing United -0.25
@ 2.69
Best Available Price · Pinnacle
Line Edge
0.20
handicap points
Model Fair Price
2.27
Price Advantage
+18.5%
vs model fair

Not a Primary Bet

Price Advantage is best available vs model fair — a pricing metric, not a model edge.

Pricing Quality
Tradable Pricing Consensus
-0.25
4 / 4 valid books · 100% agreement · Strong

Decision uses tradable pricing books, not the raw main-line snapshot.

Decision Time
(Pre-match)
4Market Validation (Historical)

Opening → Closing is a market fact. It is not AH-CLV — CLV needs a timed signal.

Opening → Closing
-0.25 → —
Closing not captured
Pinnacle Closing
—
Not captured
Consensus Closing
—
Not captured
Pre-Match Historical Consensus Snapshots
When the running consensus changed before kick-off — not the frozen opening/current strip. Closing is PRE1, not CLV.
Consensus Line Planned Closing
08:15
Opening
-0.25
20:49
Last Pre-Match
-0.25
—
PRE1 (Planned)
—
Not captured
Sharp Market
Observation only. Pinnacle remains the Sharp Reference ruler — this does not change Fair Line, Decision, or CLV.
Sharp Reference
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK -0.25
Sharp Consensus
-0.25
2 / 2 books
Sharp Divergence
—
No divergence
Bookmaker Main Lines (Pre-Match)
Opening never overwritten. Stored line is home-perspective.
Book Opening Open H / A Last Pre-Match Pre-Match H / A Closing Line Move
Marathonbet SHARP BOOK 0 1.96 / 1.71 -0.25 2.59 / 1.83 — -0.25
Pinnacle SHARP -0.25 2.66 / 1.89 -0.25 2.69 / 1.91 — 0
1xBet 0 1.96 / 1.71 -0.25 2.62 / 1.83 — -0.25
BetVictor -0.25 2.40 / 1.99 -0.25 2.66 / 1.85 — 0
Last Pre-Match Asian Handicap Lines (Snapshot)
Last captured pre-match market snapshot. Lines are shown from the home-team perspective. Each bookmaker's own main line is highlighted — not the fixture consensus.

1xBet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.45 4.10
-1.25 4.80 3.72
-1.00 5.55 3.28
-0.75 3.78 2.49
-0.25 2.62 1.83
0 2.21 1.56
+0.25 1.79 1.40
+0.75 1.42 1.19
+1.00 1.25 1.08
+1.25 1.20 1.12
+1.50 1.16 1.05

BetVictor Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.25 2.66 1.85
0 2.24 1.55
+0.25 1.82 1.40

Marathonbet Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-1.50 6.45 4.10
-1.00 5.55 3.28
-0.75 3.78 2.49
-0.25 2.59 1.83
0 2.21 1.56
+0.25 1.79 1.39
+0.75 1.42 1.19
+1.00 1.25 1.08
+1.50 1.16 1.05

Pinnacle Main -0.25

AH Home Away
-0.50 3.09 2.20
-0.25 2.69 1.91
0 2.29 1.59
+0.25 1.88 1.42
+0.50 1.64 1.33
Post-Match Audit (Summary)

A priced lean was issued pre-match — not a Primary Bet. Closing data was not captured.

View Full Audit Report →
Primary Bets
More